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statistically justified based on likelihood for OT, yep. so i don't agree one is better or worse, but if you prefer it, i understand that.
This link (https://www.sportingcharts.com/articles/nhl/how-often-is-overtime-needed-in-the-nhl.aspx) has overtime occurring in ~23% of NHL games over a pretty decent sample size. If the game goes into overtime we could make the hypothesis that the match is even up to this point and your team now has a 50% probability to win (this is obviously skewed, but just a generalization for modeling purposes). With this, you would win 11.5% more bets if you bet the moneyline over the puck line. ~12% doesn't seem worth 65 more points in a favored direction, there must be some math to support it though I guess.