UFC Fight Night 81 - Dillashaw vs Cruz

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With RL all the way. Wish Mits ML was better, but think hes a good matchup against Browne. Already stabbed him by dec +850 but will play his ML as well.
 
What bets are you guys liking for Rosa/Bochniak?
 
so kalikas picking both herman and trinaldo outright, wonder if lines will drop
 
how do you guys feel about saunders vs cote? saunders -110 cote -120 not great money but a decent line. who you taking? i really like saunders but cote is just a huge 170 guy
 
pride_rules said:
anyone else feeling ed herman at +185 "bovada"
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I think if you're gonna play Herman his dec line is juicy. Forgot where its at but I know I liked it. Prob stab it myself even though Boetsch ML is in my biggest parlay. Can't see anyway Ed wins this other than grinding.
 
Joseph Budden said:
I think if you're gonna play Herman his dec line is juicy. Forgot where its at but I know I liked it. Prob stab it myself even though Boetsch ML is in my biggest parlay. Can't see anyway Ed wins this other than grinding.
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can i ask a question with out offense.. i used to parlay. but stopped. can i ask why you parlay? maybe we can help each other out a bit? a pointer or two
 
pride_rules said:
can i ask a question with out offense.. i used to parlay. but stopped. can i ask why you parlay? maybe we can help each other out a bit? a pointer or two
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I mainly either parlay 2-3 props very small for fun, but my serious parlays are fighters i'm confident in whos money lines are too juiced. So for the Boston card, my big parlay is Pettis, Felder, and Boetsch. I really like those 3 to win, but with a $900 playable bankroll at the moment I can't afford to risk the juice on individual plays.
 
I am a lil worried how many analysts are picking Trinaoldo... but seriously Kalikas is wrong more than anyone itt, even more than JB :)
 
and i would actually lean to herman ITD he has came back strong before. and he can be super aggressive. so ill be looking at a stab at that
 
LEMONZEST said:
I am a lil worried how many analysts are picking Trinaoldo... but seriously Kalikas is wrong more than anyone itt, even more than JB :)
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wtthll.gif
 
fuck powerball, check this shit out:
risk 2.00 returns: 511

Dominick Cruz +125
Zac Riley +850
Daria Ibragimova +1100

PS. I honestly think this has an ok chance of hitting.
 
Joseph Budden said:
With RL all the way. Wish Mits ML was better, but think hes a good matchup against Browne. Already stabbed him by dec +850 but will play his ML as well.
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I've been staring at that line but likely won't play it til the day of.

How I see the factors,

Athleticism - Close to equal, 55 Travis / 45 Mitrione
Mid range qualities - Mitrione
Ability to absorb damage - Browne

Matt's has fundamentals in his straight punches and he throws a very awkward but effective right hand when he catches guys ducking their head (De Fries, Lewis). He'll mix in his kicks too but I noticed he usually finishes with his hands. His downfall from what I've come away with from tape is he has lapses where he stops moving after his combinations and opponents just catch him there, or at the end of his combos etc.

Browne is as tough as they come, and if he is able to eat Mitrione's best shots and maybe find a pattern in Mitrione's defense and deliver with a critical strike to end the fight there. Also, he should be the better fighter if it hits the ground. He has fight ending moves in his arsenal but none of the fundamentals IMO. I truly believe working with Edmond will be his downfall, if not this fight then his next fight.

I'll go with the +130 dog but man I sometimes can't get these HW fights correctly.
 
trident said:
Ive got a long runningnparlay with Yoel in it.

Do you guys know if this bet is still live with the news of Yoels failed drug test coming out?

I still have two dogs to finish it and its not likely, but i just dont know how the books handle this type of issue if the outcome is changed to a NC or over turned to a Jacare victory.
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Someone suggested on the yoel thread since it was out of competition drugs it may not be counted, but anything can happen really, look at nick diaz debatable. Best to wait for proper confirmed news which may take some time.
 
LEMONZEST said:
I am a lil worried how many analysts are picking Trinaoldo... but seriously Kalikas is wrong more than anyone itt, even more than JB :)
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Yeah i feel ya! Im sticking with Ross tho for reasons i have mentioned.
 
Ukram said:
Someone suggested on the yoel thread since it was out of competition drugs it may not be counted, but anything can happen really, look at nick diaz debatable. Best to wait for proper confirmed news which may take some time.
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No, even if the result is overturned to NC, Yoel ML will still pay.
 
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