UFN 106 pbp/discussion

If they've done their research and are presenting WHY they are backing said fighter, not sure what the issue is.

You are kind of being confusing in asking for "accountability" and then turning around and complaining about someone who's right out in front telling everyone here who they are betting on. The accountability is built in.

I was absolutely HUGE on Ferg vs Khabib. I posted all the reasons why, repeatedly. A lot of my action was actually NOT Khabib itd and I posted the reasons why for those bets. If Khabib liked dessert a bit less, I'm confident I'd have added to my BR.

BUT....

...had Khabib come out and finished Ferg, all my posts would still be there. The "accountability" is that I made my bets clear prior to the event. If I'm wrong, everyone has read my rationale for my bets. If I say "Khabib doesn't do damage to good guard players" and then he goes out and smashes someone like Ferg, I've put my view out there prior to the fight.

I guess I'm not sure the issue you have.

Yeah you were actually one I was thinking of (no offense at all). You must have made a least 100 posts constantly explaining and reexplaining why you liked Tony in that fight. My impression was that you never considered any opposing argument. Instead, you felt that it was your role to make the Tony case over and over and over. My point is that that kind of thing hurts the community as a whole. When your approach is to push back on everyone who disagrees you rapidly reach a point where you are not helping anyone.

I understand you are betting your own money, which is the ultimate personal responsibility. My point is more that that approach hurts the community as a whole. The community would benefit from everyone knowing who the people are who refuse to consider a dissenting opinion. It becomes challenging when some of these posters are perceived to be big winners because their opinions are weighted too heavily.
 
POTN:
gastelum
barboza
prazeres
borrachinha

no FOTN

i approve of this :p (meaning i got my FOTN bets back on lee-trinaldo and oliveira-means, even tho they were fun fights)
 
Any thoughts on FOTN?

Would they give it to that Shogun/Gian slopfest? Probably, sigh...

I have Soto/Rani at +2000 and Formiga/Borg at +600 but of course it will probably be Shogun/Gian since it was a sloppy brawl.

push see above
 
i guess ur parlay got busted with shogun KO. how much would have u won?

About $1200.

I actually ended up betting Shogun KO too. Still nowhere near what Gian KO would have won me. Ended up the night up a little under $400. Would have been so much more had Kelvin/Vitor gone o1.5 (even if had started rd 2 I'd have won a few hundred more). Oh well.
 
What information is missing in this forum is fighter camp for each fighter and did they change camp. So if someone here can do every fighter from what camp would help us a lot. Maybe Card could add that into his ring rust stats. ...lol.
 
About $1200.

I actually ended up betting Shogun KO too. Still nowhere near what Gian KO would have won me. Ended up the night up a little under $400. Would have been so much more had Kelvin/Vitor gone o1.5 (even if had started rd 2 I'd have won a few hundred more). Oh well.
shame yes. i would have been the king once again had it gone o1,5. IT IS WHAT IS IS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
<{1-12}>
 
FUN FACT: There is no UFC for 3 weeks after next England event. So we must fucking win big before we go to holiday. Fuck this 3 weeks no UFC. retarded cucks.
 
Killed it tonight! Wish I had put more on Soto and Kennedy and less on Means.


I have to do a bit of a humble brag on BD on means versus Oliveira and Joe Soto

MMA Goodfella said:
Man, I just went back and watched the Means/Oliveira fight and it was a bit closer than I had remembered. For starters, cowboy had actually landed a beautiful spinning back kick to Tim's midsection that dropped him. Also, they were jockeying for position against the cage a bit and Oliveira was actually getting the better of the exchange for a bit as he took Tim down twice and then used a waist cinch to control him and land knees to the back of the thigh. Nevertheless, Tim did look like he was beginning to take over as he hit a switch on Oliveira and was starting to separate himself and the wrestling/grappling department. But it was such a short match.

MMA Goodfella said:
I'm pretty big on Soto..thinking he survives early on the mat and uses his superior boxing and stamina to pull away down the stretch.


Congratulations to all those who make money and hope those who did it were Barry'd too bad.
 
I did terrible live betting today. Pissed away 4-5 units foolishly, and didn't hit Lee & Soto even though I knew I should.

I hit Dariush after round 1, but don't even feel bad on that one he was winning the fight before the godly knee. I also had a 1u to win 4.25u parlay with the over in that fight which missed that hurt too. Winning event overall though a lot of good reads, not sure how much I'm up exactly. On to next week.
 
Yeah you were actually one I was thinking of (no offense at all). You must have made a least 100 posts constantly explaining and reexplaining why you liked Tony in that fight. My impression was that you never considered any opposing argument. Instead, you felt that it was your role to make the Tony case over and over and over. My point is that that kind of thing hurts the community as a whole. When your approach is to push back on everyone who disagrees you rapidly reach a point where you are not helping anyone.

I understand you are betting your own money, which is the ultimate personal responsibility. My point is more that that approach hurts the community as a whole. The community would benefit from everyone knowing who the people are who refuse to consider a dissenting opinion. It becomes challenging when some of these posters are perceived to be big winners because their opinions are weighted too heavily.

But if you read ALL of my posts you'd have seen that I listed the probability of each outcome and where I capped them. I had Khabib dec as tied for my most likely outcome. Which is why I was very heavy on NOT Khabib itd, along with my bets on Tony. So I was looking at the fight rationally, for the most part.

If I have a very strong lean I'll hammer it in here. Over the years (a lot of them, if you notice how long I've been here) they've been profitable.

You should decide who's opinion you weigh more heavily than others. Watch tape. See if what I'm saying is what you're seeing. Or if what any of the posters is saying does.

I'm gonna give you the benefit of the doubt since you just joined. If I've done my research and feel strongly about something here, I'm not gonna say "Gee you make a really good point" if I don't actually believe that. For example: Khabib has NOT ever done any real damage to anyone in the UFC that has a good guard (on the ground he hasn't). If you come back with "Look how he destroyed the last two guys on the mat" I'm not just gonna concede you have a great point. Because those guys are turtles on their backs.

If someone makes a valid counterpoint absolutely I will take it into account. I've hedged, added, or even in rare cases switched sides based on info I've gotten from other posters in here that turned out to be good insight once I watched it on tape.
 
Shout out to my boy MMAGF for that soto bd. I got on that. Hope everyone did well. Wow at Barb and Lee with those come from behind victories. Saved me! Up 7U. Damn Bethe draw.
 
Barb + Gas hits and some lb winnings too. 7-0 this year. Up over 6 units on the night
 
2u Barboza + Gastelum @ EVS - WIN
2u Rua + Means @ + 150 - LOSS
2u Lee @ - 110 - WIN
1u Lee + Means + Barboza @ + 280 - LOSS
0.5u Burkman @ + 210 - LOSS
0.5u Ramos @ + 190 - LOSS
0.2u Ramos + Burkman + Barboza + Means + Bethe @ 106/1 - LOSS

And I ended up.....completely even, fell asleep before the event started, so didn't get to play any of the LB I wanted to play, which is hugely frustrating. Next event in UK, so will be LB the shit out of that card!
 
Didn't do a good job with the picks but a small double with Soto decision & Shogun Round 3 saved my ass for a small profit.
 
up like 60units this card mostly thanks to lb, soto +400 was gold

not sure why bet365 hasnt limited me yet by I guss it should come any day now
 
up like 60units this card mostly thanks to lb, soto +400 was gold

not sure why bet365 hasnt limited me yet by I guss it should come any day now

it depends on how much money you won, but they will probably limit your lb soon
 
IM STILL NUMBER ONE BETTOR I DONT GIVE A FOOOOOOOOOK!!!!!!!!!!! fucking judges can kiss my ass cunts!

giphy.gif

Come on man, even McGOAT knew he should stay humble for at least a day after the first Diaz loss
 
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up like 60units this card mostly thanks to lb, soto +400 was gold

not sure why bet365 hasnt limited me yet by I guss it should come any day now
How much you won from them approximately? I'm just interested in how much you can earn before they notice and start limiting you.
Congrats btw nice win :)
 
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