UFC 208 - Holm vs De Randamie - Brooklyn

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She has like 10 times more exciting style than Holm...Talks really good english, is outspoken. I think she would be alright.
You either have to be attractive or physically intimidating to be a draw in Women's MMA, GDR is neither. Being an exciting fighter, being outspoken, speaking English and being American also helps. If she wins the title (which she won't) there would be some massive stank on this new division. UFC all in on Holm.
 
I really like Silva/Brunson NOT ITD at +275. A bit more so than Brunson +300.
 
I'm a more complete version of him, just shorter, it will be tough but I think I will handle him

 
Had to worry about diet, felt less energy during camp, had to cut alot of weight to get to 170, UFC always gives me Southpaw wrestlers, says he can still hold his own in the gym

 
BrunsonsMMAandFitness

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LOL at the token white guy
 
Brooks sounds like he's really in McCall's head... McCall said he's really angry, McCall said his arm hurts all the time, wasn't working when he signed the Scoggins fight, so much pain he was on the ground crying (as of months ago), whole camp is about keeping him healthy, workouts are only an hour




Errrr wut.

EDIT : He seems like he wants to beat the hell out of Brooks. Quite happy to maintain Mccall bet.
 
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So i have 1.6u on Glover at -160. Something about this fight doesn't sit well with me. Would it be awful to hedge out and just play GT by SUB instead?
 
Going by cards cliffs fade the fuck outta mccall. Will listen later
 
Extra happy with my laflare bet hearing that. Big part of my action is fading carneiros cardio at 170
 
You either have to be attractive or physically intimidating to be a draw in Women's MMA, GDR is neither. Being an exciting fighter, being outspoken, speaking English and being American also helps. If she wins the title (which she won't) there would be some massive stank on this new division. UFC all in on Holm.

Donald is that you?
 
http://www.fightmatrix.com/2017/02/06/fight-matrix-program-ufc-208-holmde-randamie-02-11-2017/

Ring rust
- Germaine de Randamie 279 days
- Ronaldo Souza 273 days
- Ryan LaFlare 428 days
- Ian McCall 742 days
- Yuta Sasaki 279 days

Short Notice:
- Justin Willis (in for Luis Henrique) vs. Marcin Tybura [0 days]
- Jarred Brooks (in for Neil Seery) vs. Ian McCall [1 week]
- Belal Muhammad (in for George Sullivan) vs. Randy Brown [0 days]

Notes:
- Germaine de Randamie returning from Foot Injury (vs Ashlee Evans-Smith) Sept
- Derek Brunson returning from TKO loss
- Ronaldo Souza was training for Luke Rockhold in Nov
- Glover Teixeira returning from TKO loss
- Dustin Poirier returning from TKO loss
- Randy Brown was training for Charlie Ward in Dec
- Wilson Reis was training for Demetrious Johnson / Sean Santella (July)
- Nik Lentz was training for Mairbek Taisumov in Sept
- Jarred Brooks UFC debut, had a fight scheduled on Feb 17th, undefeated
- Marcin Tybura was training for Derrick Lewis in Oct
- Justin Willis UFC debut
- Ryan LaFlare returning from injury (vs Alexander Yakovlev) in July
 
Some of my cliff notes, red flags and main points from interviews and training vids

Brooks
red flag 1 week short notice
-natural 125 pounder
-strong wrestler
-lots of grappling and wrestling competitions (high school and state)


Mcall
red flag -dozens of injuries over past few years, suggest his arm don't work
red flag -retirement hints
red flag -past 6 fights either withdrawn or opponents withdrawn due to injury
red flag-work outs are only one hour, one hour warm up.
red flag-742 days ring rust

-new camp for this fight, says is 134 already.
-Looks angry against this new 'childs' smack talk
-Says his opponent is a child, 12 year old mentality with mum & teabag jokes
-Done his research on his opponent, plans to pick him apart.


letnz
red flag-has new born baby(november) so daddy duties
-expects tough fight but expects a win
-says he is a complete version of his opponent just shorter
-Suggest he destroys top 10 guys and pushes them down the rankings


GDR
red flag-training as a police officer is her full time job
red flag-279 days ring rust

-not afraid to take risk, or get knocked out but will go for the finish always
-working on her weak points (hinted at ground game)
-sounds like a beastly man

Holm
red flag-coming off 2 losses, suggested she has a lot of pressure here
-top mount and gnp from top position shown in training vids
-lots of footwork, leg kicks and head movement defence shown in training vids
-Says she has pressure but wants to make history @ 145, and look past her tough last year


Bruson
red flag? -started his own gym.
red flag- short notice fight

-says he got 'greedy' and not reckless last time, wanted that ko win
-compares silva to uriah hall and says he had no issue getting the ko here
-plans on a ko, but wont abandon wrestling


Spider
red flag- last win was 4 years ago, almost 42
-claims to have lots of energy wishes to fight another few more years


Justin willis
red flag-past interviews he suggest give him 3-4 minutes and he can beat up anyone
red flag-1 days short notice

-has all the mental tools to win
-intuitive, chess player also and believes iron sharpens iron.
-trains aka camp (not the cain/dc camp)
-big powerful hw with strong wrestling and heavy hands like gnp


Canon
red flag-has full time job
red flag-wants to move down to 185



Roan
red flag-worried about his diet
red flag-low energy during camp
red flag-tough weight cut to get to 170

-Suggest he won his last fight
-Feels good currently
-facing southpaw again


Laflare
red flag-coming off injury
red flag-428 days ring rust

Solid all rounder, good striking, wrestling and ji jitsu


Souza
red flag-273 days ring rust

Sasaki
red flag-279 days ring rust

Belal
red flag very short notice replacement



 
I'll take the Reis/Sasaki o2.5 now that it's at evens for 1u. Sasaki has pretty much no chance of finishing, and I think there's a damn good chance his sub defense holds up. I'm more worried about him getting finished on the feet, but still don't think it's that likely.
reis has 0 ko's in 27 pro fights
 
what are people seeing in Willis, line dropped 2,75 -> 2,15 immediately?? Dude comes in short notice, debut in UFC, flabby and against an real talent with way more experience. Pounded the Tybura opener..
 
Thoughts on Tybura vs Willis? Have not found much footage of Willis but Tybura much more experienced and showed a lot of improvements in his last fight striking and movement wise. Willis has 5 pro fights vs bums... -120 for Tybura seems really good.
 
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