UFN 89 - Wonderboy vs Waterboy - 6/18 - Ontario part II

Status
Not open for further replies.
Good feedback, but again 32 pro fights for Cote, never been stopped by strikes. And plenty of those against MUCH bigger guys who hit much harder than Cowboy.

Another reason I think the line has value: Even if Cowboy were to land a head kick that really hurt Cote, Cowboy will often use that as an opportunity to sub hunt and finish that way. So even if he does land and have Cote in trouble (unlikely imo, but of course possible), he may not opt to finish with strikes.
Cote is 36, his chin isnt gonna be granite forever. Fighters lose their chins seemingly overnight. Sure, it's not likely that Cowboy knocks him out but at -500, why even bother?
 
Cote is 36, his chin isnt gonna be granite forever. Fighters lose their chins seemingly overnight. Sure, it's not likely that Cowboy knocks him out but at -500, why even bother?

Well, I threw it in a couple parlays. Might regret it but since I think it's <10% that Cowboy wins by KO/TKO it seems to have value in my eyes.
 
You answered your own question.

Plus, those props are not really an option for bigger bettors. ML and OU are all they got.

Yeah they limit the props a lot more, good point. Still think that for whatever you can get on it this is the right play.
 
Im not betting val as a favourite

roxymodaferri.jpg
 
Well, I threw it in a couple parlays. Might regret it but since I think it's <10% that Cowboy wins by KO/TKO it seems to have value in my eyes.
To each their own. I could never find value/bet on a -500 play bc the risk heavily outweighs the reward imo
 
Not got any particular favs due to close fights tonight but...

wb r1-r2 stoppage, if not may start live betting rory if he makes it to r3
Cote su
bosse r1 ko if not lb o'connell
mercier decision
val decision
saggo but silva will make this close
misha
jotko
soto
elias
randa
colby decision
ali

Last 2 figtht's on main card are going to be awesome for live betting!
 
To each their own. I could never find value/bet on a -500 play bc the risk heavily outweighs the reward imo

I very rarely do anything this steep in parlays. I only put it in a couple small ones here. I guess as a Cowboy fan if I'm wrong I get to see him finish a super tough guy by KO/TKO. That's...something anyway LOL.
 
Ah, she beat Val. Got it.

It was 3 years ago though.

I am wondering if Jo Calderwood would make it past rd 2 with the current champ. Val actually looked outstanding.

Ha ha I just saw you have $3k on Val, so not like I need to try to sell you on her in this fight I guess...
 
Last edited:
Not got any particular favs due to close fights tonight but...

wb r1-r2 stoppage, if not may start live betting rory if he makes it to r3
Cote su
bosse r1 ko if not lb o'connell
mercier decision
val decision
saggo but silva will make this close
misha
jotko
soto
elias
randa
colby decision
ali

Last 2 figtht's on main card are going to be awesome for live betting!

Like your picks mate, I'm watching some footage in a bit but I think Colby has his hands full for a start.
Worried about Soto short notice even though I'm big on him.
I think cerrone edges it to a Dec and Jacksons game plan
As for Rory/WB I think it's so close but Rory is going to get a takedown or clinch if he can close the distance. I also think his jab is going to be a deciding factor too.. If he can land it.
 
Ha ha I just saw you have $3k on Val, so not like I need to try to sell you on her in this fight I guess...
I placed that bet before I realized/remembered she lost to Modafferi, but it doesn't really change my view of the fight.
 
I placed that bet before I realized/remembered she lost to Modafferi, but it doesn't really change my view of the fight.

Yeah it shouldn't. Her fight with JJ that just happened is obviously way more relevant. Putting Calderwood in her place, that thing probably doesn't see rd 3 even with how tough Calderwood is. Ref would have no choice but to stop it with JJ just battering Jo.

Man I've capped fights way wrong before but unless Val comes in like a shell of what she looked like against JJ and/or Calderwood improved by a TON all of a sudden, this fight **shouldn't** be close.
 
Yeah it shouldn't. Her fight with JJ that just happened is obviously way more relevant. Putting Calderwood in her place, that thing probably doesn't see rd 3 even with how tough Calderwood is. Ref would have no choice but to stop it with JJ just battering Jo.

Man I've capped fights way wrong before but unless Val comes in like a shell of what she looked like against JJ and/or Calderwood improved by a TON all of a sudden, this fight **shouldn't** be close.
Totally agree.
 
Theodorou gassed badly last time out. He looks fat in the weigh in pic. I'll take a stab at alvey.
 
Im going to bed for three hrs kip see you mofos in my zombie state.
 
does anyone have any idea why the Saggo line dropped?
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top