General MMA discussion and future lines - January 2016

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They gave him a 5 rounder less than a year ago and his gas tank didn't hold up. The fifth round of that Laflare fight was horrible. Nobody wants a repeat of that.


LOL I do. Against a finisher like Condit who would finish him late. $$$$$$$$.
 
MJ out of the fight with Ferg in March.

Looks like Ferg vs Khabib in April is the plan.
 
Ferg was around +250 last time wasn't he? What do we anticipate the line to be this time?

I would LOVE to get Ferg around +250 again but probably won't happen. Khabib off 2 year layoff, Ferg continually building momentum. Maybe we get Ferg close to +200? This sounds like it will headline a Fox or FS1 card maybe so hopefully 5 rounds. And even for Khabib, that is a really tough ask to mess around in the guard for that long with someone like Ferg. At this point I'm honestly picking Ferg to straight up win. I'll be betting him at any + odds, how much will be the question based on how big a dog he is.
 
I would LOVE to get Ferg around +250 again but probably won't happen. Khabib off 2 year layoff, Ferg continually building momentum. Maybe we get Ferg close to +200? This sounds like it will headline a Fox or FS1 card maybe so hopefully 5 rounds. And even for Khabib, that is a really tough ask to mess around in the guard for that long with someone like Ferg. At this point I'm honestly picking Ferg to straight up win. I'll be betting him at any + odds, how much will be the question based on how big a dog he is.

I'm with ya i have bet on Ferg in 4 of his last 5 fights and he has come in every time! If Khabib takes this fight I feel he has no choice but to fight even if he gets injured during camp. Five rounds definitely favours Ferg IMO. Khabib will have to rinse repeat his takedown game at least five times.
 
After Fergs win vs Barboza and another Khabib injury i wouldn't be surprised if this opened at evens
 
Rashad vs Shogun targeted for April. Same card as Khabib vs Ferg, which is hopefully the main event over this.

Think in a 3 rounder i'd take my chances on Shad by dec. In a 5 rounder idk, maybe his moneyline in case he hits Shogun clean enough. Idk, where the lines are at will determine my play on this one.
 
Ferg was around +250 last time wasn't he? What do we anticipate the line to be this time?

I would LOVE to get Ferg around +250 again but probably won't happen. Khabib off 2 year layoff, Ferg continually building momentum. Maybe we get Ferg close to +200? This sounds like it will headline a Fox or FS1 card maybe so hopefully 5 rounds. And even for Khabib, that is a really tough ask to mess around in the guard for that long with someone like Ferg. At this point I'm honestly picking Ferg to straight up win. I'll be betting him at any + odds, how much will be the question based on how big a dog he is.

man oh man i hope this is 5 rounds, plz be 5.. 100% the perfect title eliminator, it better be 5

i don't think ferg will be +250 this time (wahhh)... but maybe high +100's?
 
I'm with ya i have bet on Ferg in 4 of his last 5 fights and he has come in every time! If Khabib takes this fight I feel he has no choice but to fight even if he gets injured during camp. Five rounds definitely favours Ferg IMO. Khabib will have to rinse repeat his takedown game at least five times.

never underestimate the likelihood of khabib pulling out, it can ALWAYS happen!!!

and yea, 5 rounds better for ferg, for sure
 
what do u guys think about breese, souza, hendricks parlay +105
 
what do u guys think about breese, souza, hendricks parlay +105
I personally don't like it. Breese is way too expensive, and I think the other two are winnable fights for Vitor and Wboy
 
What do we think Cody's dec line will end up at +250? I like Lineker at -120 think he gets bet up and see that as a nice hedge.
 
888/Unibet has some interesting end of 2016 props to do with will a fighter be a champion or top 5 ranked or a champion or top 10 ranked. Looks like you can parley fighters as long as they are not in the same weight class.

Could have:
Manuwa NOT Top 5 or champion
Poirier NOT Top 5 or champion
Correia NOT Top 5 or champion
Holohan NOT Top 10 or champion
van Zant NOT Top 5 or champion

EDIT: My bad, should go to bed +141 for the 5-fold
Fucked up the decimal to American odds comparison.
 
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