Bellator 170: Tito vs Chael

I'd be surprised if Tito +3.5 hits to be honest.
 
This Tito/Chael fight is like a wmma fight, you know it's gonna be ugly and sloppy but you can never be too sure what the hell will happen or who the hell is gonna win.

My initial lean was Tito as a dog but now kind of leaning Chael. If I bet this then it'll be small. Tito dec looks tempting value wise but gonna just stay away for now.

Looking forward to a few of these undercard lines, I have much bigger leans on those, just hoping the lines are decent.
 
I think +290 Tito dec is a good line as he is not finishing Chael, but I can't hit it as I just do not think Tito has anything left at all.
 
Chael has pillow fists so I don't see a KO/TKO for him. He **could** catch a guillotine I guess, but I actually like:

Not Sonnen itd at -267.
 
Chael has pillow fists so I don't see a KO/TKO for him. He **could** catch a guillotine I guess, but I actually like:

Not Sonnen itd at -267.

I wouldn't be shocked to see him get a (T)Ko if Tito gasses, Sonnen is still going hard, and Tito just looks for a way out.
 
All this talk of Tito looking for a way out, the McGeary sub. etc. but Chael is the guy who got subbed in the 5th round of a fight he was dominating....
 
Jeez I would rather eat shattered glass than watch/listen to an interview with Chael/Tito. I am happy to watch them fight but I can't bear listening to them talk. I would actually feel myself getting dumber as I watched that video.
 
All this talk of Tito looking for a way out, the McGeary sub. etc. but Chael is the guy who got subbed in the 5th round of a fight he was dominating....

By arguably the GOAT, you can't really use it as an example of him quitting since he was dominating and was a couple of minutes away from winning the title.
 
I guess I'm going against the Sherdog grain here. I got Chael at -156. Didn't put a lot on him though. He has moved up slightly to -170 on my site.

I just think he's a better fighter at this point. I don't think size will be much of an issue and I think Chael will come in on the special sauce. Tito might hit some PEDs as well but Chael on PED is an animal. I don't like either guy's schtick though.
 
By arguably the GOAT, you can't really use it as an example of him quitting since he was dominating and was a couple of minutes away from winning the title.
Wasn't Chael also winning the first Filho fight too before flaking, tapping, and trying to pretend he didn't?
 
very interested in seeing the line on daley/ward.
 
Wasn't Chael also winning the first Filho fight too before flaking, tapping, and trying to pretend he didn't?

I don't remember but I just think that you can't use the example of Sonnen getting subbed by Silva as a an example of him quitting. If anything use him losing to Jones or Evans as an example.
 
I don't remember but I just think that you can't use the example of Sonnen getting subbed by Silva as a an example of him quitting. If anything use him losing to Jones or Evans as an example.
Well there you go then, thanks for the help lol excluding Anderson fight still plenty of examples to make the case Chael can flake just as easy as Tito
 
Tito is going to be gassing hard just like normal.
Tito is gonna beat Chael's ass and do the gravedigger celebration while sucking on an oxygen mask.

KA-BOOM!

titogravedigger1.gif
 
http://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/bellator-170-betting-odds/

Bellator 170: Ortiz vs. Sonnen
JANUARY 21, 2017
The Forum | Inglewood, California

MAIN CARD (Spike TV, 9pm ET)

Tito Ortiz +180
Chael Sonnen -260

Over 2.5 -125
Under 2.5 -115


Brennan Ward +130
Paul Daley -170

Over 1.5 +145
Under 1.5 -185


Ralek Gracie +175
Hisaki Kato -245

Over 1.5 +130
Under 1.5 -170


Emmanuel Sanchez +125
Georgi Karakhanyan -165

Over 2.5 -230
Under 2.5 +170


Derek Campos +170
Derek Anderson -230

Over 1.5 -165
Under 1.5 +125

——————–
 
i took sanchez +125 small -- awesome fight, gonna be very close. (and yes, i'm prepared (sort of) to lose my 26th split in 29 splits on this one.

i took U1.5 kato-gracie -170 - max allowed
i took O1.5 campos-anderson -165 - max allowed
 
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