UFC Fox 23 - Pena vs Shevchenko - Denver

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I'm big on Li, so on that train. Not saying lock or anything but just better at most things.
 
BigNick100 said:
Final Predictions for me :

I really like two underdogs here, Masvidal and Marquardt.

I think Masvidal is a bad match up for Cowboy. This will be the quickest WW Cowboy has faced, he won't have the speed advantage over Mas in this fight. Mas has great timing and it's a super confident fighter who also have the experience of training with Cowboy before. This is Mas's biggest fight and I see him rising to the occasion. His timing is going to be key in this fight. I do worry about Mas coasting like he has done in past fights which costs him 3 split decision losses, but with this being his biggest fight to date I think he will be more focused then ever and come out with the W.

Marquardt I also like. I bet Marquardt in his last fight as well. He has the speed advantage over Alvey's who is mostly flat flooded and pots forward. Marquardt can easily stay on the outside and use his kicks to get the win. I think with Greg Jackson in his corner he will have a great game plan to stay away from Alvey's main weapon, his hands. I can see Marquardt coasting to a DEC win here which is why I see great value in Marquardt by DEC as well.

Jason Knight is someone who I like. I think he will be too in your face for Caceres and will stay close which will take away Caceres's flashing kicks and style. I see the first round being competitive but then Knight slowing down Caceres and putting some leather on him and getting a DEC. I will also not be surprised to see Knight get a sub on Caceres, who has lost 5 fights by SUB. Knight ML and maybe a little Knight by DEC or SUB for me!

That's it for my confident picks, good luck all!
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Greg jackson? You mean wittman?
 
EzFlyer said:
Fotn: knight vs caceres +700.. really like this one. Yea, cowboy/masvidal is a possibility but +200 ? Kiss my butt

Knight won't let it be a boring fight . And caceres has been in some fun ones. It will be high-paced, competitive for 15 mins, and first on big FOX.

+700? I'm in
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I will love that line to EZ! I mean, BLR is always an awesome fights and Jason Knight is "Mississippi Mean" and won't go down like a bitch. Granted, Bruce Lee Roy might win this fight, but you can bet your ass that Knight is going to go out on his shield. I love fighters like JK because you know that they are going to fight for your money. Not like putting a bet on a Sonnen, Overeem or Jake Ellenberger all who fold like patio furniture when shit gets tough. Additionally, like Knight, you know BLR is also scrappy as they get as well and has a style the lends itself to fun flghts.

Knight has that Diaz bro mentality. Hick Diaz ain't no bitch!

BOL!
 
great spot @Jae Gibbz , stabbed, too +1417 (i think you knew that, already! just echoing that i like the line)
 
Slohog said:
I'm big on Li, so on that train. Not saying lock or anything but just better at most things.
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Yea, me too. I might come to regret it, Li is one of my favorite plays on the card. I actually believe he should be around a -220 favorite given the stylistic match up which is accentuated by octagon experience and the cage jitters that Bobby Nash will likely run into. I just think that Li has an advantage pretty much everywhere this fight goes. But who the hell knows … I've been wrong before!
 
Slohog said:
I'm big on Li, so on that train. Not saying lock or anything but just better at most things.
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Li is so easy to take down. I'd pick him if he fought some bum striker. he has some ability to get back to his feet but a good wrestler like Nash definitely could give him serious problems.
 
MMA Goodfella said:
Yea, me too. I might come to regret it, Li is one of my favorite plays on the card. I actually believe he should be around a -220 favorite given the stylistic match up which is accentuated by octagon experience and the cage jitters that Bobby Nash will likely run into. I just think that Li has an advantage pretty much everywhere this fight goes. But who the hell knows … I've been wrong before!
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Gregor Gillespie
 
For EU bettors: Unibet has Kimball/De Lima ends in KO/TKO -102 and Jingliang/Nash +112
 
Just realized Bobby Nash shares a last name with former nWo Wolfpac leader Kevin Nash

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confidence increase
 
Where do most UK guys tend to livebet?
Most of my bankroll is with PP but I feel they freeze the lines way too much.
 
NinjaCat456 said:
Reading through here and the official bets thread I'm staggered at how many of you are so big on Valentina. Not sure I can remember another time so many on the forum went so balls deep on one fighter. I'm seeing like 5 unit bets.. one dude's got 18 units on her in parlays. That's crazy. It's wmma; it's at altitude; and Pena's clearly bigger, it's entirely conceivable she just outmuscles Shev from the start. No bet for me but damn I hope she wins just for you guys.
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Shev is the better martial artist by a wide margin, plain and simple... not to mention she has great cardio, has been training at altitude, grew up at altitude, and she's incredibly mentally tough. She is the favorite over anyone in the world in a 5 rounder imo.

If anyone is responsible for the WMMA-ness of this fight, it's gonna be Pena.
 
Officer_Brown said:
Li is so easy to take down. I'd pick him if he fought some bum striker. he has some ability to get back to his feet but a good wrestler like Nash definitely could give him serious problems.
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i know nash has the credentials, but is his wrestling really that great? plenty of his regional opponents had no problem defending takedowns in the footage i saw. nash also seems pretty content to bang it out on the feet, which will get him into trouble here imo.
 
piglord said:
i know nash has the credentials, but is his wrestling really that great? plenty of his regional opponents had no problem defending takedowns in the footage i saw. nash also seems pretty content to bang it out on the feet, which will get him into trouble here imo.
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D-1 is serious. Granted he was nothing special at that level with a record of like 47-44, but Zafir took down Li easy multiple times. Nash should get better at implementing his wrestling in his MMA game as hes still young in his career, but we'll see. Hes a fucking moron if he doesn't try to wrestle Li
 
LEMONZEST said:
This is a great example of when i lol at your props and then it goes on to hit...lol BOL
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It is not that far-fetched considering he just ragdolled Hamilton (a grappler) into a kimura from the clinch. I'm also pretty sure he only has 1 more KO than subs on his professional record (5 and 4, respectively)
 
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