UFN 105 - Lewis vs Browne - Halifax

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would not surprise me if johnny boy misses weight again :D i am also worried if he is even training mma now all i see on twitter is him teaching wrestling at his new gym
 
Damn I fucked up I didn't know this card was going to be on a Sunday. I made plans around Saturday so I could catch the fights.

Times like these I wish I had a clone to watch the fights for me while I go out lol.

Same here man. Promised the gf I'll spend all day with her thinking it was the usual Sunday morning (time in Japan) fight time.
Is it bad that I want to cancel on her and watch UFC?
 
Same here man. Promised the gf I'll spend all day with her thinking it was the usual Sunday morning (time in Japan) fight time.
Is it bad that I want to cancel on her and watch UFC?
Depends how attractive she is ;)

But no, gf > UFC all day
 
Nothing, no reason not to call it how it is


Funny enough a penny bettor on my ignore list liked that post




Back on topic

Ready to pull the trigger Ferreira, Elias cant implement his usual shit boring gameplan, on it for 2u -115

You are so sad.
Elias by DEC.
 
Depends how attractive she is ;)

But no, gf > UFC all day
Solid 8 but she really dislikes me watching MMA. Probably has something to do with me shouting at my computer at 8 in the morning.
 
Solid 8 but she really dislikes me watching MMA. Probably has something to do with me shouting at my computer at 8 in the morning.

8? Pfff. I shout at my iPad 02:00-07:00, my girlfriend is not super amused.
 
Isnt lewis biggest problem guys with better wrestling?

+210 ;)

ya kinda worried feels like a trap somehow.. but i am still adding lol just makes no sense to me the line jumped almost 100 points over the last 24 hours
 
Thats just stupid

1u on it.

I took it as well, 1U at 3.00.

Hendricks Dec is 3.60, 0.5U on it. Already have 1.5 on his ML.

Browne Dec is 7.00, a bit lower than I was hoping.
 
I dig motherfucking deep on my research lol, Randa Markos has a (Canadian) national bronze medal in wrestling from being in highschool(?) I think.



She was also on these goofs podcast - Saying she hasn't watched any tape on Esparza and is leaving it to her coaches, although she no longer has 'head coach' moving away from Tristar and training across multiple gyms for their respective disciplines.



Also looks like her main sparring partner has been a 2-1 male flyweight, Nick Fillion
 
I dig motherfucking deep on my research lol, Randa Markos has a (Canadian) national bronze medal in wrestling from being in highschool(?) I think.



She was also on these goofs podcast - Saying she hasn't watched any tape on Esparza and is leaving it to her coaches, although she no longer has 'head coach' moving away from Tristar and training across multiple gyms for their respective disciplines.



Also looks like her main sparring partner has been a 2-1 male flyweight, Nick Fillion


Your creep game A1.
The only line that is of value in this fight is Randa DEC. Other lines are way too juiced.
 
Thats just stupid

1u on it.

Why is there so much value on this line according to you guys? They both have not been over one and a half rounds more than 30% of the time in their career. Statistically speaking the line is more or less correct.

What is it about the match up that gives you the idea it goes over one and a half rounds?
 
Why is there so much value on this line according to you guys? They both have not been over one and a half rounds more than 30% of the time in their career. Statistically speaking the line is more or less correct.

What is it about the match up that gives you the idea it goes over one and a half rounds?
Anytime Marshaman losses, its usually over 1.5 rounds. This tells us his pretty durable when he's fully energised and he kinda is. Most of his finishes are also over 1.5. Santos on the other hand, if he cant finish you in round one, he will usually go to decision or finish very late, over 1.5.

Now can either finish in under round 1? Yes, they can but its more likely imo it goes over 1.5. At +2xx, its excellent value.
 
I wrote this before last event: I know GDR won but this fight could have gone either way.. so i was kinda correct on that one too.


FREE EXPERT OPINION VOL. 2

-People please stop wasting ur money on black beast, elias and lombard. BB/Browne will look like Schaub beatdown or even worse. BB has non existent TD defense and Travis has better cardio.. everything Travis does better. BB is overhyped and a can crusher. I dont care that he still is with Edmond. There is just a maintained level where you don't fall lower (except if you don't train)
-Lombard won't win this also. 2 minute cardio, low output .. 40 yrs old. No just no. I have a strong Hendricks feeling
-This is a bad matchup for Elias. Cezar is better everywhere. Elias is the MW van zant... will get exposed once again.

I agree with you here on all 3 picks. You were on Belal last event, I was on Brown, you were right, I was wrong, that's how the cookie rumbles sometimes.

The only thing for me is I want to wait for the weigh ins to bet on Hendricks before anything.
 
I just chose to spend time watching Carla Esparza and Randa Markos by choice.

Esparza has kind of an interesting style if allowed to operate freely. She stands waaaayyyyy outside, and knows damn well you know she wants a takedown. What this means is that she can actually have effective striking at this range, barely faking a takedown and her opponents bite and then get clipped. You'll see it in the Lima fight especially, with Lima responding making a little face with her tongue out realising she'd just been played. If allowed to play this game and getting her takedowns, she wins the fight, plain and simple. Her control is decent enough at this level. Although she's no grappling god with plenty of her opponents able to create scrambles with leg locks, etc.

If you take away that game, simply by closing that range, her takedowns suddenly become telegraphed, essentially bending down to grab a leg and doesn't have the striking to stay there. Especially in the JJ fight where suddenly all her confidence vanished and she was quickly devoured. Her confidence is another thing you see, on the stool in the Rose fight she looked defeated simply because she wasn't winning as much as she thought she would. Her corner had to reassure her not to worry that the ground and pound wasn't coming as easily as predicted - but she did look concerned that she was having to actually be a bit scrappy.

So Markos. She's got some decent wrestling and control on the ground - out wrestling Tecia Torres in the 2nd and 3rd rounds to win their fight in the TUF house. It doesn't really translate in TDD all the time and that might be all that needs to be said about this fight. She matches Esparza as a purple belt in BJJ (as far as I can tell). However, while Lima was strangely standing on the outside for Esparza, Markos does like to close the distance. She's not a furious striker but okay for WMMA, and it doesn't matter that much because Esparza hates that range, even if she might be able to contend if she felt comfortable. Markos isn't at tristar any longer which is a crying shame because there's a gameplan to be made here. The quality of her training has decreased but if she's feeling she's getting more defined personal training, especially with a boxing trainer, it could be a good thing.

Esparza eats ice cream sundaes that cost a thousand dollars then complains about pay and trying to sell her bike - basically Esparza ain't all there. She also said of her last fight alllll the way back in april of 2016 "I just kind of wanted to avoid the stress of a long camp" well, now she's got a long camp. She also wanted to avoid the media, well you might actually have someone ask about that JJ fight this time, shock, horror. She's also ducking Claudia. The Ronda Rousey comparisons are there to be made and the questions on her commitment are there too.

She's also hyped to look like this


Basically, in all likelihood Esparza does win this. But please, don't play her at these odds. As with most of WMMA, there's a dog with a decent chance. One with experience wrestling. One who is game and willing to exchange.
 
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