Non-MMA Sports Betting Discussion - April 2016

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Between yesterday and today there was so much $$ to be made on soccer. Kicking myself for making so little :(

it was a blue moon man. playing logical favs in soccer is never going to be a long-term winning strategy (i say that even after profiting).
 
Week 3 of 'Shit on the Villa', part 1:
£110 on Man Utd to beat Aston Villa + Roma to score (vs Bologna) + Estudiantes to score (vs Atletico Tucuman) @ 1.60
the early-week football shitbets went through, Week 3 part 2 is:
£110 on Man Utd to beat Aston Villa + Juventus to beat Palmero + Dodson/Manny o0.5 + Torres/Namajunas not KO @ 1.68
An embarrassing bet to post...

welp, blew up the second half of the accumulator with that retard parlay as predicted due to Manny getting waxed in seconds. Should have just done another football one but I hate betting on football so was overreaching for MMA lines instead.

Still, Villa have lost every game, the first half lives on plus I won my bet365 £200 deposit match bonus with ManUtd+Pennington+Glover, apparently I must settle bets to the value of triple my deposit and bonus amounts (£400, so £1200 I guess) before that turns into 'real' money, at odds of 1.5 and above only, and within 90 days.
Sounds like a fair excuse to continue shitting on the Villa.

Week 4 of Shit on the Villa
£175 (original money) on Southampton to beat Aston Villa @ 1.60
£175 (betsafe bonus 'money') on Southampton to beat Aston Villa @1.57
 
anyone been watching the 1st week of the snooker? I've only started watching today really, how's the top seeds playing? I'm surprised robertson went out so early, cope used to be a big prospect but didn't look like reaching his potential.
 
What's up guys?

Like the Panthers and Kings quite a bit tonight. Also pretty confident the Stars close out the Wild but it's pretty juiced up.

@iGnP what do you think of the Celtics tonight.
 
What's up guys?

Like the Panthers and Kings quite a bit tonight. Also pretty confident the Stars close out the Wild but it's pretty juiced up.

@iGnP what do you think of the Celtics tonight.
Hard to pass on +3 w a superior team. Shouldn't this line be -3 Hawks? Idk the line seems weird so I'm betting Hawks and the points but small
 
anyone been watching the 1st week of the snooker? I've only started watching today really, how's the top seeds playing? I'm surprised robertson went out so early, cope used to be a big prospect but didn't look like reaching his potential.

A little have it minimised at work. Forgot to bet both Holt and McManus in their second round matches. Love lb it but i have two youngsters so proves impossible currently. I like Higgins or Trump this year.
 
tavares goals > jagr goals

-115

jagr has 0 goals in his last 34 playoff games...


^^ it's up again. cashed two days ago, and make that 35 games for jagr w/out a goal
 
gotta take carlson G+A -185 vs schultz again, too.

should be -500 or something.
 
I think the Cavs win tonight, not really a bold prediction but after the comments from Stanley Johnson saying he's in LeBron's head, I think the Cavs come out and try to make a point. The Cavs normally show up when something pisses LeBron off. ill take the Cavs and the points in a one sided affair

As mentioned earlier I also like the Hawks +3, I think they're a horrible match up for the Celtics bc the Celtics feast off of opposing team's mistakes and the Hawks (for the most part), play pretty safe basketball. I worry that this line is way off what I think it should be set at so only half a unit here

Also taking the Spurs and the points. Their starters and reserves are better and I'm sure they wanna get this series over with to preserve their legs and get ready for OKC. Spurs cover for a unit
 
Quite like Stoke or Draw in the Man City game +280. Man City play Real on Tuesday which is a massive distraction. Stoke have conceded 8 goals in their last two games so I'd expect them to line up defensively and be hard to break down, which they are usually good at. Those two bad results were against Liverpool and Spurs who are in excellent form. My main reservation is the absence of Jack Butland.
 
A little have it minimised at work. Forgot to bet both Holt and McManus in their second round matches. Love lb it but i have two youngsters so proves impossible currently. I like Higgins or Trump this year.

I like trump too, it's gotta be between him o' sullivan and selby imo although I watched selby's match earlier and he looks terrible compared to normal form. ding will mentally crumble at some stage like normal I assume. I'm eyeing up carter or mark allen as longshots, carter must be a man possessed, it's a reasonably week field at this stage compared to normal, this could be his best chance to ever win it, and it would be an incredible story for him after what he went through. mark allen is a quality player but he often comes up a little short against the top ranked players in bigger tournaments. higgins definitely has the potential to win it again but I think he's a bit too past it these days, not the same player as a few years back.
 
think dortmund at -139 is good value. bet that fairly big and hedged with the draw. on liverpool small plus hedged a bit again

might do a johnson/barca/real madrid/atletico parlay at like +126
 
ronnie's price is a bit short against hawkins gonna place a speculative lay on the exchange
 
liverpool clown brigade do it again!

there's only one reliable bet in football:
fading Villa :p
edit: now I've just jinxed myself for next week. fuck! :mad:
 
there's only one reliable bet in football:
fading Villa :p
edit: now I've just jinxed myself for next week. fuck! :mad:

Yup. Had Southampton -175 queued up but never did it. Same with Chelsea PK -140. Stared at it for a good 3 minutes lol

Hedged enough so I didn't lose anything on the Liverpool draw, so I'm up pretty good thanks to Dortmund. Not betting Chelsea like I wanted to is my only regret today
 
o sullivan is underpriced a lot these days, and no where near as invincinble as a lot of people think. hawkins is legit.

5-3 hawkins atm Im kinda surprised ronnie's still 1.45 to win.
 
Tempted to put $665 to win $34 on Barcelona to make my account even lol. Hmmm

Edit: damn I delayed too long and the game started. No LB on BM either
 
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Pacers 1Q ML -115 for 0.5u- no strong lean in this game, i feel like it could go either way. But with the Pacers backs against the wall, needing a win, they should come out with some energy.
 
^^ i wish all my bets (preferably the big ones) were that easy. I might do the same with Charlotte 1Q ML later today
 
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