General MMA discussion and future lines - January 2016

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EzFlyer said:
absolutely yes

but it's prolly gonna be VERY steep

and this is coming from someone who has $ on rosholt and o1.5
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You thinking the same as Jae, we're looking at -350 or worse? As with everything odds determine value. Like you said the bet sounds great but has to be at the right price. I haven't tracked those "no cards" bets but if it's -350 to -400 that would have to be one of the highest differences between a ML and a ""no cards" line I can remember seeing. Which makes sense given the matchup, but still...-140 ML to -400 "no cards", jeez.
 
mkess101 said:
You thinking the same as Jae, we're looking at -350 or worse? As with everything odds determine value. Like you said the bet sounds great but has to be at the right price. I haven't tracked those "no cards" bets but if it's -350 to -400 that would have to be one of the highest differences between a ML and a ""no cards" line I can remember seeing. Which makes sense given the matchup, but still...-140 ML to -400 "no cards", jeez.
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The no scorecards line on rumble is around -800 right now, wouldn't be surprised if Roy's was around -400
 
mkess101 said:
Man I was thinking (hoping maybe) to get it around -250. I think maybe still a little value at -300 even, but above that you're right, unplayable. Probably even as parlay fodder. I guess we'll see what it opens at.
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Even if it does somehow open around -250, it's going to get bet up extremely quick. The sky's the limit on this prop. I can honestly, easily see it going higher than the -400s possibly into the -500s. Maybe into the -600s? Who knows. I just know that if it somehow opens in the -200s, it will definitely not stay there, and it will definitely never go back there
 
Sadistics said:
The no scorecards line on rumble is around -800 right now, wouldn't be surprised if Roy's was around -400
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Yeah I saw that but if you think about it Rumble is -400 SU and it's a 5 round fight. They basically just doubled his ML for the "no cards" line. Roy is -140 SU so the equivalent would be -280. If he's -400 that's really steep (too steep) even against a guy who's WAY more likely to win by dec than any other way. I can see value maybe at -300, but no way -400.
 
mkess101 said:
You thinking the same as Jae, we're looking at -350 or worse? As with everything odds determine value. Like you said the bet sounds great but has to be at the right price. I haven't tracked those "no cards" bets but if it's -350 to -400 that would have to be one of the highest differences between a ML and a ""no cards" line I can remember seeing. Which makes sense given the matchup, but still...-140 ML to -400 "no cards", jeez.
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if it opens in the -200's it's a steal

i'm fairly sure there've been a few fights like this, tho, you might just have missed them
 
Lots of new lines up on unibet

Hitting Lombard +130

Jacare 1.33 belroid 3.0

Maybe cavalcante 3.15 bit propably need a better line

Benavidez 1.22 machovsky 4.0
 
Fuckkk was hoping Lombard would be the favorite, wanna play Magny.

Guessing Belfort and Makovsky are dogs? Def will play them at + odds esp Zach
 
Joseph Budden said:
+ THREE FUCKING HUNDRED?! Thank you gambling Gods. That Makovsky by dec line will be a beauty
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I could see that line going higher once 5d releases reduced juice, maybe even +400

Wonder what price grabowski will open, will definately bet him as the dog
 
rille31 said:
I could see that line going higher once 5d releases reduced juice, maybe even +400

Wonder what price grabowski will open, will definately bet him as the dog
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I'll be all over Grabowski at dog odds too
 
EzFlyer said:
man, missed them by just a bit

i think mcgregor rd 1 was +500

cerrone sub +505 et

i am stabbing cerrone sub +495 right now
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I have no idea where Cnnor R1 opened at because it hasn't registered on BFO yet, but I was on top of it pretty quick and took some at +375.

I also put some on Miesha Split DEC +1550
 
Henry Briones off UFC London card. Francisco Rivera to fight Brad Pickett.

Seems somewhat strange. Thought that was to be a relatively easily retirement fight for Pickett in front of his home crowd. Big change.
 
bruthead said:
Henry Briones off UFC London card. Francisco Rivera to fight Brad Pickett.

Seems somewhat strange. Thought that was to be a relatively easily retirement fight for Pickett in front of his home crowd. Big change.
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he might get retired in an entirely different fashion, yea...
 
bruthead said:
Henry Briones off UFC London card. Francisco Rivera to fight Brad Pickett.

Seems somewhat strange. Thought that was to be a relatively easily retirement fight for Pickett in front of his home crowd. Big change.
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Fucking awesome!!!! Talk about an injury working in our favor, Rivera vs Pickett is gonna be wild
 
bruthead said:
Henry Briones off UFC London card. Francisco Rivera to fight Brad Pickett.

Seems somewhat strange. Thought that was to be a relatively easily retirement fight for Pickett in front of his home crowd. Big change.
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Oh man yes. I like Pickett but wasn't too fussed about seeing Henry Briones even though his fight with Cannetti was fun. Big fan of Cisco though so chuffed as fuck about that.
 
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Putting a very small play on Cyborg +110. Not tailworthy at all
 
Alright I'm hitting Blodget +250 also

Thinking about playing Reiswerg to be on all three dogs tonight
 
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