Your Official UFC Fox 20 Bets

Up £3083. Half from Barb + Ngannou other half mostly from lb Shev dec and Shev closing some pretty long shot parlays one at +2300. Biggest winning night ever.

Missed a 9 man parlay £30 for £11k by one let down - i forever hate you Pepey!
 
Whats up guys. I didn't post any bets for the last 4 events since I was away for all of them but to summarize: IT WENT TERRIBLE. After UFC 200 I was down 12u over those 3 events. Luckily I won 5.3u on the Lineker card but still down a lot.

8u Barboza -161
4u Holm/Shevchenko O4.5 -133
2u Herrig/Curran O2.5 -172
1u Pepey +170
0.75u Yakovlev +200

0.5u Pepey ITD +300
0,37u Herrig Dec +275

2u NOT Elkins ITD + NOT Herrig ITD -178

Im huge on Barboza. I knew that line would get worse so kind of a line movement play but im gonna ride with it. I feel very confident. Maybe I shouldn't considering that most of my big plays has failed me recently but yeah.
+4.7u. Shevshenko LB +250 and -110 after round 2 and 3 made this a good night.
 
up around £800, primarily from a single bet on shevchenko at +300 (LOL) and a ngannou/barb parlay.

most of my bets earlier in the night tanked but they were small.
 
Sorry to those that didn't tail but I gave you plenty of time

+9.5 units on the night, +17 if you tailed both of my bets I've posted so far (Cortney Casey last week)

Good night and a lot of my personal bets won but they don't matter since I didn't mention them. Hope you lot did well too.

Also, Knight won FOTN but don't forget that he does nothing but pull guard and use rubber guard guys because he did it in one fight against a vet. I told you he has superior everything over Alers except wrestling.

Congratz for a huge win for you! Very well done!
I haven´t seen you before from what I remember i´m relatively new to the scene, but when do you usually post bets? Do you keep track of them somewhere where I can see your stats?
And are you an some sort of gambling proffesional who works with this or some expert? From the sounds of how you said "Sorry to those that didn't tail but I gave you plenty of time" it sounds like you´re one who sells or gives free picks?

Anyway nice win you got, and very interesting about this tailing betting. Hoping to hear more about this fascinating stuff.
 
Congratz for a huge win for you! Very well done!
I haven´t seen you before from what I remember i´m relatively new to the scene, but when do you usually post bets? Do you keep track of them somewhere where I can see your stats?
And are you an some sort of gambling proffesional who works with this or some expert? From the sounds of how you said "Sorry to those that didn't tail but I gave you plenty of time" it sounds like you´re one who sells or gives free picks?

Anyway nice win you got, and very interesting about this tailing betting. Hoping to hear more about this fascinating stuff.

Ahem.
 
This is getting embarrassing. I have to stop taking such big positions in the main events and WMMA bouts especially.

UFC on Fox 20 Results
Risk $3597.50

Holly Holm (-300) vs Valentina Shevchenko $600.00 for $200.00= -$600.00
Holly Holm/Valentina Shevchenko Over 4½ (-165) $165.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Holly Holm wins by 5 round decision (+120) $200.00 for $240.00= -$200.00
Valentina Shevchenko wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+1000) $25.00 for $250.00= -$25.00

Edson Barboza (-225) vs Gilbert Melendez $225.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Edson Barboza wins inside distance (+245) $50.00 for $122.50= -$50.00

Francis Ngannou wins in round 2 (+400) vs Bojan Mihajlovic $25.00 for $100.00= -$25.00
Francis Ngannou wins by submission (+751) $15.00 for $112.65= -$15.00

Kailin Curran/Felice Herrig Over 2½ (-175) $175.00 for $100.00= -$175.00
Kailin Curran wins by 3 round decision (+190) $100.00 for $190.00= -$100.00

Frankie Saenz (-160) vs Eddie Wineland $160.00 for $100.00= -$160.00
Frankie Saenz/Eddie Wineland Over 2½ (-200) $200.00 for $100.00= -$200.00
Frankie Saenz wins by 3 round decision (+120) $100.00 for $120.00= -$100.00

Godofredo Pepey (+210) vs Darren Elkins $100.00 for $210.00= -$100.00
Godofredo Pepey wins in round 1 (+450) $20.00 for $90.00= -$20.00
Godofredo Pepey wins by submission (+410) $25.00 for $102.50= -$25.00
Darren Elkins wins in round 3 (+1150) $20.00 for $230.00= -$20.00

Alexander Yakovlev (+210) vs Kamaru Usman $200.00 for $420.00= -$200.00
Kamaru Usman wins by 3 round decision (+119) $100.00 for $119.00= $119.00

Michel Prazeres (-220) vs J.C. Cottrell $110.00 for $50.00= $50.00
Michel Prazeres wins inside distance (+223) $45.00 for $100.35= -$45.00

Alex Oliveira (-215) vs James Moontasri $215.00 for $100.00= $100.00

Jason Knight (+170) vs Jim Alers $150.00 for $255.00= $255.00
Jason Knight wins by 3 round decision (+405) $50.00 for $202.50= $202.50

Dmitry Smolyakov (-135) vs Luis Henrique $67.50 for $50.00= -$67.50
Dmitry Smolyakov wins by submission (+800) $25.00 for $200.00= -$25.00

Fights to go distance over 6½ (+170) $40.00 for $68.00= $68.00
Fights to go distance over 7½ (+450) $25.00 for $112.50= -$25.00
Fights to go distance over 8½ (+1500) $15.00 for $225.00= -$15.00
Fights to go distance over 9½ (+7500) $10.00 for $750.00= -$10.00

Kailin Curran/Felice Herrig FOTN award winner (+600) $15.00 for $90.00= -$15.00
Michel Prazeres wins Fastest KO (+2500) $10.00 for $250.00= -$10.00
Dmitry Smolyakov wins Fastest SUB (+2750) $10.00 for $275.00= -$10.00

Parlay:
Alex Oliveira (-225) vs James Moontasri + Francis Ngannou (-700) vs Bojan Mihajlovic $155.00 for $100.87= $100.87

Round Robin of six two-team parlays at $25.00 each risking $150.00 for $200.20:
Frankie Saenz/Eddie Wineland Over 2½ (-220) + Kailin Curran/Felice Herrig Over 2½ (-190) + Edson Barboza/Gilbert Melendez Over 2½ (-190) + Holly Holm/Valentina Shevchenko Over 4½ (-165)= -$88.72
-----
Total Loss= -$1230.85
 
SU
1U Felice Herrig @ +100
1U Eddie Wineland @ +140
3U Edson Barboza @ -162
7U Holly Holm @ -155

Props
0.25U Herrig UD @ +400
0.5U Barboza UD @ +220
1U Holm UD @ +187
0.25U Holm & Barboza UD @ +800

Monthly Total: - 3.25U
Yearly Total: + 12.75U

Trying out a few Unanimous Decision Props as i think they can hold some value vs straight up decision. Watch them Splits come in now!

Edit:
Adding 3U More to Holm to make odds of just over -155
I think thats a crazy price, especially after the weigh ins last night, i expected holly to shorten maybe to -250 / -300 due to the size difference and how good she looked but its gone the other way!
Haven't bet 7U for a while, 5 is normally my limit so i hope it pays off!

Also adding 0.25U on the Holm Barboza UD Double @ +800

Fucks Sake Holm! Was going so well until then! Luckily I got the Shev decision to save a lot of the losses. Still a little disappointing with how well i was doing going in to the Main Event.

SU
1U Eddie Wineland @ +140 (+1.4U)
1U Felice Herrig @ +100 (+1U)(+2.4U)
3U Edson Barboza @ -162 (+1.85U)(+4.25U)
7U Holly Holm @ -155 (-7U)(-2.75U)

Props
0.25U Herrig UD @ +400 (-0.25U)
0.5U Barboza UD @ +220 (+1.1U)(+0.85U)
1U Holm UD @ +187 (-1U)(-0.15U)
0.25U Holm & Barboza UD @ +800 (-0.25U)(-0.4U)

Pre/In-Play
0.5U Ngannou Rd 1 @ +120 (+0.6U)
1U Shevchenko Decision @ +500 (+5U)(+5.6U)

Total: +2.45U

Monthly Total: - 0.8U
Yearly Total: + 15.2U

 
1.5u Holm (-197) -2.95u
1.5u Holm DEC (+120) -1.5u

1.5u Barboza (-180) +1.5u
0.5u Barboza KO (+305) -0.5u

0.5u Wineland DEC (+312) -0.5u

0.25u Pepey SUB (+350) -.25u

0.25u Yakovlev DEC (+704) -.25u

0.25u Knight SUB (+420) -.25u

2u Barboza/Holm-Shevchenko o3.0 (+103) +2u
2u Barboza/Holm (+106) -2u
1u Holm DEC/Barboza ITD (+543) -1u
1u Ngannou KO/Wineland-Saenz o2.5/Pepey NSC/Knight NSC (+457) -1u
0.5u Wineland DEC/Pepey SUB (+1754) -.5u
0.25u Knight/Prazeres/Elkins/Wineland/Ngannou/Barboza/Holm (+2580) -0.25u

1u RR Yakovlev (+190)/Herrig DEC (+210)/Elkins DEC (+100) -1u

NET -8.45u

I was very confident in Holm and it ended up costing me. I had 11.45u riding on her and I didn't hedge or live bet when I had the chance. I really thought it was tied 2-2 headed to the fifth, but Shev clearly had the momentum from the second round on. That combined with stabbing props on underdogs without playing their MLs really killed me here.


 
Up £3083. Half from Barb + Ngannou other half mostly from lb Shev dec and Shev closing some pretty long shot parlays one at +2300. Biggest winning night ever.

Missed a 9 man parlay £30 for £11k by one let down - i forever hate you Pepey!

grats on the huge win, sham!
 
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