Tennis - Aussie Open 2016

What the FUCK first two sets. And the let court in s4 3-4 game. Brutal. Stand by the bet. Sigh.

Djok is amazing.
I was amazed with how fast Djoker was playing. He literally had an answer for everything Fed threw at him. Fed must've been freaking out during those first two sets, cuz it seemed as if Djok was hacking.
 
yea, lol. hacking

the depth djok gets is the difference man, it's unreal
 
i've literally been staring at raonic-murray betting options for like 2 hours.

over 27.5 aces combined...
no, wait.. murray can he tough to ace...

u17.5 aces raonic..
no, wait.. i think it's going 4 or 5 sets...

^^ example of internal conflicts i keep running into.

sometimes no bet is the right bet. think this might be that sort of situation. the two bets i'm MOST comfortable doing are O3.5 sets -195 and/or murray -250 ML. and yea. neither one is a very attractive price. plus, factor in that i'm sitting with 0.6u on murray to win the whole thing (tho that's only gonna be hedgable if he beats raonic and then wins set 1 off of djok... which IS possible, actually)...

really thought a lot about O22 for murray (bookmaker prop) which requires raonic to win at least one set.. blech..

yea. not gonna force much here.

0.5u O4.5 sets +250
0.25u murray 3-2 +475

that's it.
 
i've literally been staring at raonic-murray betting options for like 2 hours.
I looked at it for like 2-3 minutes, then said FUCK IT, and skipped betting it altogether.

I don't feel good betting either side, nor prop.

gL with your bets~
 
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Weeeeeeeeee finally waking up to winners!
 
letting the serena tourney bets ride tonight.

murray tourney bets i'm leaving as they are, too, but i'll probably live bet djokovic IF murray wins the first set. if not, buckle up, hope murray pulls off the upset.
 
letting the serena tourney bets ride tonight.

murray tourney bets i'm leaving as they are, too, but i'll probably live bet djokovic IF murray wins the first set. if not, buckle up, hope murray pulls off the upset.

If you change your mind about wanting to hedge, kerber to win 1st set might be more worthwhile than her outright, serena too often pulls away from her opponents later in the match. same with djokovic tbh. Murray often has a couple tight sets vs djokowhere it looks like he has a chance but then gets schooled after that. really can't see murray winning, he was taking much longer than he should of to put away an injured raonic, although admittedly i only saw the last set and a bit of the 4th.

current odds:

Novak 1.22 (-454)
Muggry: 5.5 (+650)
 
If you change your mind about wanting to hedge, kerber to win 1st set might be more worthwhile than her outright, serena too often pulls away from her opponents later in the match. same with djokovic tbh. Murray often has a couple tight sets vs djokowhere it looks like he has a chance but then gets schooled after that. really can't see murray winning, he was taking much longer than he should of to put away an injured raonic, although admittedly i only saw the last set and a bit of the 4th.

current odds:

Novak 1.22 (-454)
Muggry: 5.5 (+650)

i hear ya. i agree, serena s3 and djok s5 are tough to beat.

gonna just let serena be, tho. i'm not concerned, honestly. she has been ON FORM the last two matches, so i think kerber is screwed. that second serve is going to get pounded

murray has had a REALLY good first set against novak a couple times in the past year or two.. i think he's got a legit chance to hang with novak early. i'll take novak -250 or whatever after (if) he loses the first set to freeroll it
 
letting the serena tourney bets ride tonight.

murray tourney bets i'm leaving as they are, too, but i'll probably live bet djokovic IF murray wins the first set. if not, buckle up, hope murray pulls off the upset.
I'm following suit. I have the same bets as you, but you are way more knowledgeable than me at this. Here's to hoping, at the very minimum, Serena comes through lol
 
Serena +185 2u for 3.7u
Serena +130 1.5 for 1.95u
Serena -145 2.2u for 1.5u

Let's do this shit!
 
sticking with my serena 2u play +116 for the tourney

i did add a fun little prop, tho. 0.5u kerber has more double faults than serena -180, hehe. (0.5u to win like 0.3u, hehe)
 
Serena first set 6-0 +1300 .05u
I have to wait until live betting opens for those type of bets on Bookmaker, but I was thinking of betting Serena 6-1 and 6-2 for Set 1, depending what the odds are.
 
I have to wait until live betting opens for those type of bets on Bookmaker, but I was thinking of betting Serena 6-1 and 6-2 for Set 1, depending what the odds are.
+550 and +450 on 5d. What you think?
 
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