UFC 209 PBP/discussion

Hey IGnP can i get some credit over here. I told you i capped Kelly at -140! (im 90% sure it was you, sorry if it wasnt!)
2ro5grl.gif


good call
 
As far as how the fight turned out, it was weird. I just don't get why before the fight the guy who almost knocked the other guy out and nearly submitted him, the guy who is the champ, is the underdog. I don't claim to be an expert though, just happy I won.
ehh...really arguable that WB won the first fight. hell, and even the second.

but off the top of my head, silva was still a fav in the 2nd fight vs weidman despite getting KOed for the belt. and similar situation in sonnen 2. silva was dominated in sonnen 1 before getting a lucky GOAT comeback sub and still opened up as a sizeable fav in the rematch. it happens a lot. odds usually reflect the betting market, which factors in public perception (many thought WB won the first fight). up to us bettors to find value in them or not.
 
ehh...really arguable that WB won the first fight. hell, and even the second.

but off the top of my head, silva was still a fav in the 2nd fight vs weidman despite getting KOed for the belt. and similar situation in sonnen 2. silva was dominated in sonnen 1 before getting a lucky GOAT comeback sub and still opened up as a sizeable fav in the rematch. it happens a lot. odds usually reflect the betting market. up to us bettors to find value in them or not.

Yea won on technicalities maybe. The fight itself wasn't even close. Wonderboy got dominated. Only goofy scoring made it seem close. One guy nearly got knocked out and submitted, one guy was totally fine. We saw again WB crumble to Woodley's strikes just like before.

Weidman should have been the favorite. People were living in denial. Sonnen probably should have been to. I'm not saying there is any hard rules as to why odds should be how they are. But if I see one guy dominate another guy and they have an immediate rematch, I'll bet on the guy who dominated the other guy if he's the underdog 9/10 times.
 
Yea won on technicalities maybe. The fight itself wasn't even close. Wonderboy got dominated. Only goofy scoring made it seem close. One guy nearly got knocked out and submitted, one guy was totally fine.

Weidman should have been the favorite. People were living in denial. Sonnen probably should have been to.
Yeah I mean that's fine to have that opinion. That's how you can create value when placing bets. I'm just saying that odds have public perception factored in so it's not crazy to think why Woodley would be a dog if most people thought WB won the first time.
 
Honestly -180 WB in hindsight is a terrible bet for anyone to make, fight hinged on if Woodley wanted to fight.
 
Yea won on technicalities maybe. The fight itself wasn't even close. Wonderboy got dominated. Only goofy scoring made it seem close. One guy nearly got knocked out and submitted, one guy was totally fine. We saw again WB crumble to Woodley's strikes just like before.
I get where you're coming from but the scoring in mma doesn't work like that. It's round by round, if you don't win the majority of rounds than you're unlikely to win on the judges scorecards. The sport is littered with examples of fighters taking far more damage than their opponents but still getting the decision because they win more rounds (Bisping v Anderson, Bisping v Hendo 2, GSP v Hendricks etc).
 
Fellas !
Today is my biggest day EVER !

Im gonna repost from the betting thread
Since all my Khabib action got cancelled I've added these

2u Sanders dec +225
1u Teymur dec +650
1u Kelly dec +450
1u Kelly dec + Teymur dec + Tybura itd + Godbeer +15025
Craziest fucking parlay of my life hit

Biggest dogs of My life hit !

My units are $100 btw

Won over 15k today on one motherfucking parlay !

Unreal!

Biggest winning day in my entire life has been just under 12k , today is a whole other level of win

And its mostly because of that one retard degen parlay

But, I was HEAVY into Lando when the fight was first announced, but reading the thread made me realize that normally I would be on Teymur in a similar situation


Anyway, I never gloat or cry , win or lose

But thought I would share the great news with the people who made it happen !
 
Fellas !
Today is my biggest day EVER !

Im gonna repost from the betting thread

Craziest fucking parlay of my life hit

Biggest dogs of My life hit !

My units are $100 btw

Won over 15k today on one motherfucking parlay !

Unreal!

Biggest winning day in my entire life has been just under 12k , today is a whole other level of win

And its mostly because of that one retard degen parlay

But, I was HEAVY into Lando when the fight was first announced, but reading the thread made me realize that normally I would be on Teymur in a similar situation


Anyway, I never gloat or cry , win or lose

But thought I would share the great news with the people who made it happen !

Man I hit a similar one but for like 10% of what you did. I just never throw more than ten or MAYBE 20 bucks on the hail mary type parlays. Awesome job man. Here's mine:

upload_2017-3-5_2-2-12.png
 
Man I hit a similar one but for like 10% of what you did. I just never throw more than ten or MAYBE 20 bucks on the hail mary type parlays. Awesome job man. Here's mine:

View attachment 206961
Almost never do myself, kindve just went for it

Isnt it sweet to see all those + odds in a parlay?!

Even at $20 I'm sure the return was great
 
Almost never do myself, kindve just went for it

Isnt it sweet to see all those + odds in a parlay?!

Even at $20 I'm sure the return was great

It was only ten on that one though. But yeah I'm not gonna complain at all!

Yours is awesome. Hitting one like that with a hundo on it can make up for those nights where you cant' catch a break.
 
It was only ten on that one though. But yeah I'm not gonna complain at all!

Yours is awesome. Hitting one like that with a hundo on it can make up for those nights where you cant' catch a break.
Exactly, we've all had nights where we came super close to hitting the big one and I finally got one, not even gonna pretend that half of that shit wasnt luck

Kelly getting a split and Tybura finishing with like 90 secs to go
 
Fellas !
Today is my biggest day EVER !

Im gonna repost from the betting thread

Craziest fucking parlay of my life hit

Biggest dogs of My life hit !

My units are $100 btw

Won over 15k today on one motherfucking parlay !

Unreal!

Biggest winning day in my entire life has been just under 12k , today is a whole other level of win

And its mostly because of that one retard degen parlay

But, I was HEAVY into Lando when the fight was first announced, but reading the thread made me realize that normally I would be on Teymur in a similar situation


Anyway, I never gloat or cry , win or lose

But thought I would share the great news with the people who made it happen !
Sweet!

Now that you're ballin', I expect to see you in next week's Sherdog MMA DraftKings event. :)
 
Fellas !
Today is my biggest day EVER !

Im gonna repost from the betting thread

Craziest fucking parlay of my life hit

Biggest dogs of My life hit !

My units are $100 btw

Won over 15k today on one motherfucking parlay !

Unreal!

Biggest winning day in my entire life has been just under 12k , today is a whole other level of win

And its mostly because of that one retard degen parlay

But, I was HEAVY into Lando when the fight was first announced, but reading the thread made me realize that normally I would be on Teymur in a similar situation


Anyway, I never gloat or cry , win or lose

But thought I would share the great news with the people who made it happen !

I think big wins like this should always be shared. Congrats man, that's a great read. I love dank prop parlays. 1u well fucking spent.

Lando has a chin musta been nerve wracking haha
 
Last edited:
Back
Top