Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series- Season 2

Imagine even wasting one second of your time on a model for MMA betting <Varys01><{yahyou}>
I can see perhaps some quant who's been watching MMA for years & knows the game inside and out so I'm not knocking all models but his model seems to be quite flawed.
 
Imagine even wasting one second of your time on a model for MMA betting <Varys01><{yahyou}>

Often aligns with gambling markets and is a useful reference. I am going to bet based on my subjective opinion, but it is a decent sanity test to compare resumes + finishing ability.

In this case, it tells me that Santiago's recent wins mean little bc they are against ass competition and his chin is awful and will probably get melted by Holland's fist. It's helpful information that saves me the energy of too much scouting.
 
Interesting to not see any comments on the Jackson vs Disclulio match. I give the edge to Jackson. He has better striking & his wrestling is superior as well. The kid is very impressive for only fighting 4 years.
 
Often aligns with gambling markets and is a useful reference. I am going to bet based on my subjective opinion, but it is a decent sanity test to compare resumes + finishing ability.

In this case, it tells me that Santiago's recent wins mean little bc they are against ass competition and his chin is awful and will probably get melted by Holland's fist. It's helpful information that saves me the energy of too much scouting.
When betting your hard earned money there is no such thing as too much scouting & video watching.
 
When betting your hard earned money there is no such thing as too much scouting & video watching.

I do plenty of scouting and video watching. But it is mostly subjective logic that wins, and subjective logic says the short stumpy old dude who only KO's bums is probably not going to KO the much longer, more powerful, athletic young guy before he gets melted himself.
 
I do plenty of scouting and video watching. But it is mostly subjective logic that wins, and subjective logic says the short stumpy old dude who only KO's bums is probably not going to KO the much longer, more powerful, athletic young guy before he gets melted himself.
So Holland's a lock because he's taller. That's some next level capping right there.
 
I do plenty of scouting and video watching. But it is mostly subjective logic that wins, and subjective logic says the short stumpy old dude who only KO's bums is probably not going to KO the much longer, more powerful, athletic young guy before he gets melted himself.
My $ is on Holland but -900 is ridiculous. Santiago is not hungry. He's starving! He packed his stuff & has been living at Team Jackson/Wink's for the past 2 years. Absolutely training his ass off. I have a feeling if he does not win he may just pack it in. If Santiago wins it will be via 1st round KO.
 
These lines are getting silly. However, I feel Chris Curtis' opponent is less dangerous than Holland's.
 
So Holland's a lock because he's taller. That's some next level capping right there.

Cmon son Holland is better in every way conceivable. Don't try to act like my logic isn't elite when the market is moving my way. Holland -915 now.
 
These lines are getting silly. However, I feel Chris Curtis' opponent is less dangerous than Holland's.

He probably is. I don't like how slow paced and not dominant Curtis is stylistically, but it is really hard to see him losing here.
 
Cmon son Holland is better in every way conceivable. Don't try to act like my logic isn't elite when the market is moving my way. Holland -915 now.
Okay enjoy sweating your -900 play. It's dog or pass for most of us at those prices.
 
5dimes cancelled my hardy bet

Is fight off? Don’t see any news
 
It's really hard to say in short clips of bum fights but his hands look much more coordinated + accurate to me

Agreed, definitely more of a natural. I was quite impressed with his last KO, backing up, plants and throws with no wind up.
 
These lines are getting silly. However, I feel Chris Curtis' opponent is less dangerous than Holland's.

Why would you say that? Lally's got a 8 sec and a 19 second KO. Also has been fighting at MW. Curtis should box Lally's face off but Curtis will give him opportunities since Curtis thinks a high guard shell with 4 oz gloves is good MMA defense.
 
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