UFC 241 Cormier vs Miocic II

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Stipe should be -150

I like Costa, yoel is getting age wise in the danger zone.

Klose/ Kang i pre emptively like but need to tape

Pettis / diaz is very interesting, theres a good style argument to make for both

Diaz doesn’t defend kicks worth a shit+ its time to question his age/ motivation
On the other hand, pettis melts under pressure....

First card ive been excited about in over a month
 
Makdessi still +290 at bovada/bodog. Gonna be +200 soon I imagine...
 
Stipe should be -150

I like Costa, yoel is getting age wise in the danger zone.

Klose/ Kang i pre emptively like but need to tape

Pettis / diaz is very interesting, theres a good style argument to make for both

Diaz doesn’t defend kicks worth a shit+ its time to question his age/ motivation
On the other hand, pettis melts under pressure....

First card ive been excited about in over a month
Why should stipe be -150?
 
@mmabettor Cormier opened ages ago on euro books at close to evens hence the decent price. Didn't get much down though.
 
Makdessi still +290 at bovada/bodog. Gonna be +200 soon I imagine...
He will probably lose, I give him 5% chance to win
Paulo Costa and Stipe are the most interesting dogs, they have a high chance to win.
Moroz too, Bothelio has bad cardio.
 
Cormier rightful favourite, cormier has got cardio for days, stipe has to ko cormier within first 2 rounds or its hopeless. Stipe was already slowing down after 2 minutes, he is not used to people clinching up with him and wrestling him. I don"t know about any cormier injuries, but speculating on such things is kinda silly, cormier never looked bad in his last 4 fights so that is much more reliable to go off on than some injury speculations.
 
Cormier rightful favourite, cormier has got cardio for days, stipe has to ko cormier within first 2 rounds or its hopeless. Stipe was already slowing down after 2 minutes, he is not used to people clinching up with him and wrestling him. I don"t know about any cormier injuries, but speculating on such things is kinda silly, cormier never looked bad in his last 4 fights so that is much more reliable to go off on than some injury speculations.
Cormier says he feels better than ever after the back surgery he had recently, so I'm not sure what Austis is talking about. Also, that first fight vs Stipe was the first time he was at heavyweight for several years. Now he's acclimated to the weight again and should look much better than their first fight.
 
ALL fights I will go perfect in no bets placed yet EASY MONEY!!!!!!!!! take your pick
Cormier-KO3(-140)
Pettis-Dec(-115)
Romero-KO1(-195)
Benitez-KO2(+285) HUGE UPSET!!!!!!!!!!!!
Heinisch-Dec(-225)
Makdessi-Dec(+200) HUGE UPSET!!!!!!!!!!!
Assuncao-Dec(+155) Good dog bet!!!!!!
Bothelo-Dec(-250)
Bermudez-Sub1(-150)
Klose-Dec(-175)
Cifers-Dec(-225)
Kang-Sub2(-195)
Dobson-Dec(+120) Good dog bet!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
Early thoughts are DC (But I am starting to feel that Stipe can pull it off), Diaz, Costa and Heinish
 
Cormier says he feels better than ever after the back surgery he had recently, so I'm not sure what Austis is talking about. Also, that first fight vs Stipe was the first time he was at heavyweight for several years. Now he's acclimated to the weight again and should look much better than their first fight.
Of course he saying that. Why would he say 'nah I got the surgery and still feel like shit'? No one wants that kind of negative PR.
 
He will probably lose, I give him 5% chance to win
Paulo Costa and Stipe are the most interesting dogs, they have a high chance to win.
Moroz too, Bothelio has bad cardio.
I meant that at +290 dropping to +200 it's free money.
 
Stipes chin is a big question mark to me. I don't get it. One day he's getting hurt and standing tko'd by Struve, dropped by Overeem and JDS, the next hes eating bombs from Ngannou like crab rangoons (mmmm delicious) then getting melted by a LHW. I'd have to agree tho DC was having almost no success grappling with Stipe but DC also commented saying that was a apart of the plan and they wanted to do most of their work in the clinch anyway.
 
Stipes chin is a big question mark to me. I don't get it. One day he's getting hurt and standing tko'd by Struve, dropped by Overeem and JDS, the next hes eating bombs from Ngannou like crab rangoons (mmmm delicious) then getting melted by a LHW. I'd have to agree tho DC was having almost no success grappling with Stipe but DC also commented saying that was a apart of the plan and they wanted to do most of their work in the clinch anyway.

Think DC clearly got a power boost from moving to HW which is where he belongs. He weighed 246, he probably should have never moved to LHW to begin with and just did so bc he didn't want to battle Cain and bc he is good enough to succeed there anyway.

Most of Ngannou's punches that fight missed. Don't recall Stipe eating any clean shots-- Ngannou was swinging wildly.

I think Stipe has a decent enough chin, but it's not quite iron and his defense has enough holes such that any HW has a shot of KO'ing him.
 
Think DC clearly got a power boost from moving to HW which is where he belongs. He weighed 246, he probably should have never moved to LHW to begin with and just did so bc he didn't want to battle Cain and bc he is good enough to succeed there anyway.

Most of Ngannou's punches that fight missed. Don't recall Stipe eating any clean shots-- Ngannou was swinging wildly.

I think Stipe has a decent enough chin, but it's not quite iron and his defense has enough holes such that any HW has a shot of KO'ing him.
I remember him getting caught by Francis but it was after Francis gassed. He ate the shots but they did affect him
 
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Of course he saying that. Why would he say 'nah I got the surgery and still feel like shit'? No one wants that kind of negative PR.
Agreed. You can never really take what a fighter says seriously. They always claim to be ready and in tip-top shape. Sometimes they are bluffing and sometimes not.
 
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