Official UFC fight night 83 Thread

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Thanks sham

What put me over the top for Cerrone was technique and sound fundamentals. For a while, I was actually leaning towards the Brazilian Cowboy because I think she has a very diverse skills with the more nimble footwork which capris a lot of problems for the American Cowboy… That said, from the footage that I watched for homework (and I watched a ton of it) I made the switch off of him for good b/c he gets hit far too often and comes in with his hands down and head straight up leaving him ripe for a Donald HHK. Moreover, if this bout hits the ground he is going to get absolutely mauled.

Yeah agree regarding B Cowboy defence its pretty much none existant. Ive got almost 2k riding on him and Brunson.

I noticed you mention Kawa as possible dog. Not for me Bermudez tdd at 92% cannot see Kawa lnp his way to a win here.
 
Same, it's brutal .. Mondays at work suck
Im currently living in Australia as well.. so the card is late morning/early afternoon on Monday. Which means no live betting, no chasing and having to catch the delayed version through Fight Pass in the evening which is near impossible to navigate without stumbling upon the winners.

As such, Ill probably keep it very simple with a Bermudez+Cerrone combo. This is a perfect matchup for Bermudez imo. Too athletic for Kawajiri to win via the grind as he likes too and he is far better standing. Where he is improving everyfight as well. Kawajiri is not. I don't think he has near enough power to catch Bermudez either. I would be very surprised if Kawajiri has the wrestling advantage and even more so if he is able to Keep Bermudez down.
In the main event, Oliveira is too sloppy for Cerrone. I also think this will hit the mat, which is surprisingly rare in a Cerrone fight as he has lighting fast submissions.
 
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Just popped in to say I like NOT Hamilton R1 -420 as parlay fodder
 
Goodfella, and others...

Garcia vs. Strickland - odds flipped
Smith vs. Leleco - super short notice for Smith

What say you?

I am starting to lean towards Garcia little more i think about it… I might play the over 2.5 as I do not think either fighter gets a finish though Strickland round three may be a problem to look at.

Think Smith smokes Leleco EASY!
 
Im currently living in Australia as well.. so the card is late morning/early afternoon on Monday. Which means no live betting, no chasing and having to catch the delayed version through Fight Pass in the evening which is near impossible to navigate without stumbling upon the winners.

As such, Ill probably keep it very simple with a Bermudez+Cerrone combo. This is a perfect matchup for Bermudez imo. Too athletic for Kawajiri to win via the grind as he likes too and he is far better standing. Where he is improving everyfight as well. Kawajiri is not. I don't think he has near enough power to catch Bermudez either. I would be very surprised if Kawajiri has the wrestling advantage and even more so if he is able to Keep Bermudez down.
In the main event, Oliveira is too sloppy for Cerrone. I also think this will hit the mat, which is surprisingly rare in a Cerrone fight as he has lighting fast submissions.

yea, one of my crew is an aussie, he hates sunday ufc's (monday for you all) even more than i do as a 9-5 east coaster in the states
 
oof, idk, man.. why can't he do what timothy johnson did?
I don't think he has the wrestling or power that Timothy Johnson has. Secondly, that stoppage was a little premature
 
I don't think he has the wrestling or power that Timothy Johnson has. Secondly, that stoppage was a little premature

i mean, idk.. hamilton is good at one thing.. getting guys down and then gnp'ing from top.. that's like his only strength in mma, and that's exactly what happened to shamil... and hamilton has more background in wrestling etc than johnson, right?
 
Man I wish I had more $ in my account I'd load up on camozzi. He's never been that great but he's not bad and I think he would have to really fall off to lose to Riggs at this point. Really don't think he loses but who knows

At -255 If my bankroll was big enough I'd bet him for a few hundred
 
Think yourself lucky guys if i wanted to watch whole card id have to be up at midnight and straight to work when finishes at 5.30am! Im just getting up for my bets so Bermudez onwards so i will be up at around 3am then straight to work when card finishes! Its so much worse if you have a losing event too!
 
Over 1,5 Hamilton/Shamil is a good bet? Anyone bet on this?
 
Think yourself lucky guys if i wanted to watch whole card id have to be up at midnight and straight to work when finishes at 5.30am! Im just getting up for my bets so Bermudez onwards so i will be up at around 3am then straight to work when card finishes! Its so much worse if you have a losing event too!

Heh, same. As tempting as it is I'm a slut for sleep so have to bin off live betting, hope I got it right placing my bets the night before and avoid the internet all day until I get home and can watch it.

Anyway, at the moment I'm considering a 'safe play' on a Brunson/Bermudez double asy main bet, a couple of underdogs then a handful of prop bets.
 
Heh, same. As tempting as it is I'm a slut for sleep so have to bin off live betting, hope I got it right placing my bets the night before and avoid the internet all day until I get home and can watch it.

Anyway, at the moment I'm considering a 'safe play' on a Brunson/Bermudez double asy main bet, a couple of underdogs then a handful of prop bets.

I used to do that before i was betting on MMA. Now i have to get up to lb incase there is a scenario where my pre bet is not looking good so i can hedge out. Most recent example where that worked was Scoggins Borg.

I like your two man parlay. GL!
 
i've changed my mind about the cowboy fight, think oliviera isn't worth a flyer and will be playing cowboy rds 1-5 if i win my previous parlay
 
Heh, same. As tempting as it is I'm a slut for sleep so have to bin off live betting, hope I got it right placing my bets the night before and avoid the internet all day until I get home and can watch it.

Anyway, at the moment I'm considering a 'safe play' on a Brunson/Bermudez double asy main bet, a couple of underdogs then a handful of prop bets.
I'm with you. Brunson/Bermudez parlay is my biggest play of the night
 
Well Mkdess..my Ol' homie, I'll put my PICKS on here ITT for free .. Though you guys have been clobbering me lately. So be careful what you ask for me Lol ... No, I have won 5 out of the last 7 and 6 of the last 9 MMA events ...but boy Ol' boy was my last UFC event a doozy of an ass-whoopin' ...but anyone
who paid for that card got the last two weeks free ( all of my bets) and I am +43 units in that time… Like I said I am a terrible tout b/c I feel bad if I lose someone's money ..terrible tout I am

Ha ha man all good I wasn't thinking you should be posting your bets for free. You proved your chops long enough here for me to know you'll be profitable long term for those who ride with you. I've had a pretty amazing 2.5 year run in MMA, but I'd be straight up lying if I said it was all because of my capping abilities. I've pulled so much useful stuff trom this forum it's insane. I have a wife, kid, career. No way do I have time to watch all the tape needed to truly cap fights the way they should be. I try, but I also have my priorities in check LOL. Guys like you, EZ, Obvlivian, ignp, Joseph B, wack3d and a bunch of others are for sure partly responsible for my success and it's why I love this place (fighting back tears ha ha).
 
Ha ha man all good I wasn't thinking you should be posting your bets for free. You proved your chops long enough here for me to know you'll be profitable long term for those who ride with you. I've had a pretty amazing 2.5 year run in MMA, but I'd be straight up lying if I said it was all because of my capping abilities. I've pulled so much useful stuff trom this forum it's insane. I have a wife, kid, career. No way do I have time to watch all the tape needed to truly cap fights the way they should be. I try, but I also have my priorities in check LOL. Guys like you, EZ, Obvlivian, ignp, Joseph B, wack3d and a bunch of others are for sure partly responsible for my success and it's why I love this place (fighting back tears ha ha).
Appreciate ya homie. Always glad to see the discussions in here are helping each other out. With all due respect to MMAGF, i've expressed my opinion on paid MMA touts. Not a fan, sucks to see someone so respected go that route, but to each their own. Anyone else think i'm on to something when our paid tout members are barryGOOD and mmaGOODfella? :D
 
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