UFC 221 - Rockhold vs Romero - Australia

[Stunna77]

As someone I think said earlier. I thought Tua looked much improved in his UFC debut over the tape I watched

I definitely thought he did. He looked so shitty pre UFC that I bet Coulter and was very confident about it lol.

 

[SBJJ]

I definitely thought he did. He looked so shitty pre UFC that I bet Coulter and was very confident about it lol.

I'm the fucker who posted vid on him saying he looked like shit. I bet him also.

Then the dude looks like a completely different fighter in the UFC cage

 

[lifeisgood12345]

Tua is very young could be improving at a rapid click. Ok Coulter isn't great but he looked much improved versus him compared to his McSweeney fight a year earlier. He's also training with a good crop of fighters. Apparently Asker trains in France not to mention the long arse flight and awkward fight time.

Yes these are all reasonable points, and I'm not all in on Asker by any means. Intuitively that line is slightly overjuiced, but the really juicy opportunity for anti-Tuvasa betting will come when he draws somebody a bit more solid.

But I will note that I bet Tui -170 vs Coulter in spite of hating him during the McSweeney fight, just bc Coulter is that worthless. IMO Tui should have been -290 vs Coulter and -170 vs Asker instead of vice versa. Think he's getting way too much credit for squashing a turd who has no business being in the UFC.

 

[Ukram]

Kennedy

-s&c coach came down
-extreme courture camp connections, works alot there
-splits time with camp and people ie vegas camp
-trained with kevin lee brother, gustavo, george, hector valquliz bjj coach, gil martinez boxing coach- camp focused on him more
-2 boxing coaches, bjj coach, S&C coach....
-weight cut is going perfectly and better then before, last cut was not to good got fatigued. Will be few pounds less before he flies out just to be on safe side.
-7 days before fight starts to get adjusted for fight
-wants to go 4-0 and move on.
-says best camp he has had for a while, mentally tough and cuts going better then last camp.



Curtis blades

-says hunt has toughest chin, hes a legend. Not expecting a ko
-going with same gameplan as last fight
-will be using footwork, evasive get hunt tired. Get more strike rates and overhands r1 and r2....
-says his speed and wrestling will be the best factors against hunt.
-wont be leaving Colorado camp, since its going all well. Not going to bring in guys to replicate hunt, but he has got guys to work on upper cuts and overhands, so he will work on timing and angles
-lost 25 times in wrestling career back in college, so is pretty top end with his wrestling game.



Ben10

-says wanted formiga earlier in year but wasnt available not sure why, but they waited it out and got formiga for australia card
-wanted to get into top 10, which he did, wants top 5 for 2018 though.
-says everyone thought he would get crushed against tim, but he did what he does daily in training and got the win.
-matches well with formiga, is a ground grappler, fav move is rnc. He says he can keep it on the feet with kicks and punches and take it from there.
-training with damien brown (ufc fighter) small supercamp going on, and getting it done.
-10 pounds out already so weigh on point
-says formiga is going to try and take him down and get his back and rnc, he will shut his take downs and keep it standing and get a ko.
-suggest ray borg got a title shot after beating formiga so he wants to get a win here to break that same flow

 

[Stunna77]

I'm the fucker who posted vid on him saying he looked like shit. I bet him also.

Then the dude looks like a completely different fighter in the UFC cage

Lol I remember that now, you sumbitch, that was what made me watch further tape!!

 

[MixedMartialFarts]

This is looking like a couple 2leg parlays for me for this card, I like Abe, Jose, Ross, Jussier, Kim. Will mix and match and decide on the strongest or 2 srongest.

I'm looking at Hunt, Kennedy, and maybe Wilkinson for underdog plays but probably not the latter.

 

[greenmouse]

I also like Volkanovski. Volkanoviski hasn't fought anyone with a losing record. He and Kennedy are pretty similar. Watched their two last fights and both had two similar fights. Kennedy's striking does not impress very much. Got outstruck by Bochniak in round 3. Got taken down by Jason in round 2 who kept it on the mat for a while. Maybe Volkanovski isn't the greatest striker but he's got his hands up and nice clinch work. I just don't think Kennedy is enough of a threat on the feet and Volkanovski will do his clinch work and get the takedown. As people have pointed out Volkanovski's tank build (167 cm to Kennedy's 180 cm) will benefit him here. Interesting about the late weigh in too. Volk with the home advantage. Cancelled my Pedro bet to put 5.5u on Volk.

 

[abiG]

This looks like an arbitrage in the stock market.

Right now Luke is +150 on BetDSI: https://www.betdsi.eu/mma-betting/?TOKEN=HYF8nzUMOp0ARWzprkNf1mNd7ZgqdRLk

At the same time Yoel is +130 on 5Dimes: https://www.5dimes.eu/default.asp

In other words, If I bet $100 on both of them and Luke wins, I would win $50 and if Yoel wins I would win $30, no?

 

[Kvolcom]

no dummy, you'd get your 100 bucks back plus $50 if rockhold wins

But you'd lose the whole $100 from the other bet so you'd be down 50

 

[UFCLEGEND88]

What an idiot

 

[abiG]

no dummy, you'd get your 100 bucks back plus $50 if rockhold wins

But you'd lose the whole $100 from the other bet so you'd be down 50

What an idiot

I would bet 200 and get 250 back if Luke wins and 230 back if Yoel wins, no?

Doesn't 100 on Luke return 250? And doesn't 100 on Yoel return 230?

 

[MysticCam]

I would bet 200 and get 250 back if Luke wins and 230 back if Yoel wins, no?

Doesn't 100 on Luke return 250? And doesn't 100 on Yoel return 230?

No

 

[Ares Black]

I would bet 200 and get 250 back if Luke wins and 230 back if Yoel wins, no?

Doesn't 100 on Luke return 250? And doesn't 100 on Yoel return 230?

No

 

[Mebetter]

The math actually works out. Go for it

 

[abiG]

No

No

What does 100 at +150 return?

 

[RayA]

I don't bet, so can somebody explain it for us who don't.
I though -150 meant, you bet 150, you win 100 for a total of 250. For +150, I thought you bet 100, you get 150 for a total of 250. Isn't that how it is?

 

[swarrrm]

 

[chinarice]

You should bet every penny you have then, since it's a lock!

Put an equal amount on both fighters. Free money, brah!

 

[BlameTheMedia]

You just figured out how to take advantage of the system! Delete this thread before they catch on to you!!

 

[Sapp]

TS is correct, everyone else is a dumbass who can't differentiate between + odds and - odds.