TUF 25 Finale - Gaethje vs Johnson - Vegas

[Xuh]

torres-lima really is hysterical

the only two times either of them didn't go to decision were years ago when lima beat two girls who were 0-0. one of them is still 0-1 years later and the other one is now 0-2. lol

it could be a case where the probability of going to decision is so high the universe wraps back round to 0 and we get a 1st round KO instead

 

[EzFlyer]

it could be a case where the probability of going to decision is so high the universe wraps back round to 0 and we get a 1st round KO instead

haha

we did get a fast rd 1 finish with KK vs gadelha a couple weeks ago, and that O2.5 was -4xx, too, i believe...

this one does seem even safer, mind you, lol

 

[vkram]

To play devil advocate, watching tape is always an advantage but maybe not worth it for many people. It seems like a ton of people mostly live bet, maybe 2/3 of their total on an event is through live betting. Except for debuting fighters you pretty much know fighter A or B has the best cardio (for live betting) or they are about even. After that you are trusting your eyes watching the fight (even for cardio). AlsoI find people watching tape have a pre conceived notion going in and just look to verify that notion even when maybe it is not there sometimes.

If you love watching tape or get a lot out of it and make a killing on pre fight bets, that is great. For some, the time spent doesn't equal the benefit. Some people have an amazing recall of past fights without re-watching (I'm not one of them unfortunately) and sometimes those impressions are valuable. Watching a fight when you know the outcome is a different view from watching it live for me - sometimes the live feeling is a good takeaway too). For example re-watching a fight that went the distance, a near sub finish or when someone gets rocked seems kind of minor while watching it live I was on my feet looking for the finish - I'll remember that from the fight. But on rewatch, I'm more A won round 1, B dominant round 2 then fighter A took the 3rd round and kind of discount the near finish (maybe people are better at re-watching then me)

Watching tape can also give you an idea of what to look for during the fight and thus allow you to make better live bets.

 

[NewcastleTom]

Watching tape can also give you an idea of what to look for during the fight and thus allow you to make better live bets.

Absolutely, if you you have the time and get an advantage out of it watching tape helps you pre fight and live betting I was just making a case that you can still win without it if you don't have time and live betting is mostly evaluating what is happening (mostly, -watching tape helps you predict also).

 

[Stunna77]

Livebetting to me seems a bit dodgy to be a primary source of winning. Odds change quickly, limits are shit, etc. Don't get me wrong there are some exceptions to the rule where you catch a great line before it shifts and can make some decent money, but in my experience at least, I have made far more with prebets.

 

[2bet]

I realize that Gray Maynard is absolutely awful these days, but I can't ignore the fact that Ishihara just got dominated by Artem Lobov.

Would anyone be surprised if Gray "bullied" this kid around the cage for 3 rounds?

this could definitely happen, á la Clay Guida

 

[Card]

Eye vs Ladd is off

 

[EzFlyer]

http://forums.sherdog.com/threads/tuf-25-finale-pbp-discussion.3564759/