UFN 88 - Las Vegas - Almeida vs Garbrandt - 5/29/16

[Timurd123]

And I thought that Saff was the one with the Neck Injury, buying out of my Story play asap

 

[EzFlyer]

I wanna buy out of my Trinaldo ITD.
God damn I thought Truijillo was a huge lightweight and he was significantly smaller than Rinaldi. Might hedge with Rinaldo sub.

trinaldo = trujillo, yea?

i did the hedge at a small loss, had the same play

 

[EzFlyer]

I know it's a Fight Pass prelim but I bet Sterling/Caraway FOTN at +700. Also like the over 4½ KOs on up as I see a lot of KOs happening. Also took a couple flyers on submissions under 1½ and no submissions both at + money.

took a shot at barao-stephens FOTN.

will feel slightly dumb if it ends up being garbrandt-almeida, tho

 

[EzFlyer]

And I thought that Saff was the one with the Neck Injury, buying out of my Story play asap

i swear i might've been part of that saff neck rumor, i think i misread something last week. but maybe not. but the people who bet story when they heard that when i did got the price movement in their favor, anyway.

but yea, i bought out of all action on story-saff, man. that fight ... who the hell knows. so many questions with both guys. the layoffs, the injuries.. the both can have close fights often, anyway... i totally see a split decision here if they're not damaged fighters

 

[Sham5916910]

Really like sterling mr tate o 2.5 @ -160 and do like Sterling dec +100.

 

[RyuDave]

I like it, too. I think I'm going with caraway Dec though but my prebets will be small I'm going lb mainly... Thanks fuk it's a bank holiday tomorrow!

 

[kuromusha]

Glad I'm not the only one on Rinaldi. However, for him to win, he has to make it past the 1st round.

 

[waiguoren]

Glad I'm not the only one on Rinaldi. However, for him to win, he has to make it past the 1st round.

Do you know where to find footage of Rinaldi's last fight (vs. Alcocks)?

 

[barrygood1]

I know there are no safe bets on MMA, but what do you think of this parlay. Who's more closely to get a win, Barao or Masvidal?

Bro, hate to give you some bad news because it sounds like you're a parlay fodder type of bettor, but parlay's are the single most dangerous type of bets in the sports betting realm. Stick to singles and by that I mean avoid parlays like it's kryptonite. It's a mathematical certainty if you bet nothing but parlays you will lose in the long term because the sports books have a ridiculously big edge over you. Can you get lucky in the short term? Yes, but it's career betting suicide, unless you don't mind giving away your hard earned money to the billion dollar sportsbook industry.

This is just an example who you're lining the pockets of with parlay type of bets:

 

[susanto]

Bro, hate to give you some bad news because it sounds like you're a parlay fodder type of bettor, but parlay's are the single most dangerous type of bets in the sports betting realm. Stick to singles and by that I mean avoid parlays like it's kryptonite. It's a mathematical certainty if you bet nothing but parlays you will lose in the long term because the sports books have a ridiculously big edge over you. Can you get lucky in the short term? Yes, but it's career betting suicide, unless you don't mind giving away your hard earned money to the billion dollar sportsbook industry.

This is just an example who you're lining the pockets of with parlay type of bets:

Barry,

Can you give us your tip for this card?

Thanks

 

[kuromusha]

Do you know where to find footage of Rinaldi's last fight (vs. Alcocks)?

I can't find it at all. I was hoping Legacy would have a recording of it somewhere.

 

[Sham5916910]

Bro, hate to give you some bad news because it sounds like you're a parlay fodder type of bettor, but parlay's are the single most dangerous type of bets in the sports betting realm. Stick to singles and by that I mean avoid parlays like it's kryptonite. It's a mathematical certainty if you bet nothing but parlays you will lose in the long term because the sports books have a ridiculously big edge over you. Can you get lucky in the short term? Yes, but it's career betting suicide, unless you don't mind giving away your hard earned money to the billion dollar sportsbook industry.

This is just an example who you're lining the pockets of with parlay type of bets:

I completely disagree. I am well into five figure br territory and most of it is due to two and three man parlays.

 

[Sham5916910]

I like it, too. I think I'm going with caraway Dec though but my prebets will be small I'm going lb mainly... Thanks fuk it's a bank holiday tomorrow!

Ditto bank holiday and lb only bar a few small hail marys!

 

[RyuDave]

Ditto bank holiday and lb only bar a few small hail marys!

I've done a few too..I'll post a couple of the more favourable ones I like in a bit.

 

[EzFlyer]

took a shot at barao-stephens FOTN.

will feel slightly dumb if it ends up being garbrandt-almeida, tho

I don't wanna feel slightly dumb, so I'm doing a little on garvrandt-almeida fotn, too.

 

[mkess101]

I know it's a Fight Pass prelim but I bet Sterling/Caraway FOTN at +700. Also like the over 4½ KOs on up as I see a lot of KOs happening. Also took a couple flyers on submissions under 1½ and no submissions both at + money.

Like the no subs prop. Of course it's not LIKELY to hit but there's not one fight where you look and think there's a good chance it ends with a sub. At +463 I think there's some value.

 

[kenCs]

trinaldo = trujillo, yea?

i did the hedge at a small loss, had the same play

Yeah but I don't know why I mistook them for each other lol. Maybe they're both Brazilians and might be juiced.
I bought out of it and going to LB. Gonna put it on Stephens instead. Might be the night of the dogs.

 

[mkess101]

Decisions. I actually think we'll see a decent amount tonight.

Likely:

Story/Saff, Larkin/Mas, Eye/Mcmann, Caraway/Sterling,

Very possible:

Stephens/Barao, Camozzi/Miranda, Burkman/Felder

Have a shot:

Koch/Campbell

Pretty unlikely:

Cody/Almeida, Trujillo/Rinaldi, Collier/Uda (but maybe in the "have a shot" category?)

Almost no chance:

DLR/Milstead

I think the over 6.5 and over 7.5 dec props have some value at +178 and +480 respectively.

 

[Joseph Budden]

I completely disagree. I am well into five figure br territory and most of it is due to two and three man parlays.

Love me a good two team, sometimes three, but before that guy gets the wrong idea it is NOT a good decision to parlay Barao and Masvidal. Just play them separately with the prices they offer.

 

[Oblivian]

I think my returns on parlays vs. singles is fairly equivalent.