UFC FOX 22 - PVS vs Waterson - Sacramento

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EzFlyer

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http://www.sherdog.com/events/UFC-on-Fox-22-VanZant-vs-Waterson-55003


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http://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/ufc-on-fox-22-betting-odds/

UFC on FOX 22: VanZant vs. Waterson
DECEMBER 17, 2016
Golden 1 Center | Sacramento, California

MAIN CARD (Fox, 8pm ET)

Michelle Waterson +140
Paige VanZant -180

Over 4.5 -190
Under 4.5 +150


Sage Northcutt +100
Mickey Gall -140

Over 1.5 +100
Under 1.5 -140


Brad Pickett +280
Urijah Faber -400

Over 2.5 -150
Under 2.5 +110


Alan Jouban +100
Mike Perry -140

Over 1.5 +100
Under 1.5 -140

——————–

PRELIMINARY CARD (Fox Sports 1, 6pm ET)

Paul Craig +220
Luis Henrique da Silva -300

Over 1.5 +130
Under 1.5 -170


Mizuto Hirota -120
Cole Miller -120

Over 2.5 -130
Under 2.5 -110


Bryan Barberena +235
Colby Covington -315

Over 2.5 -210
Under 2.5 +160


Alex Morono +110
James Moontasri -150

Over 1.5 -180
Under 1.5 +140


Scott Holtzman +170
Josh Emmett -230

Over 2.5 -180
Under 2.5 +140


Leslie Smith +170
Irene Aldana -230

Over 2.5 -185
Under 2.5 +145

——————–

PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Pass, 3:30pm ET)

Takeya Mizugaki +175
Eddie Wineland -245

Over 1.5 -195
Under 1.5 +155


Hector Sandoval +130
Fredy Serrano -170

Over 2.5 -175
Under 2.5 +135


Sultan Aliev +160
Bojan Velickovic -210

Over 1.5 -180
Under 1.5 +140
 
ahhh i'm so not ready for these

i did hirota -120, i did a little on aldana -230
 
@mkess101 cmon man surely I made a good enough argument at +120 you're betting Sage lol

Fuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuck

Well I'm not betting Gall -160, I can tell you that. Gonna wait. Might be Sage ML and Gall sub.

I think Kalikas has a giant boner for me, watches what I post here, and I fucked myself good is what I think.
 
Fuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuck

Well I'm not betting Gall -160, I can tell you that. Gonna wait. Might be Sage ML and Gall sub.

I think Kalikas has a giant boner for me, watches what I post here, and I fucked myself good is what I think.
Kalikas is just known to believe in hype trains and Gall is the new Sage

example; see PVZ
 
I see a lot of confident juicy potential in this card. Hope Barberena keeps smashin these bum prospects cause lol @ -350 for Colby
 
so a few interesting spots here

velickovic down to -140 from that -210 opener, i absolutely like it. dude is good everywhere, he's been decent in both ufc fights so far.. he's enormous for 170 and you have aliev, who is coming off of that ko to freakin kenny robertson (man that killed me that night) -- which was his last fight, in JANUARY 2016, so 23 months off. and we just saw at ufc 206.. these layoffs are fuckin important.

aldana -230 opener i liked just fine. smith is so slow. she's a tough girl but i think aldana absolutely pieces her up, might even get the finish.

hiorota -120 i took , kinda fading cole miller. he's been so lethargic, lots of candid, honest talk about his career, his situation.. yea, he came on strong in rd 3 vs caceres but i'm basically fading miller here. hirota's the better boxer and wrestler. cole is the better bjj guy.

i took jouban -105, but i'm kinda regretting it, idk. i definitely underestimated perry and he definitely proved a LOT against roberts last fight. he's tough as hell, he has a great chin, and his wrestling/ground are better than i thought they would be, too. BUTTT jouban's faced better guys, he's bigger, i think it's a great fight, but i might be on the wrong side, chins being the biggest difference.

i took PVZ -140, too, i just think waterson is so hit or miss. i would be like "oh i'll just bet waterson sub" -- but man, PVZ is so hard to finish, remember the rose fight.. sooo many chances, and i don't think waterson will be as fresh in rd 5 as rose was. i think pvz outpaces her.

i kinda wish i bet sage +140 just for movement's sake, even tho i favor gall here. i just think it's a BIG mistake to go either BIG on this fight OR to lay a high price. it's a volatile fight, both guys absolutely unproven. sage has more octagon time, he's gotta grow from that. but he's shown to be SUUUUPER green on the ground, and gall looks super slick and he can force the grappling. but who knows if it goes late. i think sage as a dog makes a lot of sense. my gut feel is gall subs him, tho.
 
Feel like I'm on almost every favorite.
Gonna look into it more but I like sage except the size disadvantage.
I feel his striking is 10x better.
 
Colby -500 now? Fuck off. I was going to parlay him at -300 subject to tape no way @ -500 barb is better striker.

Frankenstein only -230. Anyone know anything about Craig the Scot who i assume is a grappler going by his record?
 
Colby -500 now? Fuck off. I was going to parlay him at -300 subject to tape no way @ -500 barb is better striker.

Frankenstein only -230. Anyone know anything about Craig the Scot who i assume is a grappler going by his record?
Colby is -275 on Betway
 
i know pickett is bad but wow faber at -400 is rediculous. That sage price has already dropped to -135 ill be taking his sub prop when that comes out.
 
I think the main event has a good chance of ending by sub, both chicks are so aggressive on the ground

Also on Perry, I think he can hurt jabouin

barberena +370 out of principle

already on Karate hottie +170 betsafe <3
 
Rose had a hard time submitting pvz what makes you think kh can?
 
Paul craig fought absolute scrubs until his last two fights and i have no idea who they are but they have winning records. Frankenstein only -230 so this guy must have some hype. Any intel appreciated. I watched his last fight should little standing and his td's were stuffed at first. Got the guy down eventually but he got up quick and took Craig down. Craig reversed nicely tho straight into a triangle.
 
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