UFC 219 - Cyborg vs Holm - Vegas

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Zee's MMA Subscriber said:
At the end of the day, I'm a top bettor and I'm one of the best in the world, I have no doubt about that.

I sweep the board with dogs, I predict future world champions, I call the upsets.

Most of you will never even get close to my level, it's too high for you.

I'm a strategist and a tactician, I'm doing big things this event, I may go to a whole new level.

You want live dogs? I got live dogs
Magny = live dog
Esparza = live dog
Barboza = live dog

My system plays are tuned in for max profits, I'm calculated as hell, preparation is key, now time to take this betting game over. The number don't lie.
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Zee's MMA Subscriber said:
At the end of the day, I'm a top bettor and I'm one of the best in the world, I have no doubt about that.

I sweep the board with dogs, I predict future world champions, I call the upsets.

Most of you will never even get close to my level, it's too high for you.

I'm a strategist and a tactician, I'm doing big things this event, I may go to a whole new level.

You want live dogs? I got live dogs
Magny = live dog
Esparza = live dog
Barboza = live dog

My system plays are tuned in for max profits, I'm calculated as hell, preparation is key, now time to take this betting game over. The number don't lie.
Click to expand...

And humble too.
 
Cyborg said in the conference call that she used to walk around between 180 to 185 pounds before her previous fights, but now she's "only" 170 pounds, so the weight cut to 145 pounds will be easier!
 
quincy k said:
imo, barboza has weak punch resistance and it can apply to any fight
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Whether he does or doesn't, I can't see how that would be a major factor in this particular matchup, especially since he's had 8 fights since that one without being KOd and you could argue that all 8 of those opponents are better strikers than Khabib.
 
chemmy said:
Whether he does or doesn't, I can't see how that would be a major factor in this particular matchup, especially since he's had 8 fights since that one without being KOd and you could argue that all 8 of those opponents are better strikers than Khabib.
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he still has weak punch resistance. khabib gets him down he could finish him.
 
quincy k said:
he still has weak punch resistance. khabib gets him down he could finish him.
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I don't think it's a secret that Barboza needs to stuff some takedowns here to have a chance. At the same time, Khabib has fought one legitimate opponent in the last 3.5 years. MJ has improved his TDD but has shown that he offers absolutely nothing off his back and doesn't have the best fight IQ.

Barboza has shown excellent TDD, he offers a legitimate threat on the feet for all 15 minutes, and comes from an excellent camp to prepare for this type of matchup. I won't be surprised if Khabib takes him down and wrecks him but at +250 now, I'll be backing Barb for sure.
 
t6p said:
I don't think it's a secret that Barboza needs to stuff some takedowns here to have a chance. At the same time, Khabib has fought one legitimate opponent in the last 3.5 years. MJ has improved his TDD but has shown that he offers absolutely nothing off his back and doesn't have the best fight IQ.

Barboza has shown excellent TDD, he offers a legitimate threat on the feet for all 15 minutes, and comes from an excellent camp to prepare for this type of matchup. I won't be surprised if Khabib takes him down and wrecks him but at +250 now, I'll be backing Barb for sure.
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i was trying to make a case for khabib itd at +160 and cant see the value. even the round props are going to be expensive, no +2000 in this fight
 
quincy k said:
i was trying to make a case for khabib itd at +160 and cant see the value. even the round props are going to be expensive, no +2000 in this fight
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Yea, the last time we saw Barb on his back for an extended period was round 1 against Castillo and that went very badly for him. But, that was 4 years ago now and I would expect he's made significant improvements in that time. Def not ruling out a Khabib finish but I'd need a lot better than +160 to take the shot.
 
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Cyborg sub +1600 at Ladbrokes. With odds boost goes up to +1800.
 
Gugabe said:
Still liking my Magny, Barboza and Lineker plays. Don't think there's much value on Cyborg ML except as parlay-stuffer, but her sub line at +1200 is solid. Holm's not chinny, and has shit sub defense.

Not to be anti-Esparza, but an Aussie book's advertising the pick as 'Great value' which always sets off my shit detector. https://www.unibet.com.au/blog/mixed-martial-arts/ufc/alex-chambers’-ufc-219-strawweight-preview-cynthia-calvillo-v-carla-esparza-1.981324?utm_source=l.facebook.com&utm_medium=referral
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Calvillo has been in the UFC for 9 months, she's been favoured over all 3 of her UFC opponents

Calvillo closing odds

Calvillo -160 vs Cooper
Calvillo -270 vs Gonzalez
Calvillo -210 v s Calerdwood

Calvillo currently sits at -310 vs Esparza, who is a former world champion and the only fighter to finish the current world champion.

Esparza is Calvillo's toughest opponent to date by far, yet Calvillo is more favoured here than she was against her previous lower level opponents. 9 months ago Calvillo was barely favoured over Cooper. The hype is out of control, everyone is sleeping on Esparza.

Calvillo is inexperienced compared to Esparza and she hasn't been in there with the high level competition that Esparza has. Esparza is going to get TD's and Calvillo has never faced a grappler even close to Esparza's level.
 
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Zee's MMA Subscriber said:
Calvillo has been in the UFC for 9 months, she's been favoured over all 3 of her UFC opponents

Calvillo closing odds

Calvillo -160 vs Cooper
Calvillo -270 vs Gonzalez
Calvillo -210 v s Calerdwood

Calvillo currently sits at -310 vs Esparza, who is a former world champion and the only fighter to finish the current world champion.

Esparza is Calvillo's toughest opponent to date by far, yet Calvillo is more favoured here than she was against her previous lower level opponents. 9 months ago Calvillo was barely favoured over Cooper. The hype is out of control, everyone is sleeping on Esparza.

Calvillo is inexperienced compared to Esparza and she hasn't been in there with the high level competition that Esparza has. Esparza is going to get TD's and Calvillo has never faced a grappler even close to Esparza's level.
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When you break the odds down like that yep it's pretty crazy. I haven't got to tape yet but i bet Cyn in her first two fights so I am a fan, but yeah, Carla disrespect seems clear here.
 
t6p said:
Yea, the last time we saw Barb on his back for an extended period was round 1 against Castillo and that went very badly for him. But, that was 4 years ago now and I would expect he's made significant improvements in that time. Def not ruling out a Khabib finish but I'd need a lot better than +160 to take the shot.
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i was thinking +275 or 300...and even that wouldnt have been a great deal.

maybe theyll still offer +2000 round three which would be a very good line imo
 
iGnP said:
Lineker NSC -105
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i just bought that

i think john was a little tentative in his first fight back from a broken jaw, kind of ilke guys coming off their first ko loss, and hell revert back to his pressure output in this fight that he asked forin the event that cruz pulled out. his hooks are much tighter than riveras, can crack with both hands and throws the better combos
 
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