UFC 207 - Nunes vs Rousey - Vegas

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Was on Hendricks at -105, then switched to Magny when he was -125 (giving me -150 to win 1u on him), but now I think I'm gonna freeroll Hendricks for a very small amount. I have more confidence in jaundiced Hendricks than most.
 
if anyone want to bet Means sc do it now :) already moved the line from +107 to -120 in a couple minutes

12/30/16 3:24pm $60.00 $50.00 Pending 12/30/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1940 Means (scorecards = no action) -120* vs Oliveira (scorecards = no action)
12/30/16 3:18pm $57.50 $50.00 Pending 12/30/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1940 Means (scorecards = no action) -115* vs Oliveira (scorecards = no action)
12/30/16 3:11pm $55.00 $50.00 Pending 12/30/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1940 Means (scorecards = no action) -110* vs Oliveira (scorecards = no action)
12/30/16 3:06pm $52.50 $50.00 Pending 12/30/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1940 Means (scorecards = no action) -105* vs Oliveira (scorecards = no action)
12/30/16 2:59pm $50.00 $53.50 Pending 12/30/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1940 Means (scorecards = no action) +107* vs Oliveira (scorecards = no action)

damn flagged limits everytime i hit it line moves a little then i can bet again lol
 
if anyone want to bet Means sc do it now :) already moved the line from +107 to -120 in a couple minutes

12/30/16 3:24pm $60.00 $50.00 Pending 12/30/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1940 Means (scorecards = no action) -120* vs Oliveira (scorecards = no action)
12/30/16 3:18pm $57.50 $50.00 Pending 12/30/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1940 Means (scorecards = no action) -115* vs Oliveira (scorecards = no action)
12/30/16 3:11pm $55.00 $50.00 Pending 12/30/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1940 Means (scorecards = no action) -110* vs Oliveira (scorecards = no action)
12/30/16 3:06pm $52.50 $50.00 Pending 12/30/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1940 Means (scorecards = no action) -105* vs Oliveira (scorecards = no action)
12/30/16 2:59pm $50.00 $53.50 Pending 12/30/16 7:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1940 Means (scorecards = no action) +107* vs Oliveira (scorecards = no action)

damn flagged limits everytime i hit it line moves a little then i can bet again lol

Ha! I bet it in the last half hour too. Only 1/5 of what you did though LOL.
 
Shhhh I found a ghost account that's someone opened for me to play with.

Did you hit the Dom UD line at opens +210? That was the $ bet for that fight imo. It's down to +160 now, but still better than playing his normal dec line. I mean, the odds he wins a split or majority dec are tiny right?
 
Mmabettingtips 80% chance means wins. Why you do this to me man?

Noose please...
 
anyone care to help me out on Shoe Face vs Vettori?

I am leaning Vettori, but my concern is the size difference. Shoe Face is a big boy at MW. Has he ever had cardio issues other than against Dan Kelly? It doesn't seem like it.

I'm on Shoeface. I am not understanding the Vettori love tbh. Vettori is one of those jack of all trades fighters, good at everything but not exceptional. The rest is hype. Junior is the better MMA wrestler, has great control, and he can compete on the feet if not win.

The biggest marks I hear against Junior are the Kelly fight and the Cummins fight, but it's nearly pointless to mention them imo. Shoeface got tired from beating the dogshit out of Dan for 2 rounds - it happens, then he got rocked and was too tired to do anything. Dan has more than proven he is a tough out as well. Cummins is a bigger guy, a wrestler, and he has a submission grappling background. A terrible match-up for him on paper. Vettori does not resemble any of these guys that beat Junior anyway.
 
Does anyone know which fights Hendricks missed weight in and how many times? I recall the prior Gastelum one and this one.
 
Rolling the dice and riding out this Hendricks train despite him being on LSD in interviews and eating 12 pepperoni pizzas during camp.

At the end of the day I don't see how Magny's chin or style overcomes Hendricks unless he just stands still for 3 rounds. Magny isn't Gastelum or Wonderboy.

I will likely eat my words but here we go anyway
I think you're right. Dropped a wad on Magny after the Hendricks weigh-in debacle like most others itt and regretted it immediately. We're all relying on Johny looking like absolute shit but what if he looks....okay? Hendricks at 75% beats Magny imo. Don't like hedging/cashing out because you feel a right prick when your original picks inevitably prove correct. Just gonna have to sit tight and have faith in Magny. Not confident at all.
 
That means he thinks Means should be -400 (lol)

I dont know the maths but thats what i guessed!

It seems most the thread is on means tho which is a big positive. Lets join hands to force out the negative energy from luca and mmabettingtips.
 
Man this is such a fun card to debate and then watch Hendricks win by gogoplata, Ronda by a tactical outfighting 5 round shut out and Cruz gets a KO in 15 seconds.
 
Wow magny -175 now? Kinda tempting to bet hendricks. See how means does first tho
 
I think you're right. Dropped a wad on Magny after the Hendricks weigh-in debacle like most others itt and regretted it immediately. We're all relying on Johny looking like absolute shit but what if he looks....okay? Hendricks at 75% beats Magny imo. Don't like hedging/cashing out because you feel a right prick when your original picks inevitably prove correct. Just gonna have to sit tight and have faith in Magny. Not confident at all.

What % do you think Hendricks was vs Kelvin? He looked better at the weigh ins for that fight than he did yesterday. Might not mean anything I guess. But given the problems Kelvin had with Magny...not sure why you'd think Hendricks at 75% beats Magny. Just how I see it though.
 
Alright fellas I'm out. BOL hope everyone's BR's swell tonight!
 
Did you hit the Dom UD line at opens +210? That was the $ bet for that fight imo. It's down to +160 now, but still better than playing his normal dec line. I mean, the odds he wins a split or majority dec are tiny right?

What's really Tiny is MMA judges dicks. It's so fucking small that a lot of times they are busy trying to find it that they don't pay attention to the fights sometimes, know what I mean? Sometimes there's that 1 idiot that fucks up the spread.

I didn't get that +210 I didn't have an account funded yet but I'm still putting off +160 and opting for fight goes distance. I always go by principles for props as a +100 difference for me in MOST cases.

Bookies win in a sense that they finessed all the value and fun out of a fight for me. I hate when that happens fucken bastards.
 
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