Your Official UFN 84 Bets

ufn 84 Risk: 1,913.43
silva SPLIT: 12.50 for 128.13 / silva DEC: 30 for 104.10 / DEC: 25 parlays / O3.0: 110.43 for 100 / bisping SPLIT: 12.50 for 133.13
leites +250: 50 for 125 - 15 parlays / leites SUB: 5 parlays / leites +3.5: 150 for 170 / mousasi
nakamura SUB: 10 for 180.10 / RD 1: 56 for 50 - 15 parlays / breese
pickett SUB: 5 parlays / pickett +3.5: 80 for 84 / RD 1: 15 parlays / U2.5: 98.50 for 80 / rivera ITD: 80 for 100
amirkhani -165: 165 for 100 / RD 1: 40 parlays / wilkinson
vera +155: 50 for 77.50 / vera SUB: 5 parlays / grant
askham ITD: 195 for 150 / askham RD 1: 5 parlays / RD 1: 40 parlays / dempsey
allen ITD: 50 for 79.50 - 25 parlays / allen SUB: 5 parlays / RD 1: 15 parlays / meza
jotko -135: 202.50 for 150 / jotko DEC: 25 parlays / scott
parke-khabilov: idk
omielanczuk no scorecards: 65 for 50 / danho DEC: 30 for 150
packalen +113: 100 for 112.50 / packalen SUB: 5 parlays / gouti
teymur +108: 186 for 200 / teymur -3.5: 25 parlays / teymur DEC: 15 parlays / svensson
props
DEC O6.5: 42 for 60.06
DEC O7.5: 11 for 39.05
DEC O8.5: 4 for 37.72
DEC O9.5: 2 for 55.50
DEC O10.5: 1 for 118
FOTN: rivera-pickett - 20 for 120
parlays
35 RR for 845.73: leites/ breesenakRD1/ rivpickRD1/ amirwilkRD1/ askdempRD1/ allenmezaRD1/ teymurDEC
50 RR for 630.86: silvabispingDEC/ amirwilkRD1/ askhamITD/ allenITD/ jotkoDEC/ teymur-3.5
15 RR for 608.46: leitesSUB/ pickettSUB/ veraSUB/ askhamRD1/ allenSUB/ packalenSUB
---

prolly about set. if i do anything drastic before fights start i'll update.

yea, dumb RR's (maybe i'll hit them big for once, tho!) and i keep doing event props even tho i say i need to stop forcing them.

no BIG action fight anywhere. key plays are teymur, jotko, askham ITD, leites +3.5, mainly. but no fight is more than 2.5 units, really. no STRONG leans.
 
Gegard / Leites over 2.5 - 2unit
Gegard / Leites over 2.5 + Parke/Khabilov over 2.5 - 1unit
Pickett by KO 3unit
 
breese itd, parke/khabilov over 2.5, mousasi/leites over 2.5= +165 1 unit
 
UFC FN 84 (all single bets)
anderson silva
anderson silva itd
norman parke
mousasi
daniel Omielanczuk
jotko



have so much $$$$ on this card it's not even funny, to lazy to post unit sizes atm.

might throw in pickett and wilkinson


GL!!
 
mostly tailed Ez for this event + a couple of own plays

Bisping $150 to win $375
Leites $75 to win $283
Rivera $250 to win $130
Makwan $247 to win $136
Vera $75 to win $116
Jotko $300 to win $188
Teymur $405 to win $279

Breese/Nakamura u1.5 $200 to win $116
Pickett/Rivera u2.5 $200 to win $162

Jotko+Breese+Allen $200 to win $248
 
1u Pickett +180
0.5u Parke +200
0.5u Leites +250
0.5u Svensson +170
2u Jotko -154
0.5u Silva dec
1u O1.5 Askham/Dempsey -151
3u O2.5 Mousasi/Leites -175
2.5u O2.5 Silva/Bisping -139

3u Parke/Khabilov O2.5 + McGregor
 
Breese Sub +625 > 20$
Jotko -110 > 200$
Pickett KO +800 > 10$
Vera +180 > 25$
Vera no scorecards +150 > 25$
Vera Sub +500 > 5$
Parke Dec +300~+333 > 20$
Omi -114 > 25$
Omi no scorecards -121 > 60$
Packalen Sub +550 > 10$

Parke/Khabilov ov 2,5 + Leitis/Mousasi ov 2,5 + Teymur +271 > 25$
Parke/Khabilov ov 2,5 + Breese itd -136 > 150$
Parke/Khabilov ov 2,5 + Breese -196 > 600$
Parke/Khabilov ov 2,5 + Leitis/Mousasi ov 1,5 -125 > 50$
Parke/Khabilov ov 2,5 + Leitis/Mousasi ov 1,5 + Breese itd +130 > 50$

not really loving alot of bets on this card... thinking about just going huge on Breese + Parke/Khabilov ov

edit: ye did it.. riding with my parlay man Sham tonight :)
 
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Parlay 1: Khabilov, Mousasi, Anderson (2u)
Parlay 2: Khabilov, Mousasi, Anderson, Conor (2.5u)
RR of above
Mousasi (1.5u)
Khabilov (1.5u)
McGregor (8u)

Parlay 3: Silva/Bisping o2.5, Parke/Khabilov o2.5, Conor, Tate/Holm o2.5 (0.4u)
RR of above
Silva/Bisping o2 rounds (5u)

Teymur 1u (Svensson sub hedge)
Amirkhani/Wilkinson u2.5 (0.5u)
Pickett/Cisco u2.5 (0.5u)
Omielanczuk/Danho o1.5 (0.7u)
Khabilov by dec (1u)
Jotko by dec (0.7u)
Allen itd (0.7u)
Leites/Mousasi o2.5 (1u)

Not really drawn to any of the prelim fights, so betting small everywhere except the top of the card where I'm admittedly heavy on the favourites. But I'm pretty confident in these favourites, and my heavier Anderson bet is hedged by o2 bet.
 
2u on Breese/Nakamura U 1½ @ -116

All I've got pre-event tonight. Put it down months back when the line came out on Betfair.
 
3U Teymur
0.5U Omi Dec
2U Omi/Danho O 1.5
3U Jotko
3U Ashkam ITD
1U Amirkhani by sub
1U Amir/wilk U2.5
0.5 Breese sub

Parlay
4U SIlva/mosse+leites O 2.5
3U Jotko+Scott O 2.5/Park+Khab O 2.5
 
UFN 84 Risk $3046.93

Michael Bisping (+260) vs Anderson Silva $125.00 for $325.00
Michael Bisping/Anderson Silva Over 2½ (-140) $140.00 for $100.00
Michael Bisping/Anderson Silva starts round 4 (-113) $96.05 for $85.00
Michael Bisping wins in round 4 (+4000) $10.00 for $400.00
Michael Bisping wins in round 5 (+5000) $10.00 for $500.00
Michael Bisping wins by 5 round decision (+370) $75.00 for $277.50
Michael Bisping wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+1125) $15.00 for $168.75
Anderson Silva wins by 5 round decision (+290) $40.00 for $116.00
Anderson Silva wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+911) $15.00 for $136.65

Thales Leites (+260) vs Gegard Mousasi $100.00 for $260.00
Thales Leites +3½ points (+120) vs Gegard Mousasi $83.33 for $100.00
Thales Leites wins by submission (+1135) $10.00 for $113.50

Tom Breese wins by TKO/KO (-135) $67.50 for $50.00
Tom Breese/Keita Nakamura won’t start round 2 (-1310 $65.50 for $50.00
Tom Breese/Keita Nakamura Under 1½ (-150) $75.00 for $50.00
Tom Breese/Keita Nakamura won’t start round 3 (-276) $276.00 for $100.00

Francisco Rivera (-190) vs Brad Pickett $95.00 for $50.00
Brad Pickett +3½ points (+105) $100.00 for $105.00

Makwan Amirkhani (-160) vs Mike Wilkinson $160.00 for $100.00
Makwan Amirkhani wins inside distance (+113) $40.00 for $45.20
Makwan Amirkhani /Mike Wilkinson won’t start round 3 (-126) $63.00 for $50.00
Makwan Amirkhani/Mike Wilkinson Under 2½ (-145) $108.75 for $75.00
Davey Grant (-175) vs Marlon Vera $87.50 for $50.00
Krzysztof Jotko (-165) vs Brad Scott $200.00 for $121.21
Yaotzin Meza (+295) vs Arnold Allen $75.00 for $221.25
Scott Askham/Chris Dempsey Under 1½ (+130) $50.00 for $65.00
Rustam Khabilov wins by 3 round decision (+100) vs Norman Parke $100.00 for $100.00
Daniel Omielanczuk/Jarjis Danho Over 1½ (-142) $56.80 for $40.00
Daniel Omielanczuk wins in round 3 (+1075) $10.00 for $107.50
Teemu Packalen (+110) vs Thibault Gouti $50.00 for $55.00
Teemu Packalen (-110) vs Thibault Gouti $110.00 for $100.00
David Teymur (-145) vs Martin Svensson $72.50 for $50.00
David Teymur wins by TKO/KO (+325) $35.00 for $113.75

Fights to go distance over 6½ (+143) $40.00 for $57.20
Fights to go distance over 7½ (+355) $25.00 for $88.75
Fights to go distance over 8½ (+943) $15.00 for $141.45
Fights to go distance over 9½ (+2775) $10.00 for $277.50
Fights to go distance over 10½ (+11800) $5.00 for $590.00

Francisco Rivera/Brad Pickett FOTN award winner (+500) $10.00 for $50.00

Parlays:
Norman Parke/Rustam Khabilov Over 2½ (-275) + Tom Breese (-1165) vs Keita Nakamura $300.00 for $144.21

David Teymur/Martin Svensson Under 2½ (+135) + Norman Parke/Rustam Khabilov Over 2½ (-280) + Krzysztof Jotko wins by 3 round decision (+131) + Arnold Allen wins by 3 round decision (+127) + Scott Askham wins by 3 round decision (+257) + Makwan Amirkhani/Mike Wilkinson Under 2½ (-155) + Francisco Rivera/Brad Pickett Under 2½ (-130) + Tom Breese/Keita Nakamura Under 1½ (-185) + Gegard Mousasi wins by 3 round decision (+100) $25.00 for $13,360.53
 
My UFC FN 83 bets: 187.40 to win 158.06

Singles:
Silva O2.5 - 42 to win 30 (accidental double bet)
Amirkhani - 65.20 to win 40
Packalen - 11 to win 10
Fights to end in TKO U4.5 - 12.20 to win 10
Omielanczuk - 11.50 to win 10

Parlays:
Silva O1/ Leites O3 - 10 to win 10.05
Silva/ Queiroz scorecards(cancelled) - 6 to win 8.65
Silva/ Jotko - 17 to win 21.05
Jotko/ Leites O2.5 - 7.50 to win 11.01
Silva/ Teymur - 5 to win 7.30

Lol posting my bets a bit late here. GL all
 
feeling pickett a lil more as the week's gone on. adding a bit more on +3.5.
 
halving my amirkhani -165 play now that wilkinson is +165. just uncomfortable w/this spot
 
Keeping it real small and conservative this weekend:

Makwan/Wilkinson over 2.5 + Mousasi/Leites over 2.5: $ 12 to win $ 27,54
Breese + Mousasi/Leites over 2.5: $ 20 to win $ 14,54
Breese +Silva: $ 16 to win $ 7,76. Lost $ 16

Risk: $ 48
Result: $ 26,08
Initial BR: $ 314,93
New BR: $ 341,01

Happy with the result.. could have been a lot better.

See you all degens son of a bitches in UFC 196 thread. Good luck everybody!
 
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UFC Fight Night 84

Michael Bisping
+240 3u to win 7.2u W
Brad Pickett
+140 2u to win 2.8u W
Makwan Amirkhani
-165 3.3u to win 2u W
Chris Dempsey
+312 1u to win 3.12u L
Norman Parke
+210 1.5u to win 3.15u L
Daniel Omielanczuk
-115 2.88u to win 2.5u W
Thibault Gouti
-123 2.46u to win 2u L

GL gents[/QUOTE]

+9.54u

Big night, hope everyone else did well.
 
Breese not winning ITD killed me but thank god he won to keep future parlays alive.

Thank fuck for lb went big on Mous dec and Bisping SU so ended up winning £503 after being down £1200 odd at one point.
 
Parlay 1: Khabilov, Mousasi, Anderson (2u)
Parlay 2: Khabilov, Mousasi, Anderson, Conor (2.5u)
RR of above
Mousasi (1.5u)
Khabilov (1.5u)
McGregor (8u)

Parlay 3: Silva/Bisping o2.5, Parke/Khabilov o2.5, Conor, Tate/Holm o2.5 (0.4u)
RR of above
Silva/Bisping o2 rounds (5u)

Teymur 1u (Svensson sub hedge)
Amirkhani/Wilkinson u2.5 (0.5u)
Pickett/Cisco u2.5 (0.5u)
Omielanczuk/Danho o1.5 (0.7u)
Khabilov by dec (1u)
Jotko by dec (0.7u)
Allen itd (0.7u)
Leites/Mousasi o2.5 (1u)

Not really drawn to any of the prelim fights, so betting small everywhere except the top of the card where I'm admittedly heavy on the favourites. But I'm pretty confident in these favourites, and my heavier Anderson bet is hedged by o2 bet.

Have to wait on closing the parlay next weekend, mostly on Conor. Anderson losing messed up two parlays, but the RR on that parlay will compensate (also hinges on Conor tho).

Overall so far: up 3u. Will be up a lot more if Conor wins next weekend (closing out those parlays from this event). Can't complain, really.
 
ufn 84 Net: +1,010.37
bisping +100: 100 for 100 / bisping SPLIT: 12.50 for 133.13 / DEC: 25 parlays / O3.0: 110.43 for 100 / O2.5: 66 for 50 / silva SPLIT: 12.50 for 128.13 / silva DEC: 30 for 104.10
leites +323: 75 for 242.50 - 15 parlays / leites SUB: 5 parlays / leites +3.5: 150 for 170
nakamura +321: 75 for 241 / nakamura SUB: 10 for 180.10 / RD 1: 56 for 50 - 15 parlays

pickett +442: 125 for 552.50 / pickett SUB: 5 parlays / pickett +3.5: 134 for 129 / RD 1: 15 parlays / U2.5: 98.50 for 80 / rivera ITD: 80 for 100
amirkhani -165: 82.50 for 50 / RD 1: 40 parlays
vera +155: 50 for 77.50 / vera SUB: 5 parlays

askham ITD: 195 for 150 / askham RD 1: 5 parlays / RD 1: 40 parlays
allen ITD: 50 for 79.50 - 25 parlays / allen SUB: 5 parlays / RD 1: 15 parlays
jotko -135: 202.50 for 150 / jotko DEC: 25 parlays
omielanczuk no scorecards: 65 for 50 / danho DEC: 30 for 150
packalen +113: 100 for 112.50 / packalen SUB: 5 parlays
teymur +108: 186 for 200 / teymur -3.5: 25 parlays
/ teymur DEC: 15 parlays
props
DEC O6.5: 42 for 60.06
DEC O7.5: 11 for 39.05
DEC O8.5: 4 for 37.72

DEC O9.5: 2 for 55.50
DEC O10.5: 1 for 118
FOTN: rivera-pickett - 20 for 120

parlays
35 RR for 845.73: leites/ breesenakRD1/ rivpickRD1/ amirwilkRD1/ askdempRD1/ allenmezaRD1/ teymurDEC
50 RR for (paid +64.79) 630.86: silvabispingDEC/ amirwilkRD1/ askhamITD/ allenITD/ jotkoDEC/ teymur-3.5
15 RR for (paid +2.25) 608.46: leitesSUB/ pickettSUB/ veraSUB/ askhamRD1/ allenSUB/ packalenSUB

---

leites disappointed.

allen not getting the tko at the final bell cost me a couple hundy, but oh well

pickett was huge. aware it was lucky, but i think i made a good bet, win or lose.

i'll take it. big hopes for next weekend
 
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