Official UFC 196 Thread

Status
Not open for further replies.
Yeah...Not exactly the best combination
Already on Conor ML and Conor dec.....but since we're on the over for significant strikes now too.....kind of feel McGregor in round 1 compliments that as easily the most likely way that doesn't hit. Wish it was at least +200 though.
 
I already did the calculations using their significant strike averages. There's obviously other factors involved but it should take approximately 1.74 rounds for the over to hit

Nice one, though I would argue the averages will swift drastically upwards in this fight, seeing as especially Nate has spend a shitload of time on his back. If you go back and watch the matches where he exclusively strike, his averages are extremely high. Same thing applies to Conor, but in a different way, as he's mostly put his opponents away quickly, or been wrastled/Wrastled himself(Holloway)
 
Am not sold fully on latifi, he looked small and scared of Jan not so long ago and villante has good solid leg kicks also, guess most are considering latifi tank like body and his ability to close the gap is excellent and no doubt he probably gets a r1 ko again but villante is a lot better then the last 2-3 guys he beat.

i really think this fight is close a 50/50 and will happily take villante at his current line. i think the size difference is going to be enormous at the weigh ins and his odds are going to shorten.
 
So many bets, ugh.

Conor -320
Conor dec +1115
Conor unam dec +1600
Conor split dec +2000
Conor/Nate over 2.5 +160
Conor/Nate over 85.5 sig strikes +170
Conor/Nate no glove touch -210
Nate to hit more takedowns +265
Holm -310
Holm/Tate over 2.5 -200 (somewhat big on this)
Latifi -190
Latifi itd -113
Latifi rd 1 +225
Anderson/Lawler over 2.5 -200
Anderson/Lawler goes distance -185
Anderson by dec -130
Nunes -150
Nunes/Schevenko o2.5 +105
Nunes dec +352
Bahadurzada KO/TKO +400
Thatch -260
Silva -220 (big)
Miranda -280
Miranda itd +105
Skelly/Elkins o 2.5 -230
Skelly dec +240
Miller/Sanchez o2.5 -250 (big)
Sanchez +120
Saggo/Salas o2.5 -125
Saggo by sub +250
Ishihara +190
Ishihara no scorecards +145

Some of these straight, some in parlays. Might have missed a few. Might add a bit.

wow and i thought i had alot of bets :D
 
Do you get money back if they have same amount of takedowns? (in other words no takedowns in the fight)
Yeah, if they are tied with takedowns in any way even if neither of them get one, the bet is a push
 
i really think this fight is close a 50/50 and will happily take villante at his current line. i think the size difference is going to be enormous at the weigh ins and his odds are going to shorten.

If you think this is a 50-50 fight then you aren't capping fights properly. I don't want to make it sound like I'm coming down hard on you for your opinion, but it's wrong. This is not a 50-50 fight because as they say "styles make fights". I can tell you just off the top off my head without doing any indepth capping for this particular fight why Latifi is the rightful favorite. It's due to the fact he's a good wrestler who doesn't have a propensity to gas. Unlike Gian who, if gets taken down is going to have trouble. Also Gian has a notoriously poor gas tank. Hell, I don't even think Gian has a power advantage but if size matters to you then yeah he's taller than Latifi.

Guys: I'll be providing my free value pick for this card very soon so stay tuned. I have one fight that I capped which I absolutely love when it comes down to value town. If there's any first time bettors who'd like some mentoring hit me up and I'll steer you in the right direction.

- Barry
 
Would you say that you're the Mayor of Valuetown, Barry?
 
damn its amazing to see how far Barry has come in the betting world.. going from being the cooler to mentoring new bettors in such a short span.. good job Barry.
 
If you think this is a 50-50 fight then you aren't capping fights properly. I don't want to make it sound like I'm coming down hard on you for your opinion, but it's wrong. This is not a 50-50 fight because as they say "styles make fights". I can tell you just off the top off my head without doing any indepth capping for this particular fight why Latifi is the rightful favorite. It's due to the fact he's a good wrestler who doesn't have a propensity to gas. Unlike Gian who, if gets taken down is going to have trouble. Also Gian has a notoriously poor gas tank. Hell, I don't even think Gian has a power advantage but if size matters to you then yeah he's taller than Latifi.

Guys: I'll be providing my free value pick for this card very soon so stay tuned. I have one fight that I capped which I absolutely love when it comes down to value town. If there's any first time bettors who'd like some mentoring hit me up and I'll steer you in the right direction.

- Barry
 
I really want to hit Holm to finish Tate x 2.40 the money on Unibet. May go big on this one
 
Move over McGOAT, the new goat has arrived: the barrygoat, the goat of valuetown!
 
Gonna go in on Conor ML + Miranda KO + Erik Silva ML.

Or i might just do all ML with Holm in there.

also thinking about Ishihara ML + Saggo ML and Sanches/Miller ov.2/5.






Anyone thinking this will be an easy fight for Holm please rewatch her fights with Pennington and Reneau. Although I think she won both clearly, she did lose rounds. Holly has shown a very limited offense game in the UFC, and a tendency to throw a 3-4 piece combo from beginning to end with seemingly no care to what her opponent is doing. It looks like she is hitting pads out there. Her defensive IQ seems to be high, offensively I still think shes severely lacking.

Ronda running at her like a mongloid on the loose shouldn't have anyone thinking she will back Miesha up and finish her. I still like Holly to win as she has an incredible mix of strength and balance that will her help her keep the fight standing and the length and fundamentals standing to steadily earn points, I just dont see it ITD. Miesha's only chance is to land the fake TD to overhand right combo that she hit Jessica Eye with over and over and over..

Miesha has been pretty open that her key to victory is pressure Holly(mindgames perhaps) and she's as wild and reckless as anyone with her aggression. she's also been saying that it's do or die for her as she may never get another titleshot.
 
Last edited:
-400 for McGregor/Diaz O 0.5 Rounds, thats getting added to some parlays.
 
If you think this is a 50-50 fight then you aren't capping fights properly. I don't want to make it sound like I'm coming down hard on you for your opinion, but it's wrong. This is not a 50-50 fight because as they say "styles make fights". I can tell you just off the top off my head without doing any indepth capping for this particular fight why Latifi is the rightful favorite. It's due to the fact he's a good wrestler who doesn't have a propensity to gas. Unlike Gian who, if gets taken down is going to have trouble. Also Gian has a notoriously poor gas tank. Hell, I don't even think Gian has a power advantage but if size matters to you then yeah he's taller than Latifi.

Guys: I'll be providing my free value pick for this card very soon so stay tuned. I have one fight that I capped which I absolutely love when it comes down to value town. If there's any first time bettors who'd like some mentoring hit me up and I'll steer you in the right direction.

- Barry

Didnt you bet Rousey @ -1000? Do you even understand capping?
 
If you think this is a 50-50 fight then you aren't capping fights properly. I don't want to make it sound like I'm coming down hard on you for your opinion, but it's wrong. This is not a 50-50 fight because as they say "styles make fights". I can tell you just off the top off my head without doing any indepth capping for this particular fight why Latifi is the rightful favorite. It's due to the fact he's a good wrestler who doesn't have a propensity to gas. Unlike Gian who, if gets taken down is going to have trouble. Also Gian has a notoriously poor gas tank. Hell, I don't even think Gian has a power advantage but if size matters to you then yeah he's taller than Latifi.

Guys: I'll be providing my free value pick for this card very soon so stay tuned. I have one fight that I capped which I absolutely love when it comes down to value town. If there's any first time bettors who'd like some mentoring hit me up and I'll steer you in the right direction.

- Barry

First time bettors: if you take Barry up on his offer the first $ you need to spend is at Walgreen's or CVS on a jar of vaseline. Keep it handy for your assholes as your bookies will be routinely entering them.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top