Your Official UFN 88 Bets

2.27u miranda -152

2.88u larkin -115
 
Fourfold
PreMatch.expand-icons-minus.png
Details

24/05/2016 12:58
You bet on 1 @ 1.7
Open
Thomas Almeida - Cody Garbrandt
• Match Winner
You bet on Over 2.5 @ 1.8
Open
Renan Barão - Jeremy Stephens
• Number of rounds
You bet on 2 @ 1.75
Open
Jorge Masvidal - Lorenz Larkin
• Match Winner
You bet on 1 @ 1.63
Open
Sara McMann - Jessica Eye
• Match Winner
Stake: 10.00
Pot.Return: 87.29

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Fourfold
PreMatch.expand-icons-minus.png
Details

24/05/2016 13:02
You bet on 2 @ 2.5
Open
Renan Barão - Jeremy Stephens
• Match Winner
You bet on 2 @ 2.04
Open
Tarec Saffiedine - Rick Story
• Match Winner
You bet on 1 @ 2.95
Open
Josh Burkman - Paul Felder
• Match Winner
You bet on 2 @ 4.5
Open
Aljamain Sterling - Bryan Caraway
• Match Winner
Stake: 10.00
Pot.Return: 677.03

That'll do me for this card.
 
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1.5u Masvidal +140
1u Masvidal +125
1.5u Caraway +300
1u Eye +137
 
I had to add in my $15 loss to Bellator to my totals. I'm in the negative for the year!

Singles
Story: $7.50 to win $8.63 $16.63
Koch: $6.25 to win $7.81 $14.06
Eye: $6.25 to win $7.81 Loss

Trujillo ITD: $5 to win $4 Loss
Caraway: $3.75 to win $12.19 $15.94
Collier: $3.75 to win $4.13 $7.88


Risk of $32.50 $54.51

Parlays
Felder + Garbrandt/Almeida ITD: $7.50 to win $4.84 $12.34
Field over Spieth (Dean + Deluca) + DeLaRocha/Milstead ITD + Garbrandt/Almeida ITD: $5 to win $2.99 Loss

DeLaRocha/Milstead doesn't start 3 + Almeida/Garbrandt doesn't start 5: $5 to win $3.41 $8.41
Field over Reed (Dean + Deluca) + Stephens (+3.5): $3.75 to win $4.01 $7.76
Field over Spieth (Byron Nelson) + Larkin/Masvidal over 2.5: $2.50 to win $2.51 $5.01
Field over Reed (Dean + Deluca) + Masvidal (+3.5) + Not Miranda Dec: $2.50 to win $2.96 $5.46

Field over Palmer (Dean + Deluca) + Not Larkin ITD + Garb/Alm starts 2 + Story/Saff starts 2: $1.25 to win $1.43 Loss

Risk of $32.50 $38.98

TOTAL RISK OF $60 $93.49


TOTALS FOR 2016: Initial Risk was $165, Running total is $182.22 Running Profit = $17.12 (Approximate ROI for year 1.408%)
TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $263.68 Running Profit: $168.68 Approximate ROI for year 3.901%)
TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2016: $29 into $2731.40 Total Profit = $2712.41 (Approximate ROI: 12.162%)
 
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2,5units on Koch
2units on Collier
2units on Story
1unit on Over 1,5 Almeida/Garbrandt


Very confident on dogs: Koch, Story and Collier.
 
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Story DEC
Eye DEC
Campbell DEC
Camozzi DEC
Warriors win Series against Thunder

$20 for $9879
 
I couldn't leave it. Here's my final hail mary on this card 1000 to 1 shot

30 May 2016 - Rick Story v Tarec Saffiedine - Method of Result

Rick Story By Decision @ 11/5

30 May 2016 - Chris Camozzi v Vitor Miranda - Method of Result

Chris Camozzi By Decision @ 12/5

30 May 2016 - Jorge Masvidal v Lorenz Larkin - Method of Result

Lorenz Larkin By Decision @ 11/8

30 May 2016 - Josh Burkman v Paul Felder - Method of Result

Josh Burkman By Submission @ 9/1

30 May 2016 - Jeremy Stephens v Renan Barao - Method of Result

Jeremy Stephens By KO/TKO @ 3/1

Stake : £3.00

Estimated Returns : £3100.80
 
so it's hail mary time. here's mine.

Adam Milstead @ 2/5 (To Win the Bout - Match)
Erik Koch @ 6/4 (To Win the Bout - Match)
Jake Collier @ 11/10 (To Win the Bout - Match)
Abel Trujillo @ 1/3 (To Win the Bout - Match)
Jessica Eye @ 11/8 (To Win the Bout - Match)
Paul Felder @ 2/5 (To Win the Bout - Match)
Lorenz Larkin @ 4/6 (To Win the Bout - Match)
Chris Camozzi @ 21/10 (To Win the Bout - Match)
Jeremy Stephens @ 11/8 (To Win the Bout - Match)
Cody Garbrandt @ 11/8 (To Win the Bout - Match)
Multiple Type: 10 fold Stake: 10.00 Possible Return: 9496.32
 
My RR is a hail mary for this event. Barao dec, Larkin dec, Story dec, Camozzi dec, Eye KO, Caraway dec in a single, 2's and 3's at $2 bucks a pop. Think its $72 to win like $14,000? lol

Other bets:

Barao/Stephens o2.5 -- $86.25 to win $75
Rick Story -- $45 to win $47
Story No SC -- $160 to win $100
Story/Tarec o2.5 + Kampbell/Koch o1.5 -- $92 to win $100
Larkin/Masvidal o2.5 -- $165 to win $100
Camozzi by dec -- $29.85 to win $100
Camozzi in round 3 -- $10 to win $237.50
Felder + WWE Dean Ambrose (won) -- $105 to win $97.50
Felder in round 3 -- $20 to win $255
Jessica Eye -- $92.59 to win $125
Eye KO -- $11.70 to win $100
Eye No SC -- $$130 to win $200
Caraway/Sterling o2.5 -- $180 to win $100
Caraway by dec -- $$16.26 to win $100

Have a few parlays as well but the one I like the most

$19.77 to win $364.61
Stephens No SC
Larkin No SC
Felder No SC
Eye No SC
Sterling No SC

Would've added Story No SC but was dumb and made this when the line was down. OK looking through bets also really like:

$52 to to win $100
Not Barao itd
Not Miranda itd
Not Sterling itd

Eyeing Almeida if the night is going well. Otherwise will lb. Will also bet Collier and Millstead in round 1 by fight time.
 
UFN 88 Risk: 1,599.95
almeida-garbrandt O1.5: 87.50 for 50 / DEC: 25 for 100
barao-stephens: idk
story-saffiedine: idk
miranda -127: 127.45 for 100 / camozzi +3.5: 52.50 for 50
larkin -117: 350 for 300 / O2.5: 100 parlays / masvidal
felder SUB: 15 for 180.75 / felder RD 3: 15 for 191.25 / felder NSC: 100 parlays / burkman
eye +135: 100 for 135 / eye DEC: 50 for 151 / eye NSC: 100 for 165 / mcmann
trujillo ITD: 62 for 50 / rinaldi
collier +120: 50 for 60 / uda
campbell -115: 287.50 for 250 - 50 parlay / campbell DEC: 45 for 99 / koch
caraway DEC: 33 for 249.15 / sterling
de la rocha-milstead: idk
props
parlays
50 for 46.42 larkin-masvidal O2.5 -265 & carvalho -250 (bella 155)
50 for 70 campbell -140 & carvalho -250 (bella 155)
50 for xx felder NSC -205 & TBD
50 for 52.46 felder NSC -205 & larkin-masvidal O2.5 -265
---

might be about set until the weigh-ins.
 
two parlays, currently

Garbrandt, Stephens/Barao U2.5, Larkin, Burkman

150 pays 3614

and

Caraway/Sterlin O2.5, Larkin, Garbrandt/Almeida O1.5

158 pays 515

220 on Larkin to win 200

Parlay

Caraway/aljo o2.5 , story, stephens, garbrandt/almeida o1.5

100 to win 974

Parlay

Koch, rinaldi, burkman, stephens, garbrandt

50 pays 7872
 
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Got some crazy parlays and these plays. Got a bit heavy on Caraway and Stephens, but I really like the dogs this card.

edit: Added some on Eye, Uda and Almeida.
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Almeida 1 unit
Larkin 2 units
Saffiedine 1 unit
Campbell 1 unit
O 2.5 Larkin / Masvidal 1 unit
O 2.5 Saffiedine / Story 1 unit
O 2.5 Stephens/Barao 1 unit
Collier 0.25 units
Camozzi 0.25 units

0.1 unit prop plays: Camozzi round 3 (+2725), Felder round 3 (+1150), Garbrandt by decision (+1175), Caraway by decision(+615), Eye no scorecards, Masvidal no scorecards, plus a few small super long-shot parlays that are very likely to lose.
 
Milstead Sterling Koch Collier Trujillo Eye Felder Larkin Camozzi Tarec Stephens £30 for £28978

Felder dec Larkin dec Sterling dec Tarec dec £50 for £1105

Koch dec Collier dec Camozzi dec £20 for £1750

Story split £25 +900

Tarec split £45 +550
 
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Finally have time to post my picks:

Caraway +325 for 0.31u
-Caraway by DEC +610 for 0.16u

Rinaldi/Trujillo o1.5 -125 for 1.25u
-Rinaldi by SUB +600 for 0.5u (YOLO)

Larkin by DEC +150 for 2u

Camozzi +3.5 -145 for 1.45u

Story by DEC +195 for 2u

Barao by SUB +320 for 0.5u

Garbrandt +145 for 1u
-Garbrandt by TKO +247 for 0.4u

EDIT: POST WEIGH IN ADDITIONS

UDA by SUB +1780 for 0.5u

McMann by DEC +106 for 1.5u
 
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Milstead + Larkin - $67.71 to win $100
Milstead + Larkin + Felder - $20.00 to win $45.78
Larkin - $65.00 to win $50.00
Felder + Campbell - $26.49 to win $30.00
Camozzi - $20.00 to win $31.00
Stephens - $20.00 to win $31.00
Caraway - $5.00 to win $15.00

Heavy on Larkin (obviously didn't learn my lesson with Warley) and a bit on Felder. Both should win, or maybe better put is: both shouldn't lose.

I have too much on Collier that I now regret and will buyout of when/if his line catches up to the 1.7 I'm seeing out there. Might puss out on Camozzi and get out of that too; that bet was more against Miranda than for Camo.

Anyways, GL all.
 
UFN 88 Risk: 1,599.95
almeida-garbrandt O1.5: 87.50 for 50 / DEC: 25 for 100
barao-stephens: idk
story-saffiedine: idk
miranda -127: 127.45 for 100 / camozzi +3.5: 52.50 for 50
larkin -117: 350 for 300 / O2.5: 100 parlays / masvidal
felder SUB: 15 for 180.75 / felder RD 3: 15 for 191.25 / felder NSC: 100 parlays / burkman
eye +135: 100 for 135 / eye DEC: 50 for 151 / eye NSC: 100 for 165 / mcmann
trujillo ITD: 62 for 50 / rinaldi
collier +120: 50 for 60 / uda
campbell -115: 287.50 for 250 - 50 parlay / campbell DEC: 45 for 99 / koch
caraway DEC: 33 for 249.15 / sterling
de la rocha-milstead: idk
props
parlays
50 for 46.42 larkin-masvidal O2.5 -265 & carvalho -250 (bella 155)
50 for 70 campbell -140 & carvalho -250 (bella 155)
50 for xx felder NSC -205 & TBD
50 for 52.46 felder NSC -205 & larkin-masvidal O2.5 -265
---

might be about set until the weigh-ins.

UFN 88 Risk: 1,759.95
garbrandt DEC: 25 for 216.25 / O1.5: 87.50 for 50 / DEC: 25 for 100 / NOT almeida ITD: 100 for 80
barao-stephens O2.5: 100 for 80
story-saffiedine: idk
miranda -127: 127.45 for 100 / camozzi +3.5: 52.50 for 50
larkin -117: 350 for 300 / O2.5: 100 parlays / masvidal
felder SUB: 15 for 180.75 / felder RD 3: 15 for 191.25 / felder NSC: 50 parlay / burkman
eye +135: 150 for 202.50 / eye DEC: 50 for 151 / eye NSC: 100 for 165 / mcmann
trujillo ITD: 32 for 19.10 / rinaldi
uda: 0 for 2.50 / uda SUB: 15 for 267 / collier: 0 for 10
campbell -115: 287.50 for 250 - 50 parlay / campbell DEC: 45 for 99 / koch
caraway DEC: 33 for 249.15 / sterling
de la rocha-milstead: idk
props
parlays
50 for 46.42 larkin-masvidal O2.5 -265 & carvalho -250 (bella 155)
50 for 70 campbell -140 & carvalho -250 (bella 155)
50 for 52.46 felder NSC -205 & larkin-masvidal O2.5 -265
---

post weigh-in.

not finalized, but getting there.
 
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