UFC 215 - Johnson vs. Borg - Alberta, Canada

Status
Not open for further replies.
If it's the fight I expect it to be it won't go the 3 rounds, Melendez will engage Stephens in a war and get dipped. Alternatively the fight could be a borefest with both of them throwing low volume trying to fighting technically. I'm just putting my view out there, anything can happen in any fight. And if you rule your opinion on "so and so hasnt knocked out someone in x amount of years" you aren't being real because we all know how often a draught or streak is broken.
I'm just saying that Stephens winning by KO isn't a very likely outcome, this fight going to decision is. I do expect a war, Jeremy always comes forward, harder to predict how Melendez will fight.
 
melendez is 35, coming down in weight and off a ped suspension. stevens rd 3 +2150 has some value if he is clearly winning the fight going into the 3rd round and can be hedged with decision because its very very low probabllity that gilbert kos jeremy
TBH Melendez looked damn good on the scale, didn't even look like it was a hard cut. Jeremy on the other hand, probably looked worse than anyone, really sucked in but he always has a tough cut to 145.
 
Think I may have to add more to Reis and Glenn soon. Those lines are out of control
 
Whats the consensus on Stephens/Melendez? At first I thought Stephens wins this because Melendez is pretty much done but then I started thinking about the style match up. Melendez should out work him to a decision as long as he can avoid the big shots.

no consensus whatsoever. pretty split
 
Stephens nsc at + odds is a megatron #elite play but otherwise that fight reeks of livebet. I think Stephens keeps it on the feet, but it will still be very close.
cant get this in uk so anytihng else you think is elite? having a stinker with this card, some very close fights.
 
cant get this in uk so anytihng else you think is elite? having a stinker with this card, some very close fights.
Tucker dec -125 right now is #elite. A lot of things have gotten too juiced. Fairly confident in round robin of o2.5 RDA/Magny, o2.5 Gil/Jeremy, Cejudo, Tucker, o2.5 Moras/AES. But yeah between round robin, Tucker dec, Cejudo dec and -3.5 most of my money is tied up on those two fights

And of course GOATifi. And we'll bet o2.5 and Shev in the main event when the time comes.
 
cant get this in uk so anytihng else you think is elite? having a stinker with this card, some very close fights.
My most confident pick is AES, her last fight was awful but ive seen nothing from Moras to say she has a chance of winning
 
Tucker dec -125 right now is #elite. A lot of things have gotten too juiced. Fairly confident in round robin of o2.5 RDA/Magny, o2.5 Gil/Jeremy, Cejudo, Tucker, o2.5 Moras/AES. But yeah between round robin, Tucker dec, Cejudo dec and -3.5 most of my money is tied up on those two fights

And of course GOATifi. And we'll bet o2.5 and Shev in the main event when the time comes.
thank you goat will tail
 
Am I the only one who is super confident that nunes will not stop shev? I know she can, but I don't think she will. Shev will keep the fight active and take over in round 3, maybe late round 2 and cruise to an easy dec win if not a late stoppage.

I have not been this relaxed about a fight I have a large bet on in a long, long time. If nunes can stop shev I will tip my hat to her, but I just don't see it happening.
 
TBH Melendez looked damn good on the scale, didn't even look like it was a hard cut. Jeremy on the other hand, probably looked worse than anyone, really sucked in but he always has a tough cut to 145.

He looked good at 145? Yah dude you loose a ton of weight when you come off the sauce
 
Dog of the week by DarkneT


Vieira

Have a punt guys, Sara will shit her pants when her takedown isn't there and get picked apart
 
Am I the only one who is super confident that nunes will not stop shev? I know she can, but I don't think she will. Shev will keep the fight active and take over in round 3, maybe late round 2 and cruise to an easy dec win if not a late stoppage.

I have not been this relaxed about a fight I have a large bet on in a long, long time. If nunes can stop shev I will tip my hat to her, but I just don't see it happening.
Yeah I think -206 for not Nunes itd has some value. If she doesn't get it early I don't see her getting it at all. And she didn't come very close the first time they fought.
 
Dog of the week by DarkneT


Vieira

Have a punt guys, Sara will shit her pants when her takedown isn't there and get picked apart
Im on Viera as a dog too, hopefully her Tdd is as good as we are led to believe
 
I could NEVER lay juice on McMann. Ever! I have a completely different take on the Alexis Davis fight. I thought that things weren't going to her way and she just started freaking out and I had a complete mental fucking meltdown. She was ready to quit right then and there on the stool and her coaches basically had to push her back out there with a cattle prod. I'm sure they've seen that from her in the gym. It was reminiscent of when Soa fought Krylov. I think she has mental issues when it comes to a fist-fight. Like, she's completely comfortable in a grappling setting, but if it turns into a fisticuffs situation, her fight-or-flight mode kicks in and she starts looking for neon exit signs. Basically, her inner core devolves into Bob Sapp-esque levels.

Don't get me wrong, she's a helluva competitor and can win this fight, but if things go sideways I would start panicking because I know that she will. You also have to keep in mind that Vieera is 26 years old and is going to make strides every time we see her whereas Sara is almost 38 years old.

BOL though bud. Hopefully if Viera wins it will be by TKO and we will both cash tickets.

After watching that fight again just now, I disagree that she was freaking out on the stool. If anything it sounded like she was repeating what the gameplan was supposed to be. A bit anxious? Sure. But not anywhere near quitting...
 
Taking a peak on this forum for the first time in 2 weeks. smh lol. Anyways, I am on Cej/tucker double here as my most confident picks. Shev ml, Arjan dec, Arjan/Luis goes the distance. Viera as the dog. Thinking about Stephens and Neil by dec. Coming of one of my best ufc events last week, hope it continues on to this week. Good luck all.
 
Yeah I think -206 for not Nunes itd has some value. If she doesn't get it early I don't see her getting it at all. And she didn't come very close the first time they fought.

why wouldn't you just do goes 5 at good +money? shev isn't a good finisher, anyway
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top