UFN 113 - Ponzinibbio vs Nelson - Scotland

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Yea if anyone wants to listen to someone that breakdowns picks good and has a good pick record I would look at Will martin. His picks record for this year is great, his bets not so much though. You can see all those stats. But he gives some good insight.

Yea I enjoy his breakdowns. Seems like a good dude
 
To each their own but I think it's silly to criticize someone's opinion based on how much they are betting. I'm sure there are idiots out there who bet more than I do and conversely, I'm sure there are much better cappers than me who are betting less. Your BR is directly correlated to life outside of betting, everyone's situation is different. I can't tell you how many times I've played black jack w rich Asian kids who don't know how to play yet are risking $1000 per hand. Doesn't mean they know how to play...
 
Yes, more skin in the game
Plenty of people in this thread have larger unit sizes than me; however, I have no doubt in my mind that I'm more knowledgeable in MMA and I'm a long-term winner in betting and playing fantasy MMA.

Your view of unit size isn't anything new, and it has been discussed in-depth long before you started posting in this thread, so I won't start a debate. Just know that you're in the minority with your views on unit size being equal to respecting someone more due to how much they bet per unit.
 
Watching some tape on ray and felder

Striking

Ray advantage in technique, volume, agression

Felder advantage in power, counter punching

Ground game is probably even

Both have good cardio
Both gritty
Both have good chins, rays probably better

Felder has fought better guys

Leaning towards ray by decision. He's going to outvolume felder
 
Watching some tape on ray and felder

Striking

Ray advantage in technique, volume, agression

Felder advantage in power, counter punching

Ground game is probably even

Both have good cardio
Both gritty
Both have good chins, rays probably better

Felder has fought better guys

Leaning towards ray by decision. He's going to outvolume felder

exactly how i see it.
 
Jesus Christ! I absolutely love Gunnar Nelson at -159 and I'm going to put three or four units that. i can't imagine that there is anyway that number stands. It is going to get worse as the fight where is on. I know that it came out worse but I guarantee the closer Sunday gets the more money is going to be put on Nelson

I think that he can hang with Santiago on the feet just like he did with Albert Tumenov and then get the takedown at work for a submission. Tumenov had a +80% takedown defense and Nelson drove through him like a D1 wrestler put him on his back, passed his guard and went directly into mount like a knife slicing through butter. I believe the same thing will happen here.

Also like Stevie Ray at -130 over Paul Felder. Think Ray is going to be way too fast for Felder and it's going to be a one-sided beat down.
 
I also think that a good parlay is
Parlay: -110
» Brett Johns -370
» Danny Roberts -200

Believe that Danny Roberts is way too good for Bobby Nash and Brett Johns should have a walk in the park.

At -110 that is a fantastic two team parlay
 
Plenty of people in this thread have larger unit sizes than me; however, I have no doubt in my mind that I'm more knowledgeable in MMA and I'm a long-term winner in betting and playing fantasy MMA.

Your view of unit size isn't anything new, and it has been discussed in-depth long before you started posting in this thread, so I won't start a debate. Just know that you're in the minority with your views on unit size being equal to respecting someone more due to how much they bet per unit.

I'm not even arguing to an extreme. Difference between 50 and 100 and so on is meh. I'm just saying ten bucks. Why not a dollar a unit?
 
Obviously there are tons of ppl who bet a lot and lose their butt and aren't good gamblers. That's how Vegas was built
 
Watching some tape on ray and felder

Striking

Ray advantage in technique, volume, agression

Felder advantage in power, counter punching

Ground game is probably even

Both have good cardio
Both gritty
Both have good chins, rays probably better

Felder has fought better guys

Leaning towards ray by decision. He's going to outvolume felder

U guys really think ground is even? No way I see that.

Also how does chin go to Ray?
 
Jesus Christ! I absolutely love Gunnar Nelson at -159 and I'm going to put three or four units that. i can't imagine that there is anyway that number stands. It is going to get worse as the fight where is on. I know that it came out worse but I guarantee the closer Sunday gets the more money is going to be put on Nelson

I think that he can hang with Santiago on the feet just like he did with Albert Tumenov and then get the takedown at work for a submission. Tumenov had a +80% takedown defense and Nelson drove through him like a D1 wrestler put him on his back, passed his guard and went directly into mount like a knife slicing through butter. I believe the same thing will happen here.

Also like Stevie Ray at -130 over Paul Felder. Think Ray is going to be way too fast for Felder and it's going to be a one-sided beat down.

I agree and like Gunnie. But how did he hang with Tumenov? He took him down almost instantly.

I do think people are underestimating gunnie stand up though
 
Gunnar started against tumenov with high output and was outstriking him but his output dropped fairly quickly
 
Initially wanted to bet Ponz but after watching tape he is a bit wild. He won't be able to throw that reckless for the fear of the TD. Even if the fight stays standing I expect to see a more tentative Ponz. This is a close fight but Gunnar really just needs one TD to win and even if he doesn't find the sub he will hold him there for 5 min and win the round.

Looking at how Ponz fights I have a hard time seeing him win. He could stick and move for 3 rounds to eek out the decision but I think Gunnar takes this down like 3/4 of the time.
 
Initially wanted to bet Ponz but after watching tape he is a bit wild. He won't be able to throw that reckless for the fear of the TD. Even if the fight stays standing I expect to see a more tentative Ponz. This is a close fight but Gunnar really just needs one TD to win and even if he doesn't find the sub he will hold him there for 5 min and win the round.

Looking at how Ponz fights I have a hard time seeing him win. He could stick and move for 3 rounds to eek out the decision but I think Gunnar takes this down like 3/4 of the time.

5 rounds
 
this Zee mma guy seems pretty good predicting fights, where can I sign up for his Mmagamblingexpert pics?
You don't even need to sign up, he used to charge for his picks but he's such a great guy that he gives them for free now, ZeesMMA very confident in Paul Felder.
 
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