General MMA discussion and future lines - February 2016

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Okay so this upcoming Bellator card "featuring" Shammy v Royce and Kimbo v Dada whatever.

Is Shammy gonna be at unplayable odds? He's old as dirt but looked somewhat athletic (okay being generous but in context) vs Kimbo and pretty much had the RNC before Kimbo somehow got out and then KO'd him. Royce is gonna come in looking like a 55 year old club tennis pro. I mean, honestly Shammy at -300 or less seems like stealing to me.

I know absolutely nothing about Dada 5000 (wow I fell retarded just saying that) but Kimbo's knees looked SHOT vs Shammy. He looked old and stiff and his movement was just horrible. If this Dada guy has literally ANY skills, power, ANYTHING he should finish Kimbo. Ken should have finished him. I think there's a chance to make $ here.

Why am I thinking about the freak show card? No idea. But there could be good $ to be made...

Dada isn't an mma fighter he is just some street fight "promoter" from Miami. He is a "street fight brawler". He is essentially what kimbo used to be in like 2003 lol. Before kimbo got semi legit. Kimbo should win unless something weird happens
 
betsafe/nordicbet has released the following lines:

Cerrone: 1.35/-286
Oliveira: 3.20/+220

Machida: 1.40/-250
Henderson: 2.95/+195

Johnson: 1.45/-222
Cejudo: 2.75/+175

Rockhold: 1.60/-166
Weidman: 2.34/+134

they also now have shogun, jones and ferguson, but 5dimes has better odds at this point.
Hit Machida with 7.5 units and Rockhold with 10units
 
I think Shogun's a great bet and feel this fight should be closer to evens. Evan's looked like crap against Bader and if Bader can out strike him I don't see why a declining Shogun cannot. No way on earth I bet Evan's as a -240 favourite after his last performance. Even before the lay-off he struggled against Hendo and lost to Lil Nog. Shogun has stayed at Kings too. I'm placing a medium sized bet on Shogun great line.
agreed. the over 2.5 rounds is also at great line, currently 1.59 ,5dimes
 
betsafe/nordicbet has released the following lines:

Cerrone: 1.35/-286
Oliveira: 3.20/+220

Machida: 1.40/-250
Henderson: 2.95/+195

Johnson: 1.45/-222
Cejudo: 2.75/+175

Rockhold: 1.60/-166
Weidman: 2.34/+134

they also now have shogun, jones and ferguson, but 5dimes has better odds at this point.
Hit Machida with 7.5 units and Rockhold with 10units

Holy shit I can't wait for MM point spread. I will be hammering MM-5.5 over Cejudo. Literally nothing I've seen from Henry makes me think he has anything at all for MM. Will be betting MM moneyline and pt. spread for sure if 5d line is close to that.

Cerrone itd may have value when released. Will have to see...
 
Dada isn't an mma fighter he is just some street fight "promoter" from Miami. He is a "street fight brawler". He is essentially what kimbo used to be in like 2003 lol. Before kimbo got semi legit. Kimbo should win unless something weird happens

Looks like he's won a couple MMA fights? Kimbo looks like his knees are shot. He couldn't even bend them vs Ken. It's a freak show fight so cant play it big but if Dada can throw hands at all and is a big dog he's worth a play imo.
 
betsafe/nordicbet has released the following lines:

Cerrone: 1.35/-286
Oliveira: 3.20/+220

Machida: 1.40/-250
Henderson: 2.95/+195

Johnson: 1.45/-222
Cejudo: 2.75/+175

Rockhold: 1.60/-166
Weidman: 2.34/+134

they also now have shogun, jones and ferguson, but 5dimes has better odds at this point.
Hit Machida with 7.5 units and Rockhold with 10units
Very good line on Johnson IMO.

EDIT: Parlayed Johnson + Maia on Betsafe for 2.00 (+100).
 
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Looks like he's won a couple MMA fights? Kimbo looks like his knees are shot. He couldn't even bend them vs Ken. It's a freak show fight so cant play it big but if Dada can throw hands at all and is a big dog he's worth a play imo.

Ah I didn't know that lol. Idk I just think it's a good ol fashion freak show and kimbo should win. Who knows though
 
Wonderboy champ by end of 2016 hold value @ +350? It was +2500 yday forgot to bet it!!!
 
Around 7 units for me 1k @ evens. Hate betting so far out but Maia is -400 everywhere and i think MM will be too. Hopefully no cancellations.
Yeah i think they both should be around -400 so great value indeed.
 
Machida + Dariush bit better than evens liking that too. Might have to hit that too.

Edit: Dariush line not on Betsafe getting confused.
 
Almost guarantee? MM opens closer to -300 on 5d when they see his line getting hammered elsewhere. Shit.
 
I'm about 90% sure Maia grapplefucks Brown and either subs him or wins a deicsion but at -425 on 5d just gonna wait for Brown $ to come in at any point or pass. Maybe -350 to -375 I pair Maia with MM or Dariush but I'm not paying OVER -400 for him. No value.
 
Love Magny dec +225 at Betvictor.

Yeah we are so lucky Betsafe has Maia at -260 still.
 
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