Your Official TUF 23 Bets

just added a panic-driven (lack of time) panic of O4.5 KO's and up.. prolly should've done subs again.. ah well.

had no idea the props for these were even up yet
 
Tried to fund 5dimes account now so can put in my $500 bet on Amanda ... and get some error message about "verifications" and to contact support

Looks like won't be able to get bet in fuark
 
my underdog parlay

1u Nicolau, Holbrook, JJ/Gadehla U4.5, Gomi, Brock @ +10,000

others

2u Brooks, Maynard, Matthews @ +255 Loss

1u Duffy, Maynard, Jingliang, Dillashaw, Sage @ +321

3u Brooks, Cormier, Hendricks, Dillashaw, Sage @ +373

2u Nicolau/Moraga O2.5, Choi, A.Sanchez, Maynard @ +549


hit a nice 4 fight parlay but threw a lot of it away on main event props and other things.

up 2u last night

even for weekend
 
Ok so i switched positions and now ended up with 4U on JJ @ just over +100, still like my Gadhela sub prop as a hedge @ +900

0.5U Smith KO @ +175 (Lose -0.5U)
2U John Moraga @ -175 (Lose -2U)(Total -2.5U)
2U Gray Maynard @ -137 (Win 1.45U)(-1.05U)
0.5U Amanda Cooper @ +300 (Lose -0.5U)(-1.55U)
4U Joanna Jedrzejczyk @ +100 (Win 4U)(+2.45U)
0.5U Claudio Gadhela UD @ +400 (Lose -0.5U)(+1.95U)
0.25U Claudio Gadhela Sub @ +900 (Lose -0.25U)(+1.7U)

Parlays
2U Jingliang Li & Daniel Cormier @ -150
1U Jingliang, TJ & Tate @ +140
1U Will Brooks, TJ Dillashaw & Over 2.5 Sanchez vs Lauzon @ +150
2U Will Brooks & TJ Dillashaw @ -133

Oh and added 0.5U Amanda Cooper, +300
Now Added Smith KO @ +175

+1.7U

Good decision to switch to JJ in the end but was sweating a bit in those first 2 rounds thinking id made a bad mistake! Not great returns tonight but a wins a win and both of the parlay fodders won. Think i have around 50U on tomorrows card and haven't finished yet lol.

Anyway total of +7.4U up over the first two cards and some decent parlays to carry through, so all good so far.
 
Personally Live betted the shit out of Joanna/Claudia. I was on Claudia first but i just could not bet against Joanna i´ wanted to losem y bet more than winning, extremly unproffesional, so closed the bet.
made a bet on JJ, and then livebetted it as i expected oddsmakers to be crazy, and true enough Joanna was a huuuuge underdog in round 1 and round 2. Livebetted more and more units up to 7 units on her. Claudia gasses as expected and Joanna takes the last 3 rounds. Got a 8,8 unit profit on that. Very happy for the livebetting, my first succesful livebet. (its so hard when its 6 in the morning and you´ve been up all night here in scandinavia for me at least, so always lose money on it except now)
 
TUF 23 Net: -6.61
JJ +124: 161.01 for 198.98 / JJ ITD: 75.70 for 378.50 - 15 parlays / JJ RD4: 8 for 144 / JJ RD5: 7 for 154 / JJ NSC: 202.50 for 150 - 50 parlay / draw: 2.50 for 412.50 / gadelha KO: 10 for 253
sanchez -130: 130 for 100 / sanchez ITD: 15 parlays / sanchez SUB: 33 for 115.50 / sanchez RD3: 5 parlays / U2.5: 30 for 49.50 / ITD: 68.13 for 28.49
cooper +320: 35 for 112 / cooper +3.5: 50 for 80 / cooper ITD: 15 for 93 / cooper RD3: 7.57 for 249.81

brooks -250: 189.25 for 75.70 / brooks -3.5: 195 for 150 / brooks DEC: 15 parlays / pearson SUB: 5 for 216.50
choi -158: 157.50 for 100 / choi RD3: 5 parlays / RD3: 15 for 97.50
silva +110: 50 for 55 / silva ITD: 15 parlays / silva RD1: 5 parlays / silva NSC: 105 for 100
maynard RD3: 18.93 for 94.63
moraga -115: 106.95 for 93 / moraga RD3: 5 for 52.50 - 5 parlays
/ moraga NSC: 70 for 50 - 50 parlay
Hendricks +138: 60 for 82.50 / hendricks ITD: 15 parlays / hendricks SUB: 15 for 78.75
mutante -161: 347 for 215 / mutante DEC: 20 for 96.30 - 5 parlays
matthews -135: 135 for 100 / matthews ITD: 15 parlays / matthews SUB: 15 for 99.60 / matthews RD3: 10 for 107.50 - 5 parlays / matthews NSC: 50 parlay / lee DEC: 33 for 97.35
jingliang: 100 parlay / jingliang ITD: 50 for 57.50 - 15 parlays / jingliang SUB: 15 for 90.75
props
KO O4.5: 30 for 56.70
KO O5.5: 10 for 50.70
KO O6.5: 3 for 43.17
KO O7.5: 1 for 51
KO O8.5: 1 for 263
FOTN: sanchez-rountree: 10 for 58.50
FOTN: suarez-cooper: 8 for 68

parlays
100 for 83.41 jingliang -315 & burns -255 (ufn 90)
50 for 149.70 JJ NSC -150, moraga NSC -180 & matthews NSC -185
35 RR for (paid -22.42) 1,000.54: JJ ITD/ sanchezITD/ brooksDEC/ silvaITD/ hendricksITD/ matthewsITD/ jingliangITD
15 RR for (paid +17.70) 1,079.08: sanchezRD2/ choiRD3/ silvaRD1/ moragaRD3/ ferreiraDEC/ matthewsRD3

---

jesus f'ing christ. can't catch breaks.

-herczog bullcrap stoppage on matthews fight
-moraga split (not a bad decision just frustrating)
-brooks dropping rd 3
-sanchez not finishing the fight (if he tapped him in the 3rd, swing would be +400 or so at least)
-joanna not finishing the fight (if she finished it in 4th/5th, swing would be +800 or so at least)

really f'ing frustrated.
 
Chasing big on Joanna and the FOTN prop gets me almost back to even after a lot of bad bets. Not proud of it, and I wish I bet a few more bucks on Joanna because I hate even being a penny in the negative, but it is what it is with a tiny loss of 0.49 units.

TUF 23 Finale Results


Joanna Jedrzejczyk (-120) vs Claudia Gadelha $600.00 for $500.00= $500.00
Joanna Jedrzejczyk (-125) vs Claudia Gadelha $250.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Joanna Jedrzejczyk wins by 5 round decision (+180) $50.00 for $90.00= $90.00
Joanna Jedrzejczyk wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+469) $30.00 for $140.70= -$30.00
Claudia Gadelha wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+505) $20.00 for $101.00= -$20.00

Andrew Sanchez (-130) vs Khalil Rountree $130.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Andrew Sanchez wins in round 2 (+625) $30.00 for $187.50= -$30.00
Andrew Sanchez wins inside distance (+165) $75.00 for $123.75= -$75.00
Andrew Sanchez wins by submission (+250) $40.00 for $100.00= -$40.00

Amanda Cooper (+315) vs Tatiana Suarez $50.00 for $157.50= -$50.00
Amanda Cooper wins by TKO/KO (+1250) $25.00 for $312.50= -$25.00
Amanda Cooper wins in round 3 (+2500) $20.00 for $500.00= -$20.00
Amanda Cooper +3½ points (+110) $75.00 for $82.50= -$75.00

Ross Pearson (+315) vs Will Brooks $100.00 for $315.00= -$100.00
Ross Pearson wins by 3 round decision (+615) $100.00 for $615.00= -$100.00

Thiago Tavares (+195) vs Doo Ho Choi $100.00 for $195.00= -$100.00
Thiago Tavares wins by submission (+430) $25.00 for $107.50= -$25.00

Andrew Holbrook (+100) vs Joaquim Silva $100.00 for $100.00= -$100.00
Andrew Holbrook wins by submission (+435) $25.00 for $108.75= -$25.00

Gray Maynard (-150) vs Fernando Bruno $300.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Gray Maynard wins in round 2 (+775) $15.00 for $116.25= -$15.00
Gray Maynard wins in round 3 (+1400) $15.00 for $210.00= -$15.00
Fernando Bruno (+145) vs Gray Maynard $68.97 for $100.00= -$68.97
Fernando Bruno wins by TKO/KO (+425) $30.00 for $127.50= -$30.00
John Moraga (-170) vs Matheus Nicolau $170.00 for $100.00= -$170.00
John Moraga (-145) vs Matheus Nicolau $145.00 for $100.00= -$145.00
John Moraga wins by submission (+525) $40.00 for $210.00= -$40.00
Josh Stansbury (-115) vs Cory Hendricks $115.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Cezar Ferreira (+125) vs Anthony Smith $200.00 for $250.00= $250.00
Anthony Smith wins in round 1 (+250) $50.00 for $125.00= -$50.00
Live In-Play Cezar Ferreira/Anthony Smith Over 2½ (+100) $50.00 for $50.00= $50.00

Jake Matthews (-133) vs Kevin Lee $266.00 for $200.00= -$266.00
Jingliang Li wins in round 1 (+200) vs Anton Zafir $25.00 for $50.00= $50.00
Jingliang Li wins inside distance (-115) $46.00 for $40.00= $40.00
Jingliang Li wins by submission (+710) $20.00 for $142.00= -$20.00

Fights to end in submission over 2½ (+102) $40.00 for $40.80= -$40.00
Fights to end in submission over 3½ (+311) $25.00 for $77.75= -$25.00
Fights to end in submission over 4½ (+883) $15.00 for $132.45= -$15.00
Fights to end in submission over 5½ (+2750) $10.00 for $275.00= -$10.00
Fights to end in submission over 6½ (+10900) $5.00 for $545.00= -$5.00

Joanna Jedrzejczyk/Claudia Gadelha FOTN award winner (+200) $50.00 for $100.00= $100.00
-----
Total Loss= -$49.97
 
Just live betted last night. Was up £900 up until main event then smashed jj lb for a total £2252 profit.
 
Skärmklipp.JPG

144.9 = 14.49U bucks up! Was to into the ME to live bet it, but was JJ going in to the 3rd?
 
Just live betted last night. Was up £900 up until main event then smashed jj lb for a total £2252 profit.
I was lucky sham I fell asleep and missed the co main and woke up rd two jj before I put a nice bet on her as she was a dog
 
I actually have never livebet, but it was pretty apparent even at a point in the second round that Claudia had a good chance of gassing out. It was also clear Claudia was going to have a harder and harder time controlling Joanna as she was having some much trouble when she was fresh. That was probably the best example of a fight to livebet.
 
Not sure if it was going into the 3rd or 30 secs into the 3rd but i hammered jj @ about +150

Nice, but then not super crazy odds considering JJ DEC was +120 going in to the fight.
 
is it me or did gomi look especially bad at the weigh ins?
 
2016

UFC Fight Night 73 +5.2
UFC190/WSOF22 +.26u
UFC on Fox 16 -0.80u
UFC Fight Night 74 -5.25u
UFC Fight Night 81 -0.25
Bellator 148 +1.95u
UFC on Fox 18 +4.2u
UFC Fight Night 82 +0.82u
UFC Fight Night 83 -12.87u
UFC Fight Night 84 +9.54u
UFC 196 -1.18u
UFC Fight Night 88 +17.3u
UFC 199 +5.13
UFC Fight Night 90 +10u

+33.88u


TUF 23 Finale

Andrew Sanchez
-130 2.6u to win 2u W
Ross Pearson
+305 5u to win 15.25u L
Thiago Tavares
+185 1.5u to win 2.78u L
John Moraga
-135 5.4u to win 4u L
Cezar Ferreira
+105 2.5u to win 2.63u W

Props

Claudia Gadelha/Joanna Jedrzejczyk Under 4½
+205 1u to win 2.05u L
Gadelha / Jedrzejczyk draw
+16500 0.1u to win 16.5u L


GL all

Live betting adjustments

Matheus Nicolau(Moraga buy-out end of round 2) -115 2.3u to win 2u W




-6.37u


Gave some back last night. Just missed on Pearson which would have made it a nice night. No big deal. Huge night tonight.
 
6u smith -133
1u Ferreira by sub +500
1 unit nicolau +144
JJ to win 4u
.5 u JJ by ko +450
probably on choi if he gets down to -200

even after smith failed i somehow ended up with a 3u profit, lost 2 more units on matthews and zafir, but recovered 5 units on choi by ko at -120, also won 2 units on Pearson vs brooks goes the distance and added a bit more on JJ.
 
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