Your Official UFC Fox 23 Bets
- Thread starter EzFlyer
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Final setup & I am done with that event.
Bobby Nash 2.20 for 500 to win 1100
Valentina ( fock Val = Lateurnou, let's dint bring bad luck ) 1.90 for 147 to win 280,63
Nate 2.25 + Mas 2.40 for 100 to win 540
Valentina / Pena U4.5 (2.40) + Donald /Mas U2.5 (2.75) for 50 to win 330
Caceres 2.30+Francis 1.25 + Valentina 1.90 for 117 to win 642,17
Mas winning inside 1st round (10.00) 15,90 to win 159
Cacares + Nate + Alessio 2.00 for 50 to win 529
Nate + Cacares + Nash + Alessio + Francis +Jordan + Sterling +Valentina for 38 to win 6368
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Added:
1.25u Shev ML -125. Pissed at myself for waiting so long here, I could've had Shev at -110. It's whatever, c'est la vie
1.38u Sterling DEC +180. Again, could've had +210. Just really nervous about my RA play between the altitude, RA's age and Sterling seems very motivated and hungry here. If Rafa wins I make a small profit, but if Aljo finishes him I'm screwed here so I'm really counting on Rafa's BJJ being on point.
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I'm going semi-yolo Saturday cause I'm fucking bummed about surgery next week.
My picks:
5 team parlay - 1/2 unit
Valentina Shevchenko ML (-125)
Donald Cerrone ML (-160)
Li Jingliang ML (-150)
Eric Spicely ML (-125)
Eric Shelton ML (-120)
2 Team - Parlay 2 units
Li Jingliang ML (-150)
Eric Spicely ML (-125)
2 Team - Parlay 2 units
Li Jingliang ML (-150)
Eric Shelton ML (-120)
Valentina Shevchenko ML (-115) 10 units
2 Team - Parlay 3 units
Nate Marquardt ML (+125)
Paul Daley ML (-120) Win
2 Team - Parlay 3 units
Valentina Shevchenko ML (-110)
Paul Daley ML (-120) Win
2 Team - Parlay 5 units
Valentina Shevchenko ML (-110)
Donald Cerrone ML (-165)
My picks:
5 team parlay - 1/2 unit
Valentina Shevchenko ML (-125)
Donald Cerrone ML (-160)
Li Jingliang ML (-150)
Eric Spicely ML (-125)
Eric Shelton ML (-120)
2 Team - Parlay 2 units
Li Jingliang ML (-150)
Eric Spicely ML (-125)
2 Team - Parlay 2 units
Li Jingliang ML (-150)
Eric Shelton ML (-120)
Valentina Shevchenko ML (-115) 10 units
2 Team - Parlay 3 units
Nate Marquardt ML (+125)
Paul Daley ML (-120) Win
piglord
Black Belt
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- Li Jingliang - To Win By KO TKO or Disqualification @ 3/1(Method of Victory - Match)
- Valentina Shevchenko - To Win By Decision or Technical Decision @ 7/4(Method of Victory - Match)
- Raphael Assuncao - To Win By Decision or Technical Decision @ 5/4(Method of Victory - Match)
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18u total on Shev?I'm going semi-yolo Saturday cause I'm fucking bummed about surgery next week.
My picks:
5 team parlay - 1/2 unit
Valentina Shevchenko ML (-125)
Donald Cerrone ML (-160)
Li Jingliang ML (-150)
Eric Spicely ML (-125)
Eric Shelton ML (-120)
2 Team - Parlay 2 units
Li Jingliang ML (-150)
Eric Spicely ML (-125)
2 Team - Parlay 2 units
Li Jingliang ML (-150)
Eric Shelton ML (-120)
Valentina Shevchenko ML (-115) 10 units
2 Team - Parlay 3 units
Nate Marquardt ML (+125)
Paul Daley ML (-120) Win
2 Team - Parlay 3 units
Valentina Shevchenko ML (-110)
Paul Daley ML (-120) Win
2 Team - Parlay 5 units
Valentina Shevchenko ML (-110)
Donald Cerrone ML (-165)
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18u total on Shev?
Since the Daley leg won in bellator it's more like 21 units @TimCoreCombat . You could say she's his Achillies heel. I hope this one fares better, I have her too, not quite as heavy.
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Added: -1 more unit on Shevchenko -125
-1 unit on Chirico -104
Staying away from Masvidal-Cerrone after all.
Good luck to everyone and let's go green!
Edit : -1u on Cotrell -135
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UFC FOX 23 Risk: 1,794.75
pena +115: 100 for 115 / shevchenko
cowboy -113: 225 for 200 / masvidal
ngannou -280: 420 for 150 / ngannou RD2: 20 for 95 / AA
caceres +128: 150 for 192.50 / caceres DEC: 40 for 104 / knight
marquardt +133: 100 for 132.50 / marquardt DEC: 25 for 100 / O1.5: 110 for 100 / alvey
assuncao DEC: 50 for 78.50 / sterling
jingliang-nash
johnson-frankwasten
dichirico -101: 201.30 for 200 / dichirico DEC: 35 for 101.50 / spicely
kimball RD3: 10 for 150 / de lima
shelton -105: 157.50 for 150 / pantoja NSC: 99.45 for 85
gonzalez NSC: 51.50 for 50 / cottrell
---
Will finalize things sometime after weighins
pena +115: 100 for 115 / shevchenko
cowboy -113: 225 for 200 / masvidal
ngannou -280: 420 for 150 / ngannou RD2: 20 for 95 / AA
caceres +128: 150 for 192.50 / caceres DEC: 40 for 104 / knight
marquardt +133: 100 for 132.50 / marquardt DEC: 25 for 100 / O1.5: 110 for 100 / alvey
assuncao DEC: 50 for 78.50 / sterling
jingliang-nash
johnson-frankwasten
dichirico -101: 201.30 for 200 / dichirico DEC: 35 for 101.50 / spicely
kimball RD3: 10 for 150 / de lima
shelton -105: 157.50 for 150 / pantoja NSC: 99.45 for 85
gonzalez NSC: 51.50 for 50 / cottrell
---
Will finalize things sometime after weighins
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Shevchenko $300
Arlovski $300 (value, altitude, jackson/wink, brawl)
Marquardt $300
Sterling $300
Nash $300
Johnson $300
Spicely $300
Rogerio De Meathead $300
Shelton $300
Cottrell $300
Shevchenko/Johnson/DeLima/Cottrell $300 to win $1914
Marquardt/Spicely/Shelton $300 to win $2340
Shevchenko/Sterling/Spicely/Cottrell $300 to win $3387
Shevchenko/Cerrone/Arlovski/Knight/Marquardt/Sterling/Nash/Johnson/Spicely/Meathead/Shelton/Cottrell $30 to win $66,000
Arlovski $300 (value, altitude, jackson/wink, brawl)
Marquardt $300
Sterling $300
Nash $300
Johnson $300
Spicely $300
Rogerio De Meathead $300
Shelton $300
Cottrell $300
Shevchenko/Johnson/DeLima/Cottrell $300 to win $1914
Marquardt/Spicely/Shelton $300 to win $2340
Shevchenko/Sterling/Spicely/Cottrell $300 to win $3387
Shevchenko/Cerrone/Arlovski/Knight/Marquardt/Sterling/Nash/Johnson/Spicely/Meathead/Shelton/Cottrell $30 to win $66,000
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I like it
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Shevchenko 2.6u -110, o4.5 1u -140
Ngannou round 1 1.25u -125, Ends in round 1 .5u -148, .8u Ngannou fastest KO +250
Caceres dec 1.5u +250
Marquardt dec 1u +450
Sterling dec 1u +210
Nash dec .24u +413
Di Chirico dec 1u +210
Kimball itd .3u +258, Doesn't start round 2 .7u -130
Gonzalez dec .35u +423
Aljo/Assuncao o2.5, J.Johnson, Not Pena itd, Not Caceres itd. 1.5u to win 3.8u
Hoping to hit Cowboy or Cowboy dec at a better price. Will hit Shelton dec, but waiting for it to pass +200. Possibly hit Johnson dec. Hoping for fastest KO line to hammer Ngannou.
I HATE this card for betting. I couldn't even find enough lines for my usual round robin, thus the square 4 legger. Hoping for some good lb. Luckily the next 3 weeks of UFC all look like much better betting cards on paper.
Ngannou round 1 1.25u -125, Ends in round 1 .5u -148, .8u Ngannou fastest KO +250
Caceres dec 1.5u +250
Marquardt dec 1u +450
Sterling dec 1u +210
Nash dec .24u +413
Di Chirico dec 1u +210
Kimball itd .3u +258, Doesn't start round 2 .7u -130
Gonzalez dec .35u +423
Aljo/Assuncao o2.5, J.Johnson, Not Pena itd, Not Caceres itd. 1.5u to win 3.8u
Hoping to hit Cowboy or Cowboy dec at a better price. Will hit Shelton dec, but waiting for it to pass +200. Possibly hit Johnson dec. Hoping for fastest KO line to hammer Ngannou.
I HATE this card for betting. I couldn't even find enough lines for my usual round robin, thus the square 4 legger. Hoping for some good lb. Luckily the next 3 weeks of UFC all look like much better betting cards on paper.
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10 units Shevchenko +103
4 units Assuncao -131
Parlays:
2.6 units >2.5 on Caceres/Knight, Assuncao/Sterling, and Shelton/Pantoja +181
1 unit Jingliang, de Lima, Ngannou/Arlovski >1.5 +671
0.6 units Masvidal, Shev/Pena >4.5, Di Chirico/Spicely >1.5 +442
0.6 units Marquardt, Cotrell/Gonzalez >1.5, Shelton/Pantoja >2.5 +390
Edit: Added 6 units on Jingliang -124
4 units Assuncao -131
Parlays:
2.6 units >2.5 on Caceres/Knight, Assuncao/Sterling, and Shelton/Pantoja +181
1 unit Jingliang, de Lima, Ngannou/Arlovski >1.5 +671
0.6 units Masvidal, Shev/Pena >4.5, Di Chirico/Spicely >1.5 +442
0.6 units Marquardt, Cotrell/Gonzalez >1.5, Shelton/Pantoja >2.5 +390
Edit: Added 6 units on Jingliang -124
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Nash (+105) $38.10 to win $40
Shelton (-125) $50 to win $40
Shelton (-125) $50 to win $40
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Added another 1.5u on Frankenstain at 2.80
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Gonzalez +120 - 2u
Shelton -115 - to win 2u
Di Chirico +103 - 2u
Jingliang -128 - to win 2u -- u2.5 -105 to win 1u
Assuncao -130 - to win 1u
Alvey/Marquart o1.5 -130 to win 1u
Shevchenko -110 - 6u
Predicted most of the line movement, got solid prices as usual... time to lose some money!
WIll bet Knight, Cerrone, Johnson, and Alvey if their lines drop significantly.
GL to all
Shelton -115 - to win 2u
Di Chirico +103 - 2u
Jingliang -128 - to win 2u -- u2.5 -105 to win 1u
Assuncao -130 - to win 1u
Alvey/Marquart o1.5 -130 to win 1u
Shevchenko -110 - 6u
Predicted most of the line movement, got solid prices as usual... time to lose some money!
WIll bet Knight, Cerrone, Johnson, and Alvey if their lines drop significantly.
GL to all
