Official UFN 84 Thread

Status
Not open for further replies.
Like a lot over 1,5 Daniel/Danho.

Clinchs a lot in the first round and not finish. The second round both in slow and over 1,5 will be great bet.

Thoughts...
 
Like a lot over 1,5 Daniel/Danho.

Clinchs a lot in the first round and not finish. The second round both in slow and over 1,5 will be great bet.

Thoughts...
Def a good bet, this is the rare HW fight i'd bet to go to a decision
 
Danho isn't close the wrestler that Rosholt or Hamilton are though is he? Not from what I've seen. I like Omie but am on the over and fight goes distance too so if it's a lay not pray special by Danho I'm covered.

no, but if you can get omie down we've seen him just lay there, and danho goes for td's
 
Amirkhani looked fine, imo. His hair was scruffy, he always has the "I look like I just woke up" face, and he took his hoodie off at a slow pace. His physique looked good.

The speed at which Amirkhani disrobed isn't a cause for concern, imo.

Regarding Parke, what was bad about him? Was it that his zipper was stuck and he had to take his hoodie off the wrong way? He weighed in at 155, and he wasn't overly sucked in or anything.
both just looked like they were drained. both still had sweaty clothes on, struggled to get them off. both looked a lil lethargic.

parke has that happen often at weighins. might be nothing. just bringing it to light
 
Makwan fight over 2.5 is +110. Am I missing something? He has been finishing fools and well.. Andy Ogle.

Y parlayed that with Mousasi-Leites over 2.5 at +230. Could miss but I love those odds

Still reckon makwan has the grappling and jiu jitsu to make mike look white belt, reckon he stands up and works his timing and shoots or gets a reversal and its over, its makwan's day job.


Like a lot over 1,5 Daniel/Danho.

Clinchs a lot in the first round and not finish. The second round both in slow and over 1,5 will be great bet.

Thoughts...

Yup mentioned similar both guys like to clinch and grapple looking for control and both gas quick after r1. I don't think one should play it heavy though 2 big hws with 1 punch ko power especially Danho the ex-power lifter/builder dude but he does gas in r2 while Daniel I think has a bit more pop and cardio in r3.


Lb showing on 365 schedule.

Good times ! glad was wrong sometimes UK bookies almost forget live betting for a UK event,
Unibet live also @ 5:45pm, lets take them bookies to the cleaners !
 
full-event props are up

(o/u dec's etc)
 
FOTN: pickett-rivera +600, thought this would be more like +300 or something, liking +600. there are 13 fights, but still. that's my play.
 
let me go on record here,

while I completely expect him to win tomorrow night, I do not understand all of the Tom Breese hype
 
Gonna play the decision lines, o5.5, 6.5, 7.5, and 8.5. At least 4-5 of these fights go to dec for sure, could see as many as 8-10
 
Rivera down to -150... from -215
 
which do you think are likely finishes
Guaranteed finish is Breese. Small possibility for decision but likely ends in finish is Askham, MakGOAT, Chito-Grant and Rivera-Pickett. But any of those 4 going to decision would not surprise me. Def another card I like these decision event props. How are you feeling about them?
 
Guaranteed finish is Breese. Small possibility for decision but likely ends in finish is Askham, MakGOAT, Chito-Grant and Rivera-Pickett. But any of those 4 going to decision would not surprise me. Def another card I like these decision event props. How are you feeling about them?

i agree, those are the 5 that are most likely finishes

but the HW could also be a finish.. allen could finish meza..

i agree, generally, tho, i think.
 
Okay, first off -- I like Teymur to win this fight. Secondly, I'm not saying this will hit, come even close to hitting, or even reach that far in the fight, but...

Svensson R3 +2225 is fucking legit

$45 to win $1001
 
Goodfella / Hazak picks?

Rivera vs. Pickett
Grant vs. Vera
Danho vs. Omielanczuk
Gouti vs. Packalen
 
Okay, first off -- I like Teymur to win this fight. Secondly, I'm not saying this will hit, come even close to hitting, or even reach that far in the fight, but...

Svensson R3 +2225 is fucking legit

$45 to win $1001
Are they from a season of TUF? I've never heard of either of them prior to this card.
 
My theory is one will hit one day i see it no different to people playing the lottery except im far more likely to hit albeit payout clearly a fraction. Last week 8/10 hit! This is basically my lottery ticket each week.

If you're betting to win money you need to throw out this whole idea of betting longshot parlays. It's essentially using a lighter and burning money. I hate this notion that bettors get caught up on that if the parlay hits they'll win big. There's a reason why parlay's are considered "sucker bets". $harp bettors who've been in this game know not to play them. If you have to parlay do so only with a 2-3 teamer. The last thing you want to do is give the books an edge and this is what you're essentially doing by betting these longshot parlays. I've stopped betting parlays and it's been one of the best +EV decisions I have done as a $harp.

-Barry
 
If you're betting to win money you need to throw out this whole idea of betting longshot parlays. It's essentially using a lighter and burning money. I hate this notion that bettors get caught up on that if the parlay hits they'll win big. There's a reason why parlay's are considered "sucker bets". $harp bettors who've been in this game know not to play them. If you have to parlay do so only with a 2-3 teamer. The last thing you want to do is give the books an edge and this is what you're essentially doing by betting these longshot parlays. I've stopped betting parlays and it's been one of the best +EV decisions I have done as a $harp.

-Barry
fucking lost it at "$harp"
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top