Tennis - Aussie Open 2016

day 3 on men's side fucking blows, too.

no bets right now.
 
Re: over/under games.

Yesterday in one of the games I bet over 40.5 with betfred, and the guy retired in the fourth set after 39 games of the match. They paid out as a winner, because had the match reached its natural conclusion it would definitely have had over 40.5 games.
 
Re: over/under games.

Yesterday in one of the games I bet over 40.5 with betfred, and the guy retired in the fourth set after 39 games of the match. They paid out as a winner, because had the match reached its natural conclusion it would definitely have had over 40.5 games.

sadly, not the case on bookmaker

BEHEeVs.png
 
Day 3.

I might be forcing all of these.

0.5u kudla seppi o38 +108

0.54u fed dolg o31.5 -108

0.65u thiem -1.5 sets -130

2.75u murray to win quarter -275

Uncharacteristic play but I think it hits often enough to merit the bet. Hope I don't regret it.
 
ah screw it, adding 0.5u kudla +5 (so 0.5u +5 and 0.5u on the over)

done for reals.
 
Another favorite in the WTA is about to lose to a low level player:
Svetlana Kuznetsova was -550 before her match against
Kateryna Bondarenko started, and now she's about to lose in 2 sets.
 
+1.5u profit via live-betting Bondarenko ML @ -115 after she dropped a game in the 2nd set. She broke back and closed it out in the 2nd set 7-5.

Too bad I don't have the time to watch all these matches, cuz there's multiple large favorites who are losing early in the tournament, and there's a ton of money to be made via live-betting.
 
Day 3.

0.5u kudla seppi o38 +108


Uncharacteristic play but I think it hits often enough to merit the bet. Hope I don't regret it.

Not a lot of good options for todays matches IMO, but I am tailing you on this one. feel like it has a decent chance of hitting. BOL
 
Small bet on Djoko, Seppi and Kvitova parlay. Matches starting in next 10 minutes.
 
Haven't posted my bets yet... i may do it later tonight. Just wanted to share this one before line drops

Ram +160 over Roberts ??

That is insanity... i'm throwing a couple units on the always underrated Ram
 
Haven't posted my bets yet... i may do it later tonight. Just wanted to share this one before line drops

Ram +160 over Roberts ??

That is insanity... i'm throwing a couple units on the always underrated Ram

yes i definitely like that one, along with a bunch, prolly, still working it out
 
i can't even believe that ram line, is this some kind of fix? +165 ? wtf? i cap him like -250
 
1u ram +165 ML
3u ram +3.5 -106

2.5u giraldo +5 -125

1.09u rosol +1.5 SETS -109

1u groth-murray O30.5 -115

1.59u robredo-raonic O31.5 -106

----

thought about chardy -2, verdasco -6.5, couple others, but already 6 legit plays. think i'm set.
 
1u ram +165 ML
3u ram +3.5 -106

2.5u giraldo +5 -125

1.09u rosol +1.5 SETS -109

1u groth-murray O30.5 -115

1.59u robredo-raonic O31.5 -106

----

thought about chardy -2, verdasco -6.5, couple others, but already 6 legit plays. think i'm set.


Not sure about Giraldo, but Ram +1.5 "sets" is currently -120 at Betcris/Bookmaker. I have 2u +1.5 sets and 2u +165.

I'm worried about a fix too, but neither Ram nor Roberts are in the blacklist, which means they probably fair players.

As for Verdasco, i'm going with Under 35.5 games. I have a pretty good read on Sela, he's a rally boy. Good at edgeing long rallies with accurate balls, but his forehand is on the weaker side. Verdasco is no stranger to rallies, plus he's got a stronger first service. So, basically i see Verdasco holding serve and breaking Sela more often than not.
 
I have no clue about tennis, but I am tilted out of my mind, so let's gamble a bit.
1k on Ram and let's waste some on Giraldo.

Probably a bad idea lol.
 
I have no clue about tennis, but I am tilted out of my mind, so let's gamble a bit.
1k on Ram and let's waste some on Giraldo.

Probably a bad idea lol.
i really like both bets, gametheory, but you bet them bigger than i did
 
Not sure about Giraldo, but Ram +1.5 "sets" is currently -120 at Betcris/Bookmaker. I have 2u +1.5 sets and 2u +165.

I'm worried about a fix too, but neither Ram nor Roberts are in the blacklist, which means they probably fair players.

As for Verdasco, i'm going with Under 35.5 games. I have a pretty good read on Sela, he's a rally boy. Good at edgeing long rallies with accurate balls, but his forehand is on the weaker side. Verdasco is no stranger to rallies, plus he's got a stronger first service. So, basically i see Verdasco holding serve and breaking Sela more often than not.

yea i considered the set spread, subli, it's just as good as the games
 
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