UFN 95 - Cyborg vs Lansberg - Brazil

Status
Not open for further replies.
confidence increase
and fyi if you're brazilian da bomba Isn't even cheating, it was sanctioned by jesus himself

jesus-bodybuilding-meme.png
 
It's what we use in the UK I'm afraid :)

What I'm saying is somehow they're offering lesser odds for the ITD bets for Nelson & Cyborg than the ML. Got to be a mistake but they still haven't corrected it.
Nah fuck that. I'm in the UK and use decimal or the yank odds only, they actually make sense. Fuck fractions.
 
Playing Erick Silva moderately here @ +143. Not a huge bet for me, since there are always so many question marks with Silva, but I actually favor him to win this one... somewhere around the 60/40 mark, so it's a bit more than a stab on the dog for me. There's no reason this one shouldn't be even money. I think people are reacting too quickly to Chagas' last performance and forgetting the potential that Silva has when he's in form.
 
He'd fuckin better I already bet the under. I don't even know why they tryna kill big foot with this match up. That dude needs to fight that guy who got KO'd by Ngannou or something and let his overgrown ass ride off into the sunset in his home country.



The way he falls is so dramatic.


I maintain that the punches, knees, etc were all meaningless. Bigfoot ko'd himself by going headfirst into Struve's chest
 
Fuckkk

Hedged 50 off of both prazeres ML and o2.5 on that fight.

why do people always do this shit? Tractor is a gasser, and he knows this so imo he didint push himself to cut any more weight so he can have better cardio.

What im trying to allude to is that you are actually getting an advantage by him missing weight. Only thing you should worry about imo is the UFC doestn take too kindly to fighters who miss weight and can give bs decisions like Gastelum vs Woodly.

If Tractor loses this fight its because hes not good enough to defeat Burns, not because he had a bad weight cut.

Remember wha happened recently with Chad laprise? he missed weight and had one of the best performances of his career.

Something must be up Prazeres has never missed weight has he?

He always has a hard time cutting weight, I honestly just think he really wants to win this fight bad and wants every advantage.
 
That's crazy. Broadening the risk for worse odds. You'd think people would study the prices before parting with their cash :?

they probably did. the line moved after their bet was placed.

these props are very illiquid so the computer programs compensate the lines more than a money line
 
In his last fights Silva looked exactly like a guy who needs to change something in his training methods. Now he has done it, so i def think +140 is superb. Think to add half a unit more on his ML, but want to see the weigh in first.

Cyborg looked good in the weigh in, but something in her atitude says she is very pissed off of this weight cut and she is glad that is over.
 
why do people always do this shit? Tractor is a gasser, and he knows this so imo he didint push himself to cut any more weight so he can have better cardio.

What im trying to allude to is that you are actually getting an advantage by him missing weight. Only thing you should worry about imo is the UFC doestn take too kindly to fighters who miss weight and can give bs decisions like Gastelum vs Woodly.

If Tractor loses this fight its because hes not good enough to defeat Burns, not because he had a bad weight cut.

Remember wha happened recently with Chad laprise? he missed weight and had one of the best performances of his career.



He always has a hard time cutting weight, I honestly just think he really wants to win this fight bad and wants every advantage.

Possibly but i don't think it's definitely as cut and dry as that. There could be an injury. Someone here has a stat for people winning if they weigh in over weight, and more people lose who come in over weight than who win.
 
why do people always do this shit? Tractor is a gasser, and he knows this so imo he didint push himself to cut any more weight so he can have better cardio.

What im trying to allude to is that you are actually getting an advantage by him missing weight. Only thing you should worry about imo is the UFC doestn take too kindly to fighters who miss weight and can give bs decisions like Gastelum vs Woodly.

If Tractor loses this fight its because hes not good enough to defeat Burns, not because he had a bad weight cut.

Remember wha happened recently with Chad laprise? he missed weight and had one of the best performances of his career.



He always has a hard time cutting weight, I honestly just think he really wants to win this fight bad and wants every advantage.
thats a mighty big assumption
 
Last edited:
Just something to think about after watching some Barao/Nover fights and seeing their face off.

I tossed 1u on Nover ML(+375) and .5u Nover(+604) decision just because I could see Nover using his size/strength advantage to take Barao down and control him there. I know Barao is the much more skilled overall MMA fighter but Nover has a very good chin and is going to look pretty massive next Barao which I think could help him utilize his solid wrestling to get the fight to the ground.

To me, this is a "styles make fights" type of deal and while I fully expect Barao to win, at the currents odds I think Nover has one very clear advantage in the fight which leads to a clear path to victory. I know the Brazilian judges might fuck this idea up but I have a feeling this fight is a little closer than the odds indicate and at the current odds I think its worth a stab.
 
Silva is a complete flake and it seems like more than just question marks post USADA. Plus he fades badly in some fights. And he looked absolutely awful in his last fight even before he got blasted.

He's more talented so not saying I'm betting Chagas either. I like to bet on every fight, but this one screams live bet only to me. I just have no idea what to expect from Silva now.

and the sucker punch is not going to do him any favors as well. coupled with the fact that danas contract with erick was a failure and silva publically criticizing the reebok deal it wouldnt surprise me at all if dana lets it be known to the judges that hes not too fond of silva winning if it goes to the cards
 
Just something to think about after watching some Barao/Nover fights and seeing their face off.

I tossed 1u on Nover ML(+375) and .5u Nover(+604) decision just because I could see Nover using his size/strength advantage to take Barao down and control him there. I know Barao is the much more skilled overall MMA fighter but Nover has a very good chin and is going to look pretty massive next Barao which I think could help him utilize his solid wrestling to get the fight to the ground.

To me, this is a "styles make fights" type of deal and while I fully expect Barao to win, at the currents odds I think Nover has one very clear advantage in the fight which leads to a clear path to victory. I know the Brazilian judges might fuck this idea up but I have a feeling this fight is a little closer than the odds indicate and at the current odds I think its worth a stab.

Barao is like Aldo he is basically impossible to take down. That is not going to happen IMO. 97% tdd vs 31% td success.
 
Last edited:
Barao is like Aldo he is basically impossible to take down. That is not going to happen IMO.
Yeah he was tough to take down when he was at 135lbs. I guess we will see how his TDD holds up against a much bigger and stronger fighter that will fully commit to the TD at 145lbs.

And like I said, I don't think its all the likely Nover will be able to get him down and control him for 2 or 3 rounds but its a scenario that we have never seen Barao face at 145.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top