Toe-to-Toe Tuesdays didn't play out as expected. Cruz said in his interview at the start of the broadcast that he was was not himself in the first fight because he had just gotten over a staph infection, and I believe him because he looks way better this time, dropping Martin twice and winning a decision.
Boxing Discussion V
- Thread starter Mcgregorian
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IBF world lightweight title on the line this Friday evening on Bounce TV as Denis Shafikov challenges Robert Easter Jr. for the belt. Shafikov won me money twice in his most recent two fights stopping Jamel Herring in round 10 as a slight dog and then beating Richard Commey by decision in Russia as a moderate favorite. He's short, but aggressive and while Easter is undefeated, I don't think he's unbeatable. So far just a small value play for me, maybe more if the line rises more.
Denis Shafikov (+250) vs Robert Easter Jr. $40.00 for $100.00
Denis Shafikov (+250) vs Robert Easter Jr. $40.00 for $100.00
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Back in the game
Some strong leans for this weekend
3u Okolie R1 @ 2.62
3u Pacquiao-Horn goes to distance @ 1.90
3u Povetkin KO @ 1.66
2u Cheeseman dec @ 2.05
2u Ancajas dec @ 4.33
2u Toussaint @ 1.57
1u Dames @ 2.1
0.4u Okolie R1 + Cheeseman dec + Ancajas dec + Povetkin KO + Pac goes to distance @ 42
Some strong leans for this weekend
3u Okolie R1 @ 2.62
3u Pacquiao-Horn goes to distance @ 1.90
3u Povetkin KO @ 1.66
2u Cheeseman dec @ 2.05
2u Ancajas dec @ 4.33
2u Toussaint @ 1.57
1u Dames @ 2.1
0.4u Okolie R1 + Cheeseman dec + Ancajas dec + Povetkin KO + Pac goes to distance @ 42
i wouldve bet shafikov as well but the fight is in ohio, promoted by broners about billions and denis is going to need multiple kds in different rounds to get a decision.
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I think Easter wins but I don't think the judging is going to be that huge of a deal.
Zhakiyanov got 2 clear scorecards in his favour when he beat Warren even though he was down twice in the first round, and that was also promoted by AB.
Shafikov will have to have a very high output and a lot of aggression to take rounds though.
denis has the output to win, threw 930 against barthemely and 730 against commey. if they offered live betting i would bet it as the fight could statistically be close
both easter by dec and the over are going to be in the -200s, im going to pass.
Line jumped overnight- not sure if that changes the value equation for you guys, but I love to bet Shafikov because he's aggressive and high output, perfect 'fights for your money' type fighter. Added a bit more to win another unit:
Denis Shafikov (+320) vs Robert Easter Jr. $31.25 for $100.00
Denis Shafikov (+320) vs Robert Easter Jr. $31.25 for $100.00
Dwyer kind of convincing me that the Pacman vs Horn fight won't go the distance due to Horn's aggressiveness, even though Manny hasn't gotten a stoppage in years. Basically, that he'll keep coming and won't let Manny coast to a UD even if he's being hurt or outclassed. I'm liking the look of Manny by KO/TKO/DQ at + money and the under 9½ and 10½ props also at + money.
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Sat night boxing card for Brits doesn't really look like there are any competitive fights (surprise surprise). Anyone like any itd or decision bets?
Picked up the Pac ML for $270 to return $337, threw $30 on Pac ITD to return $66. I'm not super confident that Manny won't hurt Horn enough to make him keep his distance, but a small bet is enough for me to be invested in the fight.
i took both horn(+4000) and paq(+750) rounds 10-12. will play both paq and horn dec if there is an early manny kd.
the fact that paq may no longer have the outout anymore could give jeff a chance here. he could grow old overnight here in australia like kt did against hatton in the UK
the fact that paq may no longer have the outout anymore could give jeff a chance here. he could grow old overnight here in australia like kt did against hatton in the UK
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got manny by knockout tko or un decision at -239
Shafikov has won me money in his last two fights, so I can't resist backing him as the line climbed even against a much taller man with a huge reach like Easter. And I think Manny will get his first stoppage in years against Horn tomorrow, maybe in the very first few rounds.
Denis Shafikov (+500) vs Robert Easter Jr. $20.00 for $100.00
Denis Shafikov (+320) vs Robert Easter Jr. $31.25 for $100.00
Denis Shafikov (+250) vs Robert Easter Jr. $40.00 for $100.00
Manny Pacquiao (-435) vs Jeff Horn ~$437.50 for ~$100.57
Manny Pacquiao wins in round 1-6 (+450) $25.00 for $112.50
Manny Pacquiao wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+151) $100.00 for $151.00
Manny Pacquiao/Jeff Horn Under 9½ (+150) $66.67 for $100.00
Manny Pacquiao/Jeff Horn Under 10½ (+130) $100.00 for $130.00
Manny Pacquiao wins by KO/TKO/DQ or unanimous decision (-290) $290.00 for $100.00
Denis Shafikov (+500) vs Robert Easter Jr. $20.00 for $100.00
Denis Shafikov (+320) vs Robert Easter Jr. $31.25 for $100.00
Denis Shafikov (+250) vs Robert Easter Jr. $40.00 for $100.00
Manny Pacquiao (-435) vs Jeff Horn ~$437.50 for ~$100.57
Manny Pacquiao wins in round 1-6 (+450) $25.00 for $112.50
Manny Pacquiao wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+151) $100.00 for $151.00
Manny Pacquiao/Jeff Horn Under 9½ (+150) $66.67 for $100.00
Manny Pacquiao/Jeff Horn Under 10½ (+130) $100.00 for $130.00
Manny Pacquiao wins by KO/TKO/DQ or unanimous decision (-290) $290.00 for $100.00
Added more on Manny's moneyline since I got it at a very good price. I think Horn is hand picked to make him look good in a big stadium show broadcast all over the world on cable tv.
Manny Pacquiao (-416) vs Jeff Horn ~$437.50 for ~$100.57
Manny Pacquiao (-435) vs Jeff Horn ~$437.50 for ~$105.17
Manny Pacquiao wins in round 1-6 (+450) $25.00 for $112.50
Manny Pacquiao wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+151) $100.00 for $151.00
Manny Pacquiao/Jeff Horn Under 9½ (+150) $66.67 for $100.00
Manny Pacquiao/Jeff Horn Under 10½ (+130) $100.00 for $130.00
Manny Pacquiao wins by KO/TKO/DQ or unanimous decision (-290) $290.00 for $100.00
Manny Pacquiao (-416) vs Jeff Horn ~$437.50 for ~$100.57
Manny Pacquiao (-435) vs Jeff Horn ~$437.50 for ~$105.17
Manny Pacquiao wins in round 1-6 (+450) $25.00 for $112.50
Manny Pacquiao wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+151) $100.00 for $151.00
Manny Pacquiao/Jeff Horn Under 9½ (+150) $66.67 for $100.00
Manny Pacquiao/Jeff Horn Under 10½ (+130) $100.00 for $130.00
Manny Pacquiao wins by KO/TKO/DQ or unanimous decision (-290) $290.00 for $100.00
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