UFC 219 - Cyborg vs Holm - Vegas

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man i think this is the best cyborg has ever looked. i don't like my cyborg dec as much as i did earlier in the week. i don't know if holly can last 5 rounds even if she runs and kyaa's for her life.

Agree with you on that. Slightly off topic but if I'm not mistaken I believe you are on BM? What do you think about their new interface?
 
I'm also curious what happened to the 'Condit has concussion issues and may retire' talks from a year ago. I find it unlikely that sort of stuff'd just fix itself on its own.
 
Come on Cynthia whoop her ass and title shot is yours.
 
I'm also curious what happened to the 'Condit has concussion issues and may retire' talks from a year ago. I find it unlikely that sort of stuff'd just fix itself on its own.
Has he talked about it in multiple interviews? I read that about the Maia fight that he got stunned from a shot on the ground, maybe that can be some way too justify a poor performance somewhat? A lot of redflags for sure. Maybe the Lawler fight took the last out of him. I will be betting Condit small anyways since I think Neil Magny might be the worst fighter ranked in the top 10 in any division
 
Like Andra Day "I rise up" to the challenge each and every day, sorta how the sun rises up in the land of the Rizin sun. My cappin' ability is a thing of beauty due to my brain's computational computing power and my INTELligence is the result of being microchipped with a Ryzen processor. Guess you could call me a cyborg!

2017 had its ups an downs. A big fail when it came to finding love, but that's ok "I'm good enough, I'm smart enough, and doggone it, people like me! Depression set in as a result of Donald Trump lying and cheating his way to the Presidency. The anti-Barry hit squad on Sherdog still trying to antagonize, delegitimize, question my handicapping skills. Hey, when you're at the top its the peons/grunts that want to see you fail, and its damn true #jealousonesenvy

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Barry's UFC 219 End-of-the-Year Free Picks
Tim Elliot Prop Points Handicap -3.5 +105 1 Unit
Marvin Vettori Prop Wins Inside Distance +133 2 Units
Matheus Nicolau Prop Wins Inside Distance +290 1 Unit
Rick Glenn ML +200 2 Units
Dan Hooker/Marc Diakiese Prop Fight Won't Start Round 3 +160 1 Unit
Khalil Rountree Prop Wins in Round 1 -125 2.25 Units
Neil Magny Prop Wins By Decision +275 1 Unit
Carla Esparza Prop Wins By Decision +325 1 Unit
Edson Barboza Prop Wins by TKO/KO +500 1.5 Units
Cristiane Justino Prop Wins inside distance -170 7 Units
Bonus Parlay: Cristiane Justino ML -300 + Neil Magny ML +155 + Khalil Rountree ML -300 + Matheus Nicolau ML -215 +564 1 Unit

The no good slimy bookmakers don't want you to beat the odds. You affect the bookie's bottom line by beating their lines. If this were scrabble, you'd be one and done vs BG1 because I'd be getting value with the words such as "oxyphenbutazone". My subscribers "value" my picks because they know I was born to cap and I have this amazing propensity for getting top value thus making bank.

The locomotive is running full steam ahead into 2018. What better way to start off the new year than tailing my picks and counting that there profit (brought to you by the one and only)
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Speaking of testicular fortitude, maybe a challenger will surface in 2018 to battle the Barry in #5kbeatthebarrychallenge

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Y'all weird in this forum, bashing because I said something I believe in. May Esparza win so you can get your money lol, funny people...
You're not saying you believe she can win, you said she can't lose, which is untrue
 
I'm also curious what happened to the 'Condit has concussion issues and may retire' talks from a year ago. I find it unlikely that sort of stuff'd just fix itself on its own.

Time is the only thing that can clear up concussion issues. They arent gone, they will come back if he gets another consussion, but I am sure he is feeling better now. Not the only red flag on Condit going into this fight.
 
Can someone give me a good reason not to bet on Dan Hooker?
 
The consensus here is the odds are off on Esparza correct?

Calvillo looked a weight class or two bigger in my opinion.
 
Are you going to play the -5.5 line?

Too steep for me .. I started toying with a couple -2xx plays this month.. carvalho, knight, and I forget the third (it won).. knight loss canceled out the other two.. reinforcing how I feel.. I need to be soooooo confident to lay -2xx (or steeper, hehe)

I know value is value, regardless of dog or favorite, it just isn't my style to lay that much $.. just isn't worth it. I prefer to only do it when it is a CRAZY strong lean. Like if I truly cap something 85%...90% and it's -250.. then sure.. but a small perceived edge I just can't be as confident .

In other words, my style and system is: bet more when my confidence that the value is there. And I am RARELY that confident in ANYTHING, so it's tough to lay -250. Like I always try to see all angles of the fight, which is another reason I play so many dogs. I can see their paths and bet them knowing they are not gonna win > 50%, etc

Lastly: I'm not scared to lose bets on dogs. I'm terrified any time I lay like -180, let alone more. It baffles my mind how much others lay the juice.. guess it's just a mindset. But if not for people doing it, my prices on those dogs wouldn't be as good, right? And I win 100+ units every year on my doggies so I'm kinda glad? Heh
 
Agree with you on that. Slightly off topic but if I'm not mistaken I believe you are on BM? What do you think about their new interface?

Its annoying how it logs you out so quickly and I don't like the props screens hiding everything else, etc. I usually switch to classic view
 
Can someone give me a good reason not to bet on Dan Hooker?

I'm on him, but I prefer his NSC line because:

Diakesie can grind a decision with his wrestling

Yep. That's the fear.

I'm not too worried about diakiese's "giant power" that people think he has.. yes, he can pack a punch but he's not confident on the feet and hooker drips confidence.

I'm worried he'll steal rounds with takedowns, tho. I.e. knight vs hooker

Hooker still came back strong in rd 3 there, tho, which I like to see.
 
The consensus here is the odds are off on Esparza correct?

Calvillo looked a weight class or two bigger in my opinion.

Lower body tho, esparza thicker, wrestler, strong legs etc

(devil's advocate)

I'm of two minds here. I absolutely think calvillo is legit. She is. Great grappler. And esparza struggles to maintain a good pace for 15 and I think personally struggles with confidence / self belief in there at times.

But I do think this will be a close fight.

I expect esparza to land a bit in the first, too.. but as the fight drags on, she'll turn more into a wrestler. Calvillo will be the one hunting finishes moreso.
 
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