UFC Fox 23 - Pena vs Shevchenko - Denver

[Sham5916910]

Mas dont have a belly per se its some kind of weird body composition

 

[Cord]

So lets discuss who will be the one who fucks us over? it must be someone who we dont even consider to lose and everyone have him in their parlays. so whos is the dark horse smolka/santos tonight?

Either Li or Ngannou.

 

[Sham5916910]

Either Li or Ngannou.

I dont think anyone thinks li is a lock ive seen no big li bets. Ive not even seen ngannou in many parlays. Everyone is on shev tho

 

[Cord]

.. everyone except good old EzFlyer.. good point.

 

[Agent Mulder]

Didn't realize this card starts about 3 hours earlier than normal. NICE!

 

[raketmannen]

Arlovski rd 1 +1000 at bet365, if he gets a ko it would most likely be in the first round imo

 

[piglord]

Arlovski rd 1 +1000 at bet365, if he gets a ko it would most likely be in the first round imo

yeah he needs to swarm from the bell like he did against travis, otherwise he's losing this fight. i'm hitting this prop too.

 

[raketmannen]

yeah he needs to swarm from the bell like he did against travis, otherwise he's losing this fight. i'm hitting this prop too.

Yeah, especially at altitude where he will probably gas hard after round 1

 

[Joseph Budden]

Ngannou fastest KO +250. Bless that line

 

[Agent Mulder]

Ngannou fastest KO +250. Bless that line

Wow, sick.

 

[Sham5916910]

Yeah, especially at altitude where he will probably gas hard after round 1

I dont know maybe they want to test ngannous cardio at altitude. Ngannou is a beast but i have a hard time believing he gets much quality sparring in paris where mma is banned. I could see arlovski trying to drag ngannou deep. I know arlovskis cardio isnt great himself but he trains at altitude at least hes used to that lungs burning at altitude feeling. For all we know ngannou could fold once lactic acid takes hold. We also have no idea what ngannous gas tank is like.

I think ngannou wins just playing devils advocate.

 

[cCrown]

Ngannou fastest KO +250. Bless that line

thanks for the heads up man, took it at +220. Still good value

 

[Joseph Budden]

Im not gonna get Cerrone dec at +200 am I

 

[wigglestick]

Lima -145 now, thats good right?

 

[NinjaCat456]

Reading through here and the official bets thread I'm staggered at how many of you are so big on Valentina. Not sure I can remember another time so many on the forum went so balls deep on one fighter. I'm seeing like 5 unit bets.. one dude's got 18 units on her in parlays. That's crazy. It's wmma; it's at altitude; and Pena's clearly bigger, it's entirely conceivable she just outmuscles Shev from the start. No bet for me but damn I hope she wins just for you guys.

 

[Basek]

There is new Big Brown breakdown regarding Denver event. Any1 watched?

 

[HeDucking]

Mas dont have a belly per se its some kind of weird body composition

Looks like he's bloated to me. Water loaded and filled with food.

 

[Joseph Budden]

Mas got that working hard but eating KFC six pack

 

[EzFlyer]

Fotn: knight vs caceres +700.. really like this one. Yea, cowboy/masvidal is a possibility but +200 ? Kiss my butt

Knight won't let it be a boring fight . And caceres has been in some fun ones. It will be high-paced, competitive for 15 mins, and first on big FOX.

+700? I'm in

 

[BigNick100]

Final Predictions for me :

I really like two underdogs here, Masvidal and Marquardt.

I think Masvidal is a bad match up for Cowboy. This will be the quickest WW Cowboy has faced, he won't have the speed advantage over Mas in this fight. Mas has great timing and it's a super confident fighter who also have the experience of training with Cowboy before. This is Mas's biggest fight and I see him rising to the occasion. His timing is going to be key in this fight. I do worry about Mas coasting like he has done in past fights which costs him 3 split decision losses, but with this being his biggest fight to date I think he will be more focused then ever and come out with the W.

Marquardt I also like. I bet Marquardt in his last fight as well. He has the speed advantage over Alvey's who is mostly flat flooded and plots forward. Marquardt can easily stay on the outside and use his kicks to get the win. I think with Trevor Wittman in his corner he will have a great game plan to stay away from Alvey's main weapon, his hands. I can see Marquardt coasting to a DEC win here which is why I see great value in Marquardt by DEC as well.

Jason Knight is someone who I like. I think he will be too in your face for Caceres and will stay close which will take away Caceres's flashing kicks and style. I see the first round being competitive but then Knight slowing down Caceres and putting some leather on him and getting a DEC. I will also not be surprised to see Knight get a sub on Caceres, who has lost 5 fights by SUB. Knight ML and maybe a little Knight by DEC or SUB for me!

That's it for my confident picks, good luck all!