Your Official UFN 89 bets

UFN 89 Risk: 2,502.66
thompson +150: 148.76 for 223.15 / O2.5: 50 parlays / RD1: 10 parlays / ITD: 96.90 for 70 / macdonald
cote +146: 200 for 292.50 / cote DEC: 30 for 97.50 - 20 parlays / cote RD1: 16 parlays / O2.5: 130 for 100 - 50 parlays / cowboy
o'connell +123: 75 for 92.50 / o'connell RD2: 10 for 72.50 - 10 parlays / O'connell RD3: 5 for 72.50 / DEC: 10 for 44 / bosse
gouti-OAM: idk
calderwood +125: 20 for 25 / O2.5: 125 parlays / letourneau DEC: 20 parlays / letourneau RD3: 6 parlays
saggo -140: 245 for 175 / saggo DEC: 30 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays / silva
cirkunov: 75 parlays / ciruknov SUB: 20 for 56 / cirkunov: 10 parlays / U1.5: 70 for 50 - 50 parlays / cutelaba
mccory -188: 282.50 for 150 / mccrory RD2: 16 parlays / ITD: 52.50 for 50 - 20 parlays / jotko
soto +100: 250 for 250 - 20 parlays / soto ITD: 25 for 107.25 / soto SUB: 25 for 150 / soto RD3: 6 parlays / beal
theodorou: 75 parlays / theodorou DEC: 20 parlays / theodorou -3.5: 30 for 49.50 / O2.5: 50 parlays / alvey
markos -165: 165 for 100 / markos SUB: 25 for 158.75 / markos NSC: 200 for 150 / jones-lybarger
covington: 75 parlays / covington RD2: 15 for 93.75 / covington RD3: 10 for 100 - 6 parlays / meunier
bagautinov DEC: 44.50 for 40 - 20 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays / herrera
props
DEC O7.5: 26 for 51.48
DEC O8.5: 10 for 52
DEC O9.5: 3 for 45.09
DEC O10.5: 1 for 65.25
FOTN: cote-cerrone: 13 for 52
FOTN: bagautinov-herrera: 7 for 56
parlays
25 for 41.24 joj-val O2.5 -325 & cirkunov -200 & theodorou -285
25 for 41.24 joj-val O2.5 -325 & cirkunov -200 & covington -285
25 for 34.66 joj-val O2.5 -325 & theodorou -285 & covington -285
25 for 43.43 cirkunov -200 & theodorou -285 & covington -285
87.50 RR for 392.70: WBWBO2.5/ PCDCO2.5/ JCVLO2.5/ LSJSO2.5/ ICMCU1.5/ SAETO2.5/ GHABO2.5
35 RR for 986.93: coteDEC/ letourneauDEC/ saggoDEC/ mccjotITD/ soto/ theoDEC/ bagaDEC
20 RR for 4,224.08: RMSTRD1/ coteRD1/ OCRD2/ saggoDEC/ cirkRD2/ mccRD2
15 RR for 2,107.88: coteRD1/ valRD3/ mccroryRD2/ sotoRD3/ covingtonRD3
---

let the losing streak continue...
 
After some (to me) surprising line movements I've added 1u on a McCrory + Letourneau parlay @ +158.

Depending on how the Covington and McCrory fights end up I might load up more on Letourneau - JoJo is so damn hittable and overwhelmable I really like Letourneau @ -160 after how she looked against JJ.
 
Rush job, too busy with the Euro's to properly research this card so kept it quite limited:

- Cote @ 2.38 = £25 (free bet) returns £34.50
- Theodorou + Cirkunov @ 2.10 = £12.99 returns £27.28
- OAM sub + Letourneau decision @ 5.23 = £5 (free bet) returns £21.15

Best of luck all.
 
After some (to me) surprising line movements I've added 1u on a McCrory + Letourneau parlay @ +158.

Depending on how the Covington and McCrory fights end up I might load up more on Letourneau - JoJo is so damn hittable and overwhelmable I really like Letourneau @ -160 after how she looked against JJ.

valerie looks to have every technical advantage, plus power and athleticism on her side. but god knows, this is fucking wmma.
 
I apologize for spamming the thread but here are my finalized pre-event:
3u on Randa Markos @ -175
2u on Tamdan McCrory @ -200
3u on Patrick Côté @ +150
1u on Steven Thompson @ -113

1u on Tamdan McCrory ITD @ +120
.33u on U 0.5 McCrory//Jotko @ +650
.5u on Valerie Letourneau ITD @ +350
.5u on Patrick Côté in R1 @ +900

1.5u on Covington + Letourneau @ +109
1u on McCrory + Letourneau @ + 158
 
Cerrone
Valerie/OAM parlay
Beal
Elias by Dec
Covington/ Ali B parlay
Rory
 
Markos 1u
Cowboy 2u
Saggo 1.5u
Herrera .5u
Soto 1u
Soto sub .25u
Theodoreau/Covington 1u


GL boys
 
Parlay

Soto via sub +371
Cirkunov in round 2 +425
Letourneau inside distance +354
Cote in round 1 +900

$50 to win $56081.40


Also huge on Cote straight and round 1, Letourneau straight, Saggo and Alvey
 
UFN 89 Net: +153.96
thompson +164: 212.81 for 348.37 / O2.5: 50 parlays / RD1: 10 parlays / ITD: 96.90 for 70
cote +146: 257.19 for 678.45 / cote DEC: 30 for 97.50 - 20 parlays / cote RD1: 16 parlays / cote NSC: 80 for 100
/ O2.5: 75 for 50 - 50 parlays
o'connell +104: 505 for 524.89 / o'connell RD2: 15 for 107.50 - 10 parlays / O'connell RD3: 15 for 207.50 / DEC: 10 for 44
gouti +400: 25 for 100
Letourneau +161: 148.90 for 240 / letourneau DEC: 20 parlays / letourneau ITD: 29.75 for 327.27 / letourneau RD3: 6 parlays / letourneau NSC: 257.50 for 150
/ O2.5: 125 parlays
saggo -133: 300 for 225 / saggo DEC: 30 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays
cirkunov: 75 parlays / ciruknov SUB: 20 for 56
/ cutelaba +310: 50 for 155 / cirkunov RD2: 10 parlays / U1.5: 70 for 50 - 50 parlays
mccory -188: 282.50 for 150 / mccrory RD2: 16 parlays
/ ITD: 52.50 for 50 - 20 parlays
soto +100: 250 for 250 - 20 parlays / soto ITD: 25 for 107.25 / soto SUB: 25 for 150 / soto RD3: 6 parlays
theodorou: 75 parlays / theodorou DEC: 20 parlays / theodorou -3.5: 30 for 49.50 / O2.5: 50 parlays
markos -165: 165 for 100
/ markos SUB: 25 for 158.75 / markos NSC: 200 for 150
covington: 75 parlays / covington RD2: 15 for 93.75 / covington RD3: 10 for 100 - 6 parlays
bagautinov DEC: 44.50 for 40 - 20 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays

props
DEC O7.5: 26 for 51.48
DEC O8.5: 10 for 52
DEC O9.5: 3 for 45.09
DEC O10.5: 1 for 65.25
FOTN: cote-cerrone: 13 for 52
FOTN: bagautinov-herrera: 7 for 56

parlays
25 for 41.24 joj-val O2.5 -325 & cirkunov -200 & theodorou -285
25 for 41.24 joj-val O2.5 -325 & cirkunov -200 & covington -285
25 for 34.66 joj-val O2.5 -325 & theodorou -285 & covington -285
25 for 43.43 cirkunov -200 & theodorou -285 & covington -285
87.50 RR for (paid +102.45) 392.70: WBWBO2.5/ PCDCO2.5/ JCVLO2.5/ LSJSO2.5/ ICMCU1.5/ SAETO2.5/ GHABO2.5
35 RR for (paid +57.56) 986.93: coteDEC/ letourneauDEC/ saggoDEC/ mccjotITD/ soto/ theoDEC/ bagaDEC

20 RR for 4,224.08: RMSTRD1/ coteRD1/ OCRD2/ saggoDEC/ cirkRD2/ mccRD2
15 RR for (paid +246) 2,107.88: coteRD1/ valRD3/ mccroryRD2/ sotoRD3/ covingtonRD3
---

technically my 5-ufc losing streak is over. but c'mon, 1.5u isn't what i was looking for. especially n ot when i was up 10u after the first 5 fights.

mccrory ko loss was an absolute fluke

cote was a terrible bet

letourneau was shocking but badly played

oconnell was shocking but overplayed.

my pre event bets were +1147. so i donked off 10 fuckin units on oconnell, letourneau, etc. sigh.

whatever, kinda over mma betting right now. feeling like a waste of time (and money).
 
After all plays, I played Cerrone at 1,62 or 1,67 for about 60 dollars
 
whatever, kinda over mma betting right now. feeling like a waste of time (and money).

Keep your head up man, you are one of the guys on this forum I think I learned the most from, and still tail for the most part. I know the feeling, before I started following MMA/betting MMA I played poker as a part-time job, and downswings/upswings happen even more regularly there than with betting, I'd say. I've had multiple $2k+ downswings (I'm a student and my current unitsize is about $20, so that's quite huge for me), and was done with the game like you multiple times. Downswings/break-even stretches make you contemplate what you're doing, whether you still beat the game, thinking you waste your time etc, but in the end when you look at your profit history/roi etc, you know you beat the game in the long-term, and upswings will come again eventually. Upswings are no fun without downswings, and a major winning night will taste even sweeter now. Just keep on grinding and focus on the long-term, like you said yourself many times before if I remember correctly.
 
£795 WB @ +130

£50 8 man parlay WB to close @ +2100

£400 Rory @ +100

Won £668 on lb.

Overall profit £2342.
 
1.6u Wonderboy +150
2.4u Wonderboy +130
2.5u Cote +150
2u Cote/Cerrone O2.5 -133
1.5u Valerie -175
1u Soto +104
0.5u O'Connell +130
0.5u Jotko +200

0.5u OAM dec +220
0.5u Lybarger dec +240
0.1u Soto r3 +1600

2.5u Valerie/JoJo O2.5 + Markos/Lybarger O2.5 -145
1.5u Val + Bagautinov +120
1u Elias + Turkey NOT to score 2nd half -116
2u OAM + Elias -143
+4.82 units. I was way too confident in Valerie and the Cote bet feels so dumb in hindsight.
 
Last edited:
I placed this bet in friday night without coming on sherdog first. After seeing everyones posts i get worried because NOBODY had WB and Cerrone. I didnt realize fight night was in Canada. Good thing...
 

Attachments

  • Screenshot_20160619-075616.png
    Screenshot_20160619-075616.png
    251.3 KB · Views: 11
UFN 89 Net: +153.96
thompson +164: 212.81 for 348.37 / O2.5: 50 parlays / RD1: 10 parlays / ITD: 96.90 for 70
cote +146: 257.19 for 678.45 / cote DEC: 30 for 97.50 - 20 parlays / cote RD1: 16 parlays / cote NSC: 80 for 100
/ O2.5: 75 for 50 - 50 parlays
o'connell +104: 505 for 524.89 / o'connell RD2: 15 for 107.50 - 10 parlays / O'connell RD3: 15 for 207.50 / DEC: 10 for 44
gouti +400: 25 for 100
Letourneau +161: 148.90 for 240 / letourneau DEC: 20 parlays / letourneau ITD: 29.75 for 327.27 / letourneau RD3: 6 parlays / letourneau NSC: 257.50 for 150
/ O2.5: 125 parlays
saggo -133: 300 for 225 / saggo DEC: 30 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays
cirkunov: 75 parlays / ciruknov SUB: 20 for 56
/ cutelaba +310: 50 for 155 / cirkunov RD2: 10 parlays / U1.5: 70 for 50 - 50 parlays
mccory -188: 282.50 for 150 / mccrory RD2: 16 parlays
/ ITD: 52.50 for 50 - 20 parlays
soto +100: 250 for 250 - 20 parlays / soto ITD: 25 for 107.25 / soto SUB: 25 for 150 / soto RD3: 6 parlays
theodorou: 75 parlays / theodorou DEC: 20 parlays / theodorou -3.5: 30 for 49.50 / O2.5: 50 parlays
markos -165: 165 for 100
/ markos SUB: 25 for 158.75 / markos NSC: 200 for 150
covington: 75 parlays / covington RD2: 15 for 93.75 / covington RD3: 10 for 100 - 6 parlays
bagautinov DEC: 44.50 for 40 - 20 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays

props
DEC O7.5: 26 for 51.48
DEC O8.5: 10 for 52
DEC O9.5: 3 for 45.09
DEC O10.5: 1 for 65.25
FOTN: cote-cerrone: 13 for 52
FOTN: bagautinov-herrera: 7 for 56

parlays
25 for 41.24 joj-val O2.5 -325 & cirkunov -200 & theodorou -285
25 for 41.24 joj-val O2.5 -325 & cirkunov -200 & covington -285
25 for 34.66 joj-val O2.5 -325 & theodorou -285 & covington -285
25 for 43.43 cirkunov -200 & theodorou -285 & covington -285
87.50 RR for (paid +102.45) 392.70: WBWBO2.5/ PCDCO2.5/ JCVLO2.5/ LSJSO2.5/ ICMCU1.5/ SAETO2.5/ GHABO2.5
35 RR for (paid +57.56) 986.93: coteDEC/ letourneauDEC/ saggoDEC/ mccjotITD/ soto/ theoDEC/ bagaDEC

20 RR for 4,224.08: RMSTRD1/ coteRD1/ OCRD2/ saggoDEC/ cirkRD2/ mccRD2
15 RR for (paid +246) 2,107.88: coteRD1/ valRD3/ mccroryRD2/ sotoRD3/ covingtonRD3
---

technically my 5-ufc losing streak is over. but c'mon, 1.5u isn't what i was looking for. especially n ot when i was up 10u after the first 5 fights.

mccrory ko loss was an absolute fluke

cote was a terrible bet

letourneau was shocking but badly played

oconnell was shocking but overplayed.

my pre event bets were +1147. so i donked off 10 fuckin units on oconnell, letourneau, etc. sigh.

whatever, kinda over mma betting right now. feeling like a waste of time (and money).
Like Bless said, keep your head up man. Sounds like the string of event losses and those losses on the latter portion of this card have really gotten to you, but the night could've been worse when you recognize you had some bad decisions yet still won money on the show. Take that little chunk, brush it off and lets get ready for July. More than enough events to turn it around in that month.
 
Absolutely fucking grim weekend for me. Between the euros, UFC and fucking casino I'm down a lot of cash. Feel so fucking low right now. Fucking fuckety fuck!!
 
Made every mistake last night. Bad handicapping, too large bet sizing, stupid bets, chasing losses, bad live betting. A sea of red. Just embarrassing.

UFN 89
Results

Rory MacDonald/Stephen Thompson Over 2½ (-165) $165.00 for $100.00= $100.00

Patrick Cote (+150) vs Donald Cerrone $100.00 for $150.00= -$100.00
Patrick Cote (+145) vs Donald Cerrone $100.00 for $145.00= -$100.00
Patrick Cote wins in round 1 (+675) $50.00 for $337.50= -$50.00
Patrick Cote wins by TKO/KO (+415) $25.00 for $103.75= -$25.00
Patrick Cote wins by 3 round decision (+260) $50.00 for $130.00= -$50.00

Steve Bosse (-160) vs Sean O'Connell $160.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Steve Bosse wins in round 1 (+155) $30.00 for $46.50= -$30.00
Sean O’Connell wins in round 2 (+700) $20.00 for $140.00= -$20.00
Sean O’Connell wins in round 3 (+1350) $20.00 for $270.00= -$20.00
Sean O'Connell (+260) vs Steve Bosse $100.00 for $260.00= -$100.00

Olivier Aubin-Mercier -3½ points (-235) vs Thibault Gouti $94.00 for $40.00= $40.00
Olivier Aubin-Mercier wins by 3 round decision (+242) $25.00 for $60.50= -$25.00
Live In-Play Thibault Gouti (+205) vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier $200.00 for $410.00= -$200.00

Valerie Letourneau (-150) vs Joanne Calderwood $150.00 for $100.00= -$150.00
Valerie Letourneau (-155) vs Joanne Calderwood $155.00 for $100.00= -$155.00
Valerie Letourneau (-140) vs Joanne Calderwood $420.00 for $300.00= -$420.00
Valerie Letourneau -3½ points (+190) $50.00 for $95.00= -$50.00
Valerie Letourneau wins in round 3 (+1650) $20.00 for $330.00= -$20.00
Valerie Letourneau wins by 3 round decision (+123) $81.30 for $100.00= -$81.30

Jason Saggo (-160) vs Leandro Silva $160.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Jason Saggo wins by submission (+450) $25.00 for $112.50= -$25.00

Ion Cutelaba (+180) vs Misha Cirkunov $55.56 for $100.00= -$55.56
Ion Cutelaba wins by TKO/KO (+425) vs Misha Cirkunov $50.00 for $212.50= -$50.00

Tamdan McCrory (-165) vs Krzysztof Jotko $165.00 for $100.00= -$165.00
Tamdan McCrory wins in round 2 (+525) $20.00 for $105.00= -$20.00
Tamdan McCrory wins by TKO/KO (+414) $25.00 for $103.50= -$25.00
Tamdan McCrory/Krzysztof Jotko Under 2½ (+105) $100.00 for $105.00= $105.00

Chris Beal (+100) vs Joe Soto $200.00 for $200.00= -$200.00
Chris Beal wins by 3 round decision (+189) $52.91 for $100.00= -$52.91

Sam Alvey (+210) vs Elias Theodorou $50.00 for $105.00= -$50.00
Sam Alvey/Elias Theodorou Under 2½ (+175) $100.00 for $175.00= -$100.00
Sam Alvey wins in round 1 (+650) $15.00 for $97.50= -$15.00

Jonathan Meunier (+250) vs Colby Covington $50.00 for $125.00= -$50.00
Jonathan Meunier (+220) vs Colby Covington $50.00 for $110.00= -$50.00
Jonathan Meunier wins in round 1 (+975) $25.00 for $243.75= -$25.00
Jonathan Meunier/Colby Covington Under 2½ (+150) $100.00 for $150.00= $150.00

Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger (+140) vs Randa Markos $100.00 for $140.00= -$100.00
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger (+125) vs Randa Markos $200.00 for $250.00= -$200.00
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger wins in round 3 (+2300) $10.00 for $230.00= -$10.00
Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger wins by 3 round decision (+205) $50.00 for $102.50= -$50.00

Geane Herrera (+220) vs Ali Bagautinov $50.00 for $110.00= -$50.00
Geane Herrera wins by 3 round decision (+400) $25.00 for $100.00= -$25.00

Fights to go distance over 6½ (-150) $60.00 for $40.00= -$60.00
Fights to go distance over 7½ (+198) $25.00 for $49.50= -$25.00
Fights to go distance over 8½ (+520) $15.00 for $78.00= -$15.00
Fights to go distance over 9½ (+1503) $10.00 for $150.30= -$10.00
Fights to go distance over 10½ (+6525) $5.00 for $326.25= -$5.00

Not exactly three fights end in KO/TKO (-307) $307.00 for $100.00= -$307.00
Not exactly three fights end in submission (-303) $303.00 for $100.00= $100.00

Rory MacDonald/Stephen Thompson FOTN award winner (+300) $15.00 for $45.00= -$15.00
-----
Total Loss= -$2656.77
 
Back
Top