UFN 111 - Holm vs Correia - Singapore

Status
Not open for further replies.
Holly is worth slightly more than Floyd (vs Conor,) what a rip off. Bethe might be tailor made for Holly but even so, terrible value.

Yeah, the retarded half of the MMA community where if your shoulder looks a bit less ripped under different lighting you were doing roids.

RDA looked great at weigh in. He went 5 rounds in elevation with Ferg. Dumbest fucking capping thought ever would be saying to yourself "RDA used to juice, gotta keep that in mind"

People have been whispering stuff ever since he broke Pettis' eye socket in 2015.
 
you dont think getting kod and absorbig 200 signifigant strikes in back-to-back fights can have an effect on a fighters next fight, moving up in weigh class no less against one of the best kickers in the game?

thats horrible

Just wondering. How effective is Tarec's low kicks versus southpaws? Honest question. Last two losses are versus soutpaws IIRC.

I'm on Tarec decision and the over btw.
 
you dont think getting kod and absorbig 200 signifigant strikes in back-to-back fights can have an effect on a fighters next fight, moving up in weight class no less, against one of the best kickers in the game?

thats horrible

If Tarec had any power it would worry me a lot more. He is probably the most forgiving big name opponent they could have given RDA for his WW debut tbh. Sounds like you are capping the fight on everything but the fighters actual skills, styles, etc.
 
Holly is worth slightly more than Floyd (vs Conor,) what a rip off. Bethe might be tailor made for Holly but even so, terrible value.



People have been whispering stuff ever since he broke Pettis' eye socket in 2015.
Taking "whispers" into account when hes not failed one drug test and gave a solid performance against Ferg in elevation seems like a bit much. Speculative capping is never going to do anyone any good. It didn't help last week with Hunt, hopefully if/when RDA mollywhops Tarec it helps people realize to just focus on the fight rather than all this other shenanigans
 
Innoue ITD and under 2.5 is +105. Put a little bit on both.
 
Just wondering. How effective is Tarec's low kicks versus southpaws? Honest question. Last two losses are versus soutpaws IIRC.

I'm on Tarec decision and the over btw.

saff is a switch hitter. he didnt throw many kicks against dhk
 
Taking "whispers" into account when hes not failed one drug test and gave a solid performance against Ferg in elevation seems like a bit much. Speculative capping is never going to do anyone any good. It didn't help last week with Hunt, hopefully if/when RDA mollywhops Tarec it helps people realize to just focus on the fight rather than all this other shenanigans

youre kind of dwelling on the post usada when, imo, you should be more focusing on the fact that rda is moving up a weght class after absorbing substantial punishment in his last two fights.

if rda was a victim of usada, thats just more fuel to the fire

ive mentioned usada but thats not the reason im betting tarec or mreso why someone should avoiding rda at a bizarre -270
 
i just want to make a general point:

one needs to justify a -250 favorite play WAY MORE than a +250 dog play.

i feel like that's getting lost. i say this because i've seen a lot of discussion this week about fights as if the fighters were +100/+100
 
youre kind of dwelling on the post usada when, imo, you should be more focusing on the fact that rda is moving up a weght class after absorbing substantial punishment in his last two fights.

if rda was a victim of usada, thats just more fuel to the fire

ive mentioned usada but thats not the reason im betting tarec or mreso why someone should avoiding rda at a bizarre -270
I'm only focusing on it cause you brought it up bro lol and it needs to be discussed when this is 2nd week in a row i'm seeing highly speculative discussion taken into account with capping (again, this is why I said its not directly aimed at you. This RDA/USADA shit def came up earlier in here too). Trust me i've taken into account the real factors for capping; his fights.
 
i just want to make a general point:

one needs to justify a -250 favorite play WAY MORE than a +250 dog play.

i feel like that's getting lost. i say this because i've seen a lot of discussion this week about fights as if the fighters were +100/+100

I totally understand that, but I am not going to put disclaimers into every post based on what the current odds are. I am putting out my thoughts on the fight and people can decide what lines are accurate for themselves. I personally hit RDA when his line was -210 and cap him around -250, so right now I would not add to him. I also don't fault people playing saff, even though you might as well play his dec line instead. But I will certainly dispute someone playing him because RDA has taken punishment in his last two fights..
 
These are just more assumptions though. Even media people like Patrick Wyman pointed out this week that RDA looks BIG in person when hes not cutting weight and he couldn't believe he made 155. Everyone carries weight differently.

Don't let me stop you from betting cause you're presuming RDA used to do roids, but yeah just my opinion thats a retarded thing to consider in your capping with zero proof

agreed about the ped use. primarily betting against or for a guy because of supposed ped use is not wise.
 
I totally understand that, but I am not going to put disclaimers into every post based on what the current odds are. I am putting out my thoughts on the fight and people can decide what lines are accurate for themselves. I personally hit RDA when his line was -210 and cap him around -250, so right now I would not add to him. I also don't fault people playing saff, even though you might as well play his dec line instead. But I will certainly dispute someone playing him because RDA has taken punishment in his last two fights..

right, but we're betting a number, not a fighter.. in every fight, period, ya know? wasn't meant towards anyone in particular
 
right, but we're betting a number, not a fighter.. in every fight, period, ya know? wasn't meant towards anyone in particular

Right, and what number people are comfortable betting a fighter at is up to them, correct? They take all the factual and a lot of non-factual information that is often posted here and can then decide for themselves.
 
If Tarec had any power it would worry me a lot more. He is probably the most forgiving big name opponent they could have given RDA for his WW debut tbh. Sounds like you are capping the fight on everything but the fighters actual skills, styles, etc.

a60ee280109071c135f438c3e50b9333.jpg


nate has proven ko power at 170 and 185.

like i said before, tarec is one of the best kickers in the game.
 
I totally understand that, but I am not going to put disclaimers into every post based on what the current odds are. I am putting out my thoughts on the fight and people can decide what lines are accurate for themselves. I personally hit RDA when his line was -210 and cap him around -250, so right now I would not add to him. I also don't fault people playing saff, even though you might as well play his dec line instead. But I will certainly dispute someone playing him because RDA has taken punishment in his last two fights..

do you think that lawler would only be a -150 against cowboy if he wasnt kod by woodley in his last fight and had taken so much punishment against condit and mcdonald?

perhaps rdas last two fights wont have any bearing on his fight with tarec and im wrong.
 
a60ee280109071c135f438c3e50b9333.jpg


nate has proven ko power at 170 and 185.

like i said before, tarec is one of the best kickers in the game.

Nate Marquardt and RDA literally have almost no similarities to their games, not sure what his bruised leg proves. Are you insinuating that because RDA has taken punishment his last two fights that Tarec is going to finish him with leg kicks?
 
do you think that lawler would only be a -150 against cowboy if he wasnt kod by woodley in his last fight and had taken so much punishment against condit and mcdonald?
d
perhaps rdas last two fights wont have any bearing on his fight with tarec and im wrong.

Rabbit hole I am not willing to go down..
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top