UFN 155 on ESPN+ 13 De Randamie vs Ladd Official Bets

2.5U GDR @ 2.40
1U GDR KO @ 4.5

1U Benito/Roberson/Bektic/Simon @ 4.69

Will add more tomorrow. Was tempted on GDR all week and that weigh in confirmed it.

Worried about that accumulator a bit, can't tell if Faber is juicing and hate wayto accuse people who have never had previous for it, but a 40 year old who retired 2 and a half years ago looking that good, even if he has always kept himself in great shape. It's mind boggling. If it is all natural he's an inspiration for us all.
 
Dooze said:
2.5U GDR @ 2.40
1U GDR KO @ 4.5

1U Benito/Roberson/Bektic/Simon @ 4.69

Will add more tomorrow. Was tempted on GDR all week and that weigh in confirmed it.

Worried about that accumulator a bit, can't tell if Faber is juicing and hate wayto accuse people who have never had previous for it, but a 40 year old who retired 2 and a half years ago looking that good, even if he has always kept himself in great shape. It's mind boggling. If it is all natural he's an inspiration for us all.
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Damm, she looked TERRIBLE in that weigh in. Would not be suprised if they cancelled the main event. I also added an additional 1U on GDR ML and 1u on her KO.
 
Jordan3399 said:
Doctor has cleared her already
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Yeah, perhaps, but lets be honest. If GDR was +140 before, she should not be +140 after that weigh in. It may not effect her performance, but cant see someone looking like that, and not be affected in the slightest way. Gonna be interesting for sure.
 
HeadsUpPoker said:
Yeah, perhaps, but lets be honest. If GDR was +140 before, she should not be +140 after that weigh in. It may not effect her performance, but cant see someone looking like that, and not be affected in the slightest way. Gonna be interesting for sure.
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I rewatched some other bad weigh ins recently and can't believe she was cleared. Nobody I could find was grimacing in pain like that and still made weight and was allowed to compete. I'm sure all those that hammered Ladd are gonna be sweating more than she was making weight.
 
Jordan3399 said:
I rewatched some other bad weigh ins recently and can't believe she was cleared. Nobody I could find was grimacing in pain like that and still made weight and was allowed to compete. I'm sure all those that hammered Ladd are gonna be sweating more than she was making weight.
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Iirc Ladd looked the same vs Evinger
 
$5000 THE DAMAGE +103

Sometimes I bet like it’s a bank robbery and I only have a limited number of times a year to make a big score. Ryan Hall will either be the teller who hands over all the money without complaint or the teller who puts the bank on lockdown and I spend 20 years in prison on a robbery charge

edit: I am a damaged human being
 
GDR 250$ to win 350$

Elkins 450$ to win 400

Simon 3k to win 1080$

Van buren 220$ to win 260$

Roberson 200$ to win 114$

Fili 250$ to win 325$

Good luck guys!
 
Larthus said:
$5000 THE DAMAGE +103

Sometimes I bet like it’s a bank robbery and I only have a limited number of times a year to make a big score. Ryan Hall will either be the teller who hands over all the money without complaint or the teller who puts the bank on lockdown and I spend 20 years in prison on a robbery charge

edit: I am a damaged human being
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variance is a bitch. I expect a close fight here. From a risk management perspective it would be better to pick 5 spots for 1k each.

However its always easier to give advice than take it. I am a degen so I understand ;) Good Luck!
 
GDR ML - 2u for 2.6u
GDR KO - .5u for 2.25u
GDR R4 - .1u for 8u
GDR R5 - .1u for 13.2u

Emmet ML - 2u for 2.7u
Emmet KO - .5u for 2.2u
Emmet R3 KO - .25u for 4u

Martinez ML - 1u for 1.17u

Fili ML - 1u for 1.08u

Elkins ML - 1u for .93u

Lopez ML - 1u for 1.17u

Montano ML - 1u for 1.55u

Good luck everyone!
 
5u GDR > 7u will trade down to 3u max liability. I think we could see GDR shorten closer to evens during the event.
3.2u Simon @1.47 (-212)
3u emmet @2.4 (+140) looking to trade down to 1u, hoping emmet shortens to raise avg price.
 
Parlays:

Over 1.5 rounds Carvalho vs. Chidi + Roberson ML + Simon ML - $40 to win $77.
Buren ML + Roberson ML + Simon ML + GDR ML - $50 to win $351.
 
7/13/19 11:08am $5.00 $50.00 Pending 7/13/19 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1027 De Randamie wins in round 2 +1000* vs Any other result
7/13/19 11:08am $5.00 $55.00 Pending 7/13/19 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1029 De Randamie wins in round 3 +1100* vs Any other result
7/13/19 11:08am $5.00 $80.00 Pending 7/13/19 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1031 De Randamie wins in round 4 +1600* vs Any other result
7/13/19 10:46am $5.00 $1,057.02 Pending 4 Team Parlay
Pending 7/13/19 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1009 De Randamie wins inside distance +220* vs Not De Randamie inside distance
Pending 7/13/19 10:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1105 Faber wins inside distance +585* vs Not Faber inside distance
Pending 7/13/19 9:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1205 Emmett wins inside distance +280* vs Not Emmett inside distance
Pending 7/13/19 6:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1809 Hall wins inside distance +155* vs Not Hall inside distance
10:18am $20.00 $44.00 Pending 7/13/19 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1009 De Randamie wins inside distance +220* vs Not De Randamie inside distance
570429462-1 7/13/19 9:21am $25.00 $30.00 Pending 7/13/19 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Germaine de Randamie +120* vs Aspen Ladd
570429126-1 7/13/19 9:14am $25.00 $30.00 Pending 7/13/19 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Germaine de Randamie +120* vs Aspen Ladd
570410646-1 7/13/19 1:14am $10.00 $55.00 Pending 7/13/19 10:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1107 Faber wins by 3 round decision +550* vs Not Faber by 3 round decision
570410646-2 7/13/19 1:14am $10.00 $87.50 Pending 7/13/19 10:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1127 Faber wins by submission +875* vs Any other result
570410623-1 7/13/19 1:12am $5.00 $95.82 Pending 3 Team Parlay
Pending 7/13/19 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Germaine de Randamie +120* vs Aspen Ladd
Pending 7/13/19 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1101 Urijah Faber +290* vs Ricky Simon
Pending 7/13/19 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1201 Josh Emmett +135* vs Mirsad Bektic
570389685-1 7/12/19 10:58pm $17.00 $46.24 Pending 7/13/19 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1009 De Randamie wins inside distance +272* vs Not De Randamie inside distance


Going to add some money on buren and fili in a bit.

570468061-1 7/13/19 2:25pm $32.50 $25.00 Pending 7/13/19 7:30pm UFC Fighting 1601 Andre Fili -130* vs Sheymon Moraes
570468061-2 7/13/19 2:25pm $34.50 $30.00 Pending 7/13/19 5:30pm UFC Fighting 2001 Brianna Van Buren -115* vs Livia Renata Souza
 
Last edited:
LEMONZEST said:
variance is a bitch. I expect a close fight here. From a risk management perspective it would be better to pick 5 spots for 1k each.

However its always easier to give advice than take it. I am a degen so I understand ;) Good Luck!
Click to expand...

Yeah you’re 100% correct. My risk management is my worst trait
 
Germaine de Randamie +130 1U
Darren Elkins -111 1U
Wellington Turman +185 1U
Julianna Pena -172 2U
Cezar Ferreira +150 1U

Urijah Faber vs Ricky Simon FGTD -208 1U
 
GDR +156 $400
GDR/Ladd U3.5 -140 $350

Simon -210 $1000

Emmett NSC +105 $205

Roberson -157 $850

Ferreira +155 $200

Moraes NSC -154 $232

Montano +163 $250

Van Buren +129 $1000

Liu -146 $1000

Morales -120 $700

In April I was about 20k from a 100k BR and tried to rush it. Had to relearn you can't rush/force growth in this game, I'm not much closer now than I was in April. I was looking back on the yearly recap/analytics thread and part of my post from 2017 really spoke to me,
Sadistics said:
For a while there I was betting 30-40 units a card with multiple 5u bets, but max bets should be reserved for a perfect scenario. I have trouble going over 2u on a bet now and that's saved me a few times.
Click to expand...

Winning streaks have historically caused me to get reckless, when past results really shouldn't effect future plays, other than lessons learned.
 
2u De Randamie +147 to win 2.94u
2.67u GDR-Ladd U3.5 -133.5 to win 2u

1u Faber +300 to win 3u

1.5u Emmett +146 to win 2.19u
0.1u Emmett R3 +1600 to win 1.6u

4u Roberson -124 to win 3.23u

0.1u Vettori R3 +1400 to win 1.4u

1u Montaño +168 to win 1.68u

1u Elkins +100 to win 1u
0.1u Elkins R3 +2000 to win 2u

1u Martinez +180 to win 1.8u
0.1u Martinez R3 +2000 to win 2u

4u Van Buren +113 to win 4.52u
0.3u Souza ITD +455 to win 1.365u

1u Lopez +125 to win 1.25u
0.4u Lopez (SC=NA) +155 to win 0.67u
0.2u Lopez ITD +500 to win 1u

EDIT: Added Vettori R3
 
Last edited:
Parley
Rodriguez ML
Van Buren ML
Roberson ML
Liu ML
15 for 68
 
UFN 155 on ESPN+ 13 Risk $7,513.44

Germaine de Randamie (+163) vs Aspen Ladd $200.00 for $326.00
Germaine de Randamie (+150) vs Aspen Ladd $200.00 for $300.00
Germaine de Randamie (+137) vs Aspen Ladd $200.00 for $274.00
Germaine de Randamie wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+300) $75.00 for $225.00
Germaine de Randamie wins in round 3 (+2000) $20.00 for $400.00
Germaine de Randamie wins in round 4 (+3300) $20.00 for $660.00
Germaine de Randamie wins in round 5 (+4000) $20.00 for $800.00
Aspen Ladd wins by TKO/KO (+235) $75.00 for $176.25
Aspen Ladd wins in round 1 (+450) $25.00 for $112.50
Aspen Ladd wins in round 2 (+700) $25.00 for $175.00
Germaine de Randamie/Aspen Ladd Under 3½ (-137) $137.00 for $100.00
Germaine de Randamie/Aspen Ladd Under 3½ (-137) $137.00 for $100.00

Ricky Simon (-250) vs Urijah Faber $1,250.00 for $500.00
Ricky Simon (-275) vs Urijah Faber $1,375.00 for $500.00

Josh Emmett (+145) vs Mirsad Bektic $100.00 for $145.00
Josh Emmett wins by TKO/KO (+320) $35.00 for $112.00
Josh Emmett wins in round 3 (+1800) $10.00 for $180.00

Karl Roberson (-205) vs Wellington Turman $410.00 for $200.00
Wellington Turman wins by submission (+475) $75.00 for $356.25

Cezar Ferreira (+121) vs Marvin Vettori $200.00 for $242.00

Mike Rodriguez wins by TKO/KO (-155) $116.25 for $75.00
Mike Rodriguez/John Allan Over 1½ (+102) $100.00 for $102.00

Andre Fili vs Sheymon Moraes: No Bet

Nicco Montano (+145) vs Julianna Pena $200.00 for $290.00
Nicco Montano +3½ points (-170) $170.00 for $100.00
Nicco Montano wins by 3 round decision (+259) $40.00 for $103.60
Julianna Pena wins by 3 round decision (+125) $100.00 for $125.00
Nicco Montano/Julianna Pena fight goes distance (-225) $225.00 for $100.00

Darren Elkins (+100) vs Ryan Hall $200.00 for $200.00

Pingyuan Liu (-141) vs Jonathan Martinez $281.69 for $200.00
Pingyuan Liu (-145) vs Jonathan Martinez $290.00 for $200.00
Pingyuan Liu (-145) vs Jonathan Martinez $145.00 for $100.00
Pingyuan Liu (-145) vs Jonathan Martinez $290.00 for $200.00
Pingyuan Liu (-147) vs Jonathan Martinez $294.00 for $200.00

Livia Renata Souza (-105) vs Brianna Van Buren $210.00 for $200.00

Vince Morales (-105) vs Benito Lopez $262.50 for $250.00
 
GDR
Faber
Bektic
Roberson
Vettori
Rodriguez by ko/tko
Fili
Pena
Darren
Liu
Van Buren
Benito
 
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