WSOF 27 - holder vs gamzatov

hit foxworth +318 willis has not fought in a year after he broke his hand and from the footage i saw i dont really think willis is that much better.. tough to get a good read though since they have both only faced cans so far..
 
Im betting all dogs for 1-2 u except Medina.

Medina going down early so i like the under.

Under for teddy fight good too
 
I don't know anything about any of these guys except for Holder, so I won't be surprised if I lose money tonight. That being said, this is WSOF... ...so I wouldn't be surprised if I do extremely well with the types of bets I placed.


Jorge Medina +405 .5u for 2u
Medina/Mitchell o1.5 +140 .5u for .7u
Chauncey Foxworth +300 .5u for 1.5u


Parlay 1u for 1.2u: Gamzatov/Holder u1.5, Firmino
Parlay 2u for 2u: Gamzatov, Firmino
 
ugh 20$limits and shitty lines on the wsof props.. wanted to bet more on firmino dec +100 even though its lower then i hoped
 
firmino no scorecoards seems almost riskfree :)
 
hit

firmino dec +100
firmino no scorecards -165
medina dec +1400
foxworth dec +750
 
Kind of regretting my decisions already. Firmino itd at nearly the same line could have more value, and Gamzatov being kind of unproven and making US debut makes Gamzatov by dec +685 or even Not Gamzatov itd +146 interesting

whatever
 
firmino no scorecoards seems almost riskfree :)

idk, at least at -185 idk..

fodor is kinda a better "finisher" than buscape, tho i doubt he finishes him (tho i think i'm about to play the over and be done with it)
 
1.05u firmino-fodor O2.5 -210

0.945u holder-gamzatov U1.5 -189

that's it.
 
No live bet means I'm gonna record WSOF and Garcia/Guerrero and finish season 5/start season 6 of TWD with the wife. Watch the fights after she goes to bed. So BOL all!

BTW posted in boxing thread: Garcia by KO (includes tko or dq) or UD is -325 on 5d. That seems amazingly cheap and great parlay fodder given his ML is a whopping -1100. If he's that much better a split or maj dec shouldn't be a big concern.
 
Fodor looked a bit bigger than Firmino at the weigh-ins. Added some decision props and the under 1½ in the Holder/Gamzatov bout. Also just took a chance on Medina and Medina by decision as a sizable dog.

WSOF 27 Risk $295.60

Caros Fodor (+180) vs Luiz Firmino $50.00 for $90.00
Caros Fodor wins by 3 round decision (+325) $25.00 for $81.25
Teddy Holder (+220) vs Shamil Gamzatov $50.00 for $110.00
Teddy Holder wins by 3 round decision (+1100) $10.00 for $110.00
Teddy Holder/Shamil Gamzatov Under 1½ (-189) $75.60 for $40.00
Jorge Medina (+480) vs Bryce Mitchell $25.00 for $120.00
Jorge Medina wins by 3 round decision (+1400) $10.00 for $140.00
Jaleel Willis/Chauncey Foxworth Under 1½ (+110) $50.00 for $55.00
 
ya know, i flat-out think firmino wins this 75+% of the time. fodor's been out for so long. just a couple fights ago, he lost to some south african regional guy via decision.

firmino looked like his huggy huggy grindy grindy self on tuf not long ago.

betting firmino straight. trying to do 2.15u -215, but "this line is being evaulated" for the last 15 minutes.
 
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