UFC on Fox 21: Condit vs Maia - Vancouver

[Turtleguard]

lmfao @ this guy talking shit

is that Danny Brown?

 

[Soccer Steve]

lmfao @ this guy talking shit

"I is talking the shit with you. Follow us in the twitter."

 

[iGnP]

Is not that "simple" to just look at the implied probability and compare it with the odds. You have more probabilities and you have variance on them... Oh wait, did you though about that? I can post you some books heres so you can inform yourself

yes, i did 'though' about that *face palm*

 

[Timurd123]

Yes, English is not his first language.... What is this , the heavies ?


Intersports try to keep your picks etc to one post in the future, 9 posts is a bit much

 

[Timurd123]

I think Bec is a pretty solid bet here, am I missing something? PVZ has horrible striking, she's going to be very hittable. PVZ will look to clinch but Bec has decent BJJ, the only advantage I see PVZ having is athleticism and cardio. Bec has solid training partners she can test herself with, who the hell does PVZ spar with?

PvZ will grind her, she will get takedowns, score a bit and win a decision

How does bec win a dec ? PvZ aint standing with her , only enough to create tie ups

 

[Joseph Budden]

is that Danny Brown?

Yeah

 

[LEMONZEST]

So there you have it, 3 underdogs, one match to stay away from.

An average return for this evening of 69%, stronger than last weekend. We can afford to be wrong up to 4 of the 9 fights and still break even.

Stay tuned and follow us in twitter

Fuck off you rank ass cunt

 

[chemmy]

Is not that "simple" to just look at the implied probability and compare it with the odds. You have more probabilities and you have variance on them... Oh wait, did you though about that? I can post you some books heres so you can inform yourself

Clearly that makes zero sense. Why calculate a probability if you are going to completely disregard it when you place your bet? Extremely flawed thinking.

 

[Shoulder]

Such a lovely crowd here

But I don't get it, why don't you play Olivera when the odds are better than you think they should be? At what odds would you play him?

 

[plekz]

Such a lovely crowd here

probably because you are trying to use the forum in a commerical sense, which is against the rules. you then acting as a smirmy c'nt when questioned doesn't help win you over people either. so easiest for everyone involved if you just click your heels three times and fuck off back to kansas dorothy.

 

[chemmy]

probably because you are trying to use the forum in a commerical sense, which is against the rules. you then acting as a smirmy c'nt when questioned doesn't help win you over people either. so easiest for everyone involved if you just click your heels tree times and fuck off back to kansas dorothy.

Can always count on you to tell it like it is.

 

[chemmy]

Does anybody know whatever happened to Hazak? He was a decent poster in these threads and it seems like he disappeared around the time of the forum change.

 

[Turtleguard]

Yeah

Hell yea. Saw him live this year.

 

[Turtleguard]

PvZ will grind her, she will get takedowns, score a bit and win a decision

How does bec win a dec ? PvZ aint standing with her , only enough to create tie ups

I can see bec getting a tko or sub, but PVZ grinding her out could also happen.

 

[RyuDave]

Mainly lb for me tonight I think, I will have a small stab at Maia sub and split Dec pre bet

Was thinking of a 2 team but I honestly can't find one I like

 

[Dooze]

I don't mind infersports posting here, thiugh the Oliveira thing is a bit weird.

Out of interest, what do you use to come up with these percentages that you post? Just wondering how you reach your conclusions in terms of what stats you use to come up with the numbers. I'm assuming something related to fight metric stats for things like takedowns/significant strikes/sub attempts in past fights, but I don't really know.

 

[Agent Mulder]

Infersports mathematics are completely off but he can post his stuff here for all I care. However, I dont understand the point of just typing a bunch of picks without saying why you pick a certain fighter or why you give them a certain percent chance of winning.

 

[infersports]

But I don't get it, why don't you play Olivera when the odds are better than you think they should be? At what odds would you play him?

Is not only about the odds. Let's see if there is someone who follows me here. It is also about the error estimating this probability. Makes sense?

 

[RyuDave]

What were you results last event?

 

[infersports]

probably because you are trying to use the forum in a commerical sense, which is against the rules. you then acting as a smirmy c'nt when questioned doesn't help win you over people either. so easiest for everyone involved if you just click your heels tree times and fuck off back to kansas dorothy.

@plekz, thanks for your valuable comments