If you think Casey is winning approx 4 out of 10 times, then there is value in the bet, and I understand that bet. I don't know if 5 units is a maximum bet for you, but to say it's gonna be an easy win for Casey sounds almost too biased. If there's something you know that we don't, please don't hesitate to inform us
Would like too know why we're the goofs and you're so confident in Casey?
You're correct about Stanciu, but as stated earlier, she's has just begun her UFC career. Compared to others, she did very well in her debut, and will probably do even better in this one. I think she has the cardio advantage and grappling advantage. Casey wants to bang and doesn't do a great job of pacing herself. This is a short notice fight for both fighters, so this should be an advantage for Stanciu as well. Stanciu had an easy weight cut as well.
How do you cap this fight? From my point of view and this line, I would need approx. 65% winning chance for Casey too make such a huge bet. Bear in mind that my maximum risk is 5units.