UFC 199 - Los Angeles - Rockhold vs Bisping - 6/4/16

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Urijah isnt near as quick as he was during their 2nd fight. His speed has been the most noticeable decline and he hasnt been the usual dominant Urijah in the Caceres, Cisco or Saenz fights. He was losing clearly to Cisco and losing more exchanges than usual against Saenz. He couldnt react as quickly as he could in the past.

Caceres, Green and Lamas would be a decent parlay but even then ud lose and there are better underdog bets on the card, u shouldnt include Bisping or Urijah. Reaching too high there.
 
1. Cacares has only lost once by knockout and that was to hard hitting Rivera. Cole Miller is far more likely to win by sub as he only has 1 TKO win in UFC and that was in his debut.

2. Prior has far more tools to win this fight, including the power advantage which should play the deciding factor. Can't forget about Bobby's 19 month layoff.

3. While Lamas shouldn't be a 3-1 underdog as he is more than capable of winning this fight via wrestling; his striking defense could be tightened up. I see this fight 60/40 for Max as he will likely tee Lamas up on the fight.

4. Faber did not have a close fight with Edgar. It was a complete 50-45 wipeout. You also can't forget the fact that Urijah has mostly been beating guys ranked outside the top 5. I agree the odds are off for this fight, but Cruz came back after multiple surgeries and a long layoff and performed great against Dillashaw who has far superior striking than Faber. Cruz should win a comfortable 49-46 48-47 49-46 decision.
 
waiguoren said:
5Slimes is really annoying me. They tempt us with reduced juice lines but then limit the hell out of them and only reset the line every 30 minutes. Hard to put any serious action down this way.
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If you bet significant sums and I don't mean a Benji, more like at a bare minimum a dime (no pun intended) I'd be willing to offer you an "agent". You'll have higher limits than your average bettor gets. Get in touch if you are deadly serious and we can talk price.

- Barry
 
JimGunn said:
Dominick Cruz/Urijah Faber FOTN +425, I like it.
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Notbad. 13 fight card tho, lil harder than usual.. and lil higher chance for a cancellation in the form of 4 POTN...

+650 Holloway lamas isn't bad

Poirier green already dropped to +375

Think those are the 3 more likely fotn winners.

That said, they have stiffed Poirier on FOTN bonus multiple times!
 
Jae Gibbz said:
I hope somebody tailed me on Cruz SD +1015 and Faber NSC +311. They are currently +381 and +181, respectively. They are so hedgeable that I hedged out my full unit on Cruz SD to the point where I have a $300+ freeroll on it
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Yep, I did both when you brought them up on sunday.. just not as much as I should have
 
Lombard Fastest KO +450?!

Have soo much on him already, but I can't pass them up.

Might play Cruz/Faber and Poirier/Green for FOTN but idk yet. My luck is pretty damn horrible betting that prop lol
 
Anyone else like Elvis/Casey ITD @ -180 or u2.5 @ -130?

Elvis are his natural weightclass, seems a decent finisher, only issue being he is tough to finish himself. Casey is prone to gassing and can be quite aggressive and I expect he'll fight more emotional/aggressive tonight after his father in law died. Feel like he may come out and try to just KO Elvis and if he can't manage it, either get KO'ed himself or tire out and get finished later in the fight.

I feel like if I go for either of those, it should possibly be ITD at a bit of a worse price but giving me cover for the portion of the fight where if Casey does get finished, it's one of the more likely parts for it to happen given his gassing but at the same time being a tough bastard and able to absorb some punishment prior to getting finished (as showed the natal fight).

That said I've got this fear of it just being an awful cilcnh battle against the cage that goes to a decision.
 
Guile said:
4. Faber did not have a close fight with Edgar. It was a complete 50-45 wipeout. You also can't forget the fact that Urijah has mostly been beating guys ranked outside the top 5. I agree the odds are off for this fight, but Cruz came back after multiple surgeries and a long layoff and performed great against Dillashaw who has far superior striking than Faber. Cruz should win a comfortable 49-46 48-47 49-46 decision.
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TJ a better striker than Uriah? Maybe TJ is a more diverse striker but Uriah is much more effective. Plus striking isn't the way to beat Cruz if you're Uriah. Cruz is going to outland Faber because of his reach and movement. Faber is going to wrestle, GnP, and sub his way to victory. If he has a stand up war with Cruz then he deserves to lose like TJ.
 
4 first fights no live bet on bet365. Fuck.
 
RIP Muhammed Ali. GOAT.
 
so I keep getting this message on 5d

"The price on this event is being evaluated. Check back momentarily for an updated price."

did they flag my account or something?
 
lefontes said:
4 first fights no live bet on bet365. Fuck.
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Usually isnt. They dont even have props until day of the fights. Thats why imma try out Paddy power.
 
I'm prob the oldest person on here. You guys will never understand how big Ali-Frazier 1 was. I have trouble coming up the 2nd biggest sporting event of my lifetime. I was a little kid and even our mothers were talking about it and they never talked about sports ever.

It was the great divide, all us kids loved Ali and our parents hated him. It was the first time for most of us being on the other side of a rooting interest with our parents. It was front page news. If it was held today, it would have to do a billion world wide PPV.. Could you imagine Mayweather giving up 4 years of his prime to make a personal stance (he was never going to war, he'd do promotional stuff and visit based and stuff).
 
NewcastleTom said:
I'm prob the oldest person on here. You guys will never understand how big Ali-Frazier 1 was. I have trouble coming up the 2nd biggest sporting event of my lifetime. I was a little kid and even our mothers were talking about it and they never talked about sports ever.

It was the great divide, all us kids loved Ali and our parents hated him. It was the first time for most of us being on the other side of a rooting interest with our parents. It was front page news. If it was held today, it would have to do a billion world wide PPV.. Could you imagine Mayweather giving up 4 years of his prime to make a personal stance (he was never going to war, he'd do promotional stuff and visit based and stuff).
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visit bases I meant
 
dont forget Caceres is taking the fight on short notice...
 
Could be interesting bets individually but by putting them all in together, you're pretty much betting on Cody McKenzie to beat Brock Lesnar.
 
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