UFC 207 - Nunes vs Rousey - Vegas

[OneWarrior1]

So I have a 6 team parlay that finishes with Dom and nunes. Any suggestions on how to hedge?

 

[OneWarrior1]

Cody only his a puncher's chance

 

[Roads55]

nunes ML getting bet over the last 1/2 a day

 

[Joseph Budden]

It honestly sounds like you are reaching, its basically guessing he will magically come in shape when he hasnt been in a while and is talking about retirement and how he cant cut weight like he wants to anymore

He can by all means still blast out Neil in a minute, but I wouldnt count on him coming in shape, if I was betting Hendricks I would wait to see him at the WI

Reaching? Dude are you even reading what he's saying or just my comment? lol he's talking about going back to two a days, making sacrifices, having a heart to heart with his wife about where he's at. Interpret it how you want, but you don't decide to ramp up your training and reflect on what's going wrong cause you don't care imo.

 

[waiguoren]

No chance in hell.

I think there's a good chance Brick Top/Robbie was Barry.

 

[Oblivian]

I think there's a good chance Brick Top/Robbie was Barry.

Lol now that would be awesome

 

[waiguoren]

Lol now that would be awesome

Both British, both prone to emotional outburst, Robbie was born shortly after Barry retired, etc.

 

[EzFlyer]

Which is a big difference to this striking miracle with some serious Muhammed Ali-head movement.

 

[OneWarrior1]

Cain took a few hits from Browne. If Werdum is on point, he could give him trouble

 

[Card]

Great training at 170, eating better, weight is great, love the early weigh ins, Alex Oliveira stepped in for me, I'm going to go take my win back, alot of things going on, stress from the holidays, I'm going to let it all go, buying a house in a couple weeks, he hasn't fought a technical guy like me, he likes to body lock, he doesn't like to fight, he'll catch an elbow, he smothers you, I just want to put a beating on him, I'm going to make some money

 

[Joseph Budden]

yesss some red flags for Means based on those cliffs. Hes too worried about Santa Claus

 

[lefontes]

Who has better chance of winning?
Garbrandt or Lineker?

Cody

 

[northsofia]

Really cant see Cody catching Cruz with so powerfall hit that knock him out. Maybe a few of his shot will be needed for the KO, but Cruz`s moving is absolute high level.

 

[DevilsAvocado]

Both British, both prone to emotional outburst, Robbie was born shortly after Barry retired, etc.

Barry was significantly more eloquent/well-spoken than Robbie but who knows, could be a genuine effort at multiple online personas, but unlikely imo

 

[Ukram]

Who has better chance of winning?
Garbrandt or Lineker?

Either way easiest hedges perhaps are

Linekar ko or decision
Cody ko

I think linekar decision is more likely though

 

[piglord]

i'm playing both lineker and cody. i reckon at least 1 of them hits.

 

[Ukram]

yesss some red flags for Means based on those cliffs. Hes too worried about Santa Claus

Which red flags are those? I think the holiday season talk is normal, but clearly he is bitter about usada and cowboy vs cowboy issue earlier in the year but he wants that W back. Sounds like while he has much going on he has mentioned many positives here:

-Cowboy is an replacement fighter
-means more happier then before
-means better weight cutting this camp, already 179 weight so all going well and well hydrated
-says cowboy not fought a technical fighter like him, too wild and reckless, strong body lock but wont work
-no pressure for now, just concerned about taking care of himself and camp

 

[HumbleCoco]

hey guys, super long time lurker and just want to say thank you for all your picks and analysis.

Just thought I'd let you know that I messaged BJJ scout on facebook asking if there would be a cruz breakdown for this fight, he said
"hi i think cody fight will look similar to the 2nd Joe B fight
cody moves similar to a very early TJ, just one L shift but not as sharp
i tink cruz will see this a mile away"

Thought this was pretty interesting - In my personal view I think cruz wins through the wrestling - TAM is quick to say they've got 27 rounds of experience against cruz but they will get caught with the knee tap takedown every single time. I don't think they fully appreciate the set ups to properly drill against his takedowns. On the other hand, cruz can easily drill and spar against a similarly fast boxer puncher.

Still yet to make a bet however, most likely cruz straight up as with cody remaining untested on the ground Cruz could move into a submission. Watching the Faber fight he was constantly working for hooks.

 

[Joseph Budden]

Which red flags are those? I think the holiday season talk is normal, but clearly he is bitter about usada and cowboy vs cowboy issue earlier in the year but he wants that W back. Sounds like while he has much going on he has mentioned many positives here:

-Cowboy is an replacement fighter
-means more happier then before
-means better weight cutting this camp, already 179 weight so all going well and well hydrated
-says cowboy not fought a technical fighter like him, too wild and reckless, strong body lock but wont work
-no pressure for now, just concerned about taking care of himself and camp

shhhhhhhhhh being stressed by Santa is a bigger red flag than those

but yeah i'm reaching. I don't know what exactly Tim Means by holiday stress.

 

[LEMONZEST]

^^ you don't know what he means by holiday stress?! Do you have any family ? Christmas is hella stressful.