General MMA discussion and future lines - February 2016

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rockhold opened at -180 and now hes going up to -195 :( ... put some at -180 but was hoping it would go down and not up
 
can't wait to hit rockhold once betsafe post their line.
hopefully we can get him at -165 or so.
 
Really want Betsafe to release Rockhold's line asap. Maia is -260 there so even though both fights are 3/4 months out and one will prob be cancelled i will lay down a big parlay on them two.
 
Magny dec +225 at Betvictor. If he wins i see that being the only way.
 
I think Shogun's a great bet and feel this fight should be closer to evens. Evan's looked like crap against Bader and if Bader can out strike him I don't see why a declining Shogun cannot. No way on earth I bet Evan's as a -240 favourite after his last performance. Even before the lay-off he struggled against Hendo and lost to Lil Nog. Shogun has stayed at Kings too. I'm placing a medium sized bet on Shogun great line.
 
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i like the bet man, but i just wonder if price could actually still climb, hehe

but if it does and you're "stuck" with +175, i still think you have good value for your $
Have any of you tried ohmbet.com? I see they have some good odds; want some feedback before I give them my CC info
 
The more i think about Magny the more I love his decision line. Lombard has never been stopped and is coming off peds. He stopped Nate who is shot and Palhares who hates getting hit. Otherwise Shields, Boetsch, Okami and Burkman have taken him the distance and he did not look great against Burkman. I guess the concern is Lombard wrestlefucks him but i really like Magny here at those odds.
 
Saw this unibet prop talked about somewhere a while ago for Tumenov to be ranked top 10 or champ at the end of 2016 @ 2.75, I took that and now the line's 2.4. I see more value in it now since the benson news broke who was ranked ahead of him. and I can easily see him winning against others ahead of him like Alves/saffiedine/DHK/nelson/story/magny. And at only 24 years old, I can see him hanging in their with a lot of the top 5/10.

The more i think about Magny the more I love his decision line. Lombard has never been stopped and is coming off peds. He stopped Nate who is shot and Palhares who hates getting hit. Otherwise Shields, Boetsch, Okami and Burkman have taken him the distance and he did not look great against Burkman. I guess the concern is Lombard wrestlefucks him but i really like Magny here at those odds.

agree with this, Gonna hold of on betting his decision line for now,I think you'll likely be able to get a better price as more books release props, or if not, on betfair exchange closer to the fight.
 
betvictor has 23 prop-bets for rockhold vs weidman:
i'm liking luke to win by ko/tko/submission @2.00 and fight to NOT go distance @1.66
 
Legacy card tonight in Texas but I don't see any lines up on 5d or BM Hmmm guess I will give it a miss if we can't make bets on it.
 
Legacy card tonight in Texas but I don't see any lines up on 5d or BM Hmmm guess I will give it a miss if we can't make bets on it.

yea you'd think we'd have lines on 5d by now if they were gonna do it at all
 
The more i think about Magny the more I love his decision line. Lombard has never been stopped and is coming off peds. He stopped Nate who is shot and Palhares who hates getting hit. Otherwise Shields, Boetsch, Okami and Burkman have taken him the distance and he did not look great against Burkman. I guess the concern is Lombard wrestlefucks him but i really like Magny here at those odds.

Man unless you are Maia playing around with Magny on the mat these days doesn't look like any sort of picnic. I think Gastelum thought he'd be able to control him and that didn't work out. I don't see Lombard being able to play around in Magny's guard all night.
 
Okay so this upcoming Bellator card "featuring" Shammy v Royce and Kimbo v Dada whatever.

Is Shammy gonna be at unplayable odds? He's old as dirt but looked somewhat athletic (okay being generous but in context) vs Kimbo and pretty much had the RNC before Kimbo somehow got out and then KO'd him. Royce is gonna come in looking like a 55 year old club tennis pro. I mean, honestly Shammy at -300 or less seems like stealing to me.

I know absolutely nothing about Dada 5000 (wow I fell retarded just saying that) but Kimbo's knees looked SHOT vs Shammy. He looked old and stiff and his movement was just horrible. If this Dada guy has literally ANY skills, power, ANYTHING he should finish Kimbo. Ken should have finished him. I think there's a chance to make $ here.

Why am I thinking about the freak show card? No idea. But there could be good $ to be made...
 
Okay so this upcoming Bellator card "featuring" Shammy v Royce and Kimbo v Dada whatever.

Is Shammy gonna be at unplayable odds? He's old as dirt but looked somewhat athletic (okay being generous but in context) vs Kimbo and pretty much had the RNC before Kimbo somehow got out and then KO'd him. Royce is gonna come in looking like a 55 year old club tennis pro. I mean, honestly Shammy at -300 or less seems like stealing to me.

I know absolutely nothing about Dada 5000 (wow I fell retarded just saying that) but Kimbo's knees looked SHOT vs Shammy. He looked old and stiff and his movement was just horrible. If this Dada guy has literally ANY skills, power, ANYTHING he should finish Kimbo. Ken should have finished him. I think there's a chance to make $ here.

Why am I thinking about the freak show card? No idea. But there could be good $ to be made...
Gonna just play the dog in that main event. Kind of expecting them to open close to evens.

Unfortunately, Dada seemingly has zero skills. If hes like, +500 though definitely will degen bet
 
Gonna just play the dog in that main event. Kind of expecting them to open close to evens.

Unfortunately, Dada seemingly has zero skills. If hes like, +500 though definitely will degen bet

If they open close to evens I will be pretty big on Ken. He still at least looks like an athlete. Ken still feels some pride about fighting and has a chip on his shoulder. I really think Royce is there 100% to collect a paycheck.

Kimbo had some okay boxing but man against Ken it looked like he could barely bend his knees. Only the fact that Ken somehow lost a choke he should have had along with the fact that Kimbo still hits hard enough to hurt Ken (and almost anyone does--aside from Royce LOL) let him win that fight. I bet Kimbo and won, but I was on the wrong side. Dada will have my backing at solid + odds and I don't care if he's an unskiled brawler LOL.
 
Betfair sportsbook have the prop back up of 5 or more UFC titles to change hands in 2016 (not including interim titles), now at 10/3 +333. Still like this quite a bit, odds have dropped since Cruz became the first new champion.

Already: RDA is underdog against McGoat, DC heavy underdog against JBJ, Weidman has a shot against Rockhold.

Lawler could be an underdog in his next fight and the one after if he retains, Werdum is vulnerable like all HW champs, Holm will have to beat Tate (style clash) and a rejuvenated Rousey, Aldo or Edgar would have a shot against McGoat at FW and could both get the chance this year, Claudia would have a shot against Joanna.
 
If they open close to evens I will be pretty big on Ken. He still at least looks like an athlete. Ken still feels some pride about fighting and has a chip on his shoulder. I really think Royce is there 100% to collect a paycheck.
Agreed.

I thought Ken was there to collect a cheque against Kimbo, but it's clear he was there to win.
 
Goiti Yamauchi vs Bubba Jenkins

Very interesting fight. Honestly, not sure at all where they'll open lines or who i'll want to play

Is this ufc?? Or bellator? Assuming bellator. No way they both got signed by the ufc and happen to be fighting each other lol
 
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