UFC Fight Night 81 - Dillashaw vs Cruz

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Edole official FREE MONEY play of the day******


Dan Henderson had an iron jaw, Chuck Liddell had an iron jaw


Death, taxes, and fading chins
So your free money play of the day is based on the hypothetical of this fight being the one where Cote's chin has faded? Not sure thats the most sound strategy lol
 
damn ouch man :( pretty much same thing for me.. got absolutely mudered.. even bet kanehara literally a few seconds before mcd pulled out the houdini move :eek: hopefully we will recoup over the next couple events.

Exact same play, I mean kanehara is a submission guy and has so many Ws that way yet mc somehow slipped out and kanehara might as well just said go on then, I think that was almost as painful as watching noke lose!

Which fights are expected to have live betting on bet365 tonight? Are we only going to get the last 4 fights because the rest are on Fight Pass?

Checked on schedule event on b365 it does say betting available on ufc @ 23:00/11pm or in 3hrs time, so hopefully live betting will be up even on prelims with some luck, unibet has it available fully from first fight also.
 
Edole official FREE MONEY play of the day******


Dan Henderson had an iron jaw, Chuck Liddell had an iron jaw


Death, taxes, and fading chins

Okay but what lately has given indication that Cote's chin is fading? You are just guessing that now is the time?
 
Joey Gomez (ko/tko) 5.00 the money on swedish unibet, i gonna hit that!
 
Cote is a GICT and an old one to boot, put money on Saunders, more reach, more tools, less wars.
 
Here are the parlays I bet

Cruz, Pettis, Browne, Trinaldo

Boetsch,Latifi,Felder,Saunders
 
Am on :

Elvis
Font
Rosa
Latifi
Felder
blanco
wade
Tim
Cote
Pearson
Travis
Pettis
Tj

Pretty much the big favs on the card, however I do like some dogs this event reckon Kyle, sanders, baghdad are interesting underdogs and late notice replacements, like cote decision and started to lean on trinaldo via split decision. Meathead is of interest but its at hw so anything can happen, when meathead is focused he is on it and I like his speed, foot work and fast heavy hands. Am intrigued if alvarez can perhaps use take downs and his wrestling to grind to a decision and if Cruz is still the real champ, will be live betting most of them as per usual.
 
Anyone feel they have a really strong take on Dill/Cruz?

Would like to hear it.
 
Edole official FREE MONEY play of the day******


Dan Henderson had an iron jaw, Chuck Liddell had an iron jaw


Death, taxes, and fading chins
You make no sense. You had a "FREE MONEY" play of the day on Sam Stout (Whos chin was clearly shot) against Frankie Perez...
 
Anyone feel they have a really strong take on Dill/Cruz?

Would like to hear it.

Overs. Fight starts rd 3 I think is really good parlay fodder. Over 4.5 at -180 is my biggest bet tonight so far. Might hedge a tiny amount on TJ in rd 4 and 5. I'd be pretty shocked if it ends inside 3 rounds.
 
Overs. Fight starts rd 3 I think is really good parlay fodder. Over 4.5 at -180 is my biggest bet tonight so far. Might hedge a tiny amount on TJ in rd 4 and 5. I'd be pretty shocked if it ends inside 3 rounds.

i agree, over is the safest play on the fight

i can't commit more to the fight, tho; i took some early action on cruz, lil on cruz dec, and played dillashaw no scorecards as a psuedo hedge; right about 4u already risked on the card (tho i can't lose 4u on it presently, but you get the idea)

i don't regret any of those plays, but i also might just do o4.5 if i could go back.
 
i agree, over is the safest play on the fight

i can't commit more to the fight, tho; i took some early action on cruz, lil on cruz dec, and played dillashaw no scorecards as a psuedo hedge; right about 4u already risked on the card (tho i can't lose 4u on it presently, but you get the idea)

i don't regret any of those plays, but i also might just do o4.5 if i could go back.

In the end you probably took the longer route to get to the same place LOL. If the fight goes late you'll probably end up winning about the same amount I'd guess. (I don't know your exact odds but just eyeballing your bets as to what 5dimes has right now it looks that way to me).
 
If anyone has a strong lean on either side of the ML, I disagree.
Exactly.

I could lie to myself and force a play here but why? Plenty of other action out there. Just going to sit back and enjoy this one as a fan. Nothing wrong with that. I haven't been this torn on a main event in a while. As a fan...I really want Cruz to win and initially planned on playing him. But if I am honest with myself +120 just isn't worth it.
 
Finishes:
Gomez ko/tko
Llir ko/tko
Browne/Mitrione ko/tko

I'm going to parlay that, and do some singles. I feel Pettis vs Alvarez and Dom vs Tj is to risky to spend money on.
 
5RGTC.jpg


also £10 on browne to win in the 1st round for 25 return.. was tempted to put more on.
 
that would end being about -135, should I get on it?
If you really like TJ NO scorecards, than definitely get on it. You also get paid if TJ wins a DEC which you wouldn't if you played NO scorecards
 
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