UFN 95 - Cyborg vs Lansberg - Brazil

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crewman said:
I fail to see the hype on Chagas. Having a close fight with Moraes means nothing.

Even if you consider Erick's inferior fight camp, post usada question marks, and lack of motivation, I still think its more than enough to defeat Chagas. I'm completely befuddled with the line flip. I thought +120 was a steal on Erick...

Someone either knows something we don't or someones making a big mistake betting on Chagas.
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Its not just an inferior camp, he basically isnt training with pros, he couldnt care less , he will come in with no motivation and the worst physicall shape he's been in the UFC, he has a puncher's chance

Wait for the weigh ins before making a decision on this one
 
Kinda glad i've got Nelson straight in a parlay rather than the under. I do expect Roy to launch a missile tho i mean c'mon he's not stupid...is he...

I think i have to play Silva @ these odds. Will wait for weigh ins tho.

Think im gonna add to Felder dec +350. Felder split +1200 yes please. Trinaldo split +750 yes please.
 
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NinjaCat456 said:
That's crazy. Broadening the risk for worse odds. You'd think people would study the prices before parting with their cash :?
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Not everyone takes betting seriously enough to do it. And if you're on these forums, you're not one of them :p
 
Sham5916910 said:
Kinda glad i've got Nelson straight in a parlay rather than the under. I do expect Roy to launch a missile tho i mean c'mon he's not stupid...is he...

I think i have to play Silva @ these odds. Will wait for weigh ins tho.

Think im gonna add to Felder dec +350. Felder split +1200 yes please. Trinaldo split +750 yes please.
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Wish 5D or BM had split decision odds for fights other than main events or title bouts!
 
Barao dec +155 Barao unanimous dec +240. I'll take unan please.

Roy within 60 secs +750 lol ok thank you very much!

Erick Silva + Formiga + Felder dec + Barao dec + Santos KO +5700
 
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I think I'm leaning towards pickin de la torre to beat Pepey.

Pepey has wild loopy stand up. He basically just throws with all his might and hope it connects. He's super sloppy and has no technique. His wrestling isn't any good and man, even his bread and butter, his guard game has been eaten up by people who just GnP'd him. He accepts bottom very easily and he swings overhand rights with a tall lanky body frame. He just doesn't make sense to me as a fighter.

De la torre isn't that good himself either, he's been tapped like 4 times and 2 of them were triangles which is Pepey's speciality. But I'd trust DLT's striking/TDD combination over whatever Pepey's got in the stand up. DLT throws tighter punches and he throws a good left hook. I'd trust that left hook to land more consistently than any of that wild shit that Pepey throws. If DLT can keep this on the feet I think he has a real shot at cashing as a dog. He just needs to break clinches and practice disengaging and even look out for Pepey pulling guard.

Overall, I've got a bet on Pepey sub 100/250$ with Pepey not ITD 140/100. Now I'm getting ready to play DLT +125 and a nice lil flyer on his decision line. Nothing significant but some decent action on some bummy fighters.
 
MMA Vivisection is out:

 
I def thought to put 0.5u on Cyborg/Lansberg o1.5 but with this size difference...

SIlva is +140 now in b365, i def think this has samo value
 
Yeah Silva +140 is pretty crazy. I was gonna fade him initially but I might be forced to bet him instead lol.

Unibet has NOT Silva ITD -200. I think theres value in that line. Silva has had a more conservative approach lately.
 
Agent Mulder said:
Yeah Silva +140 is pretty crazy. I was gonna fade him initially but I might be forced to bet him instead lol.

Unibet has NOT Silva ITD -200. I think theres value in that line. Silva has had a more conservative approach lately.
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Is not x ITD new at Unibet? I didnt think Euro books offered that line.
 
I have never seen such line in the euro bookies. So is with some other lines too like the split decision line
 
Sham5916910 said:
Is not x ITD new at Unibet? I didnt think Euro books offered that line.
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Unibet has always had it, it's just called a little different. They always have a box called 'To Win by Finish', with the two fighters below each other and odds for Yes / No.
 
Timurd123 said:
Its not just an inferior camp, he basically isnt training with pros, he couldnt care less , he will come in with no motivation and the worst physicall shape he's been in the UFC, he has a puncher's chance

Wait for the weigh ins before making a decision on this one
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did he say he did not care somewhere? from looking on his twitter it looks like he is training hard and looks to be in good shape.. maybe he just wanted to be closer to his family or something..
 
just by looking at ericks instagram you would think that he is on that brazilian bomba again, looks to be in great shape
 
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