Your Official UFC 200 Bets

I lost over £300 over the weekend. Its not the end of the world little more than a unit but going into ufc 200 i was £2.8k up on first two shows. I lost £900 of that lb most on edgar. If hunt won though it would have taken me to £3.5k for the weekend. So that swing is gutting. Worst ive ever felt after a loss still feel like someones kicked me today. Valuable lessons learnt tho hopefully i can win some of that money back on Wed. Nearly chased on nunes but bottled it when saw whole thread practically was on miesha.

Sorry for your lost Sham, I know those feels, ive had it quite alot the past months aswell when losing huge and being punished for chasing and going big. It feels terrible, but that feeling saves you money, everytime the "kick in th stomach" went away i made the same mistakes again and again until i made some rules to stop some losses.

Is your unit size really £300? So you got £30000 to play around with? Do you do all this in one bookie or do you use several to mix your money around not just in one place?

Also if i may say my advice, don´t get influenced by threads. i seem to always bet against all the threads, i did it with rothwell, i did it with hunt, with meisha, with thomas almeida and some others. and i just trusted myself and believed everyone else was wrong, and i made huge profits from betting the opposite and believing my gut feelings and my reasonings, despite everyone calling you a fool. i know now that I juut dont believe random people being influenced by other random people will know anything, if anything they only make the price worse, and time and time when i tried tailing bets i lost. Last time where i got very pissed was i saw many huge bettors in here was on patrick cote - i was on donald cerrone i was liek WTF are you guys on? But for the first time in many months i went against my own gut feelign and i felt terrible and i made a bet like veryone else saying cote was the way to go and he lost....lesson: trust yourself.

ive lost more money on others mistakes than my own, so all i can say is dont get influenced by what everyone is on or not on. the majority is always with the favorites and they know nothing special to back it up. and its easy to get influenced by people betting huge money aswell, im baffled at some peoples bets.

So trust yourself, you´ve done good previously, and al the threds are just full of other people whos been influenced imo, so many times i´ve made the better choice. My first time was when i started on sherdog and asked for advice about latifi or erick silva, and was told "erick was the safer bet" and it he lost, latifi won and i stuck by my gut. now that it has happened nearly 10 times in a row about me being right, i believe in myself more, and its easier to learn from your own mistakes.

A bit long, but i know how you feel and just wanted to say how i´ve gone about it. hope you win on wednesday. I cant believe you have a near £30000 betting bankroll, how much of that is from betting profits?
 
View attachment 116971

I'm ready, bring it on!

Also have a few monster parlays with 0 chance to hit, but if its ever a time to make idiot plays, its at UFC 200!

edit: Few in some more doubles and triples and tried to hedge out the Hendricks play.

I lost 1U, except for the monster parlays. Was down 15-20U before Aldo and Nunes won me back... I feel so stupid getting greedy with all the parlays instead of just playing them straight. Hopefully, lesson learned.
 
Sorry for your lost Sham, I know those feels, ive had it quite alot the past months aswell when losing huge and being punished for chasing and going big. It feels terrible, but that feeling saves you money, everytime the "kick in th stomach" went away i made the same mistakes again and again until i made some rules to stop some losses.

Is your unit size really £300? So you got £30000 to play around with? Do you do all this in one bookie or do you use several to mix your money around not just in one place?

Also if i may say my advice, don´t get influenced by threads. i seem to always bet against all the threads, i did it with rothwell, i did it with hunt, with meisha, with thomas almeida and some others. and i just trusted myself and believed everyone else was wrong, and i made huge profits from betting the opposite and believing my gut feelings and my reasonings, despite everyone calling you a fool. i know now that I juut dont believe random people being influenced by other random people will know anything, if anything they only make the price worse, and time and time when i tried tailing bets i lost. Last time where i got very pissed was i saw many huge bettors in here was on patrick cote - i was on donald cerrone i was liek WTF are you guys on? But for the first time in many months i went against my own gut feelign and i felt terrible and i made a bet like veryone else saying cote was the way to go and he lost....lesson: trust yourself.

ive lost more money on others mistakes than my own, so all i can say is dont get influenced by what everyone is on or not on. the majority is always with the favorites and they know nothing special to back it up. and its easy to get influenced by people betting huge money aswell, im baffled at some peoples bets.

So trust yourself, you´ve done good previously, and al the threds are just full of other people whos been influenced imo, so many times i´ve made the better choice. My first time was when i started on sherdog and asked for advice about latifi or erick silva, and was told "erick was the safer bet" and it he lost, latifi won and i stuck by my gut. now that it has happened nearly 10 times in a row about me being right, i believe in myself more, and its easier to learn from your own mistakes.

A bit long, but i know how you feel and just wanted to say how i´ve gone about it. hope you win on wednesday. I cant believe you have a near £30000 betting bankroll, how much of that is from betting profits?

Im with about a dozen books try and spread my bets around.

We had this the other week where we spoke about sticking with our guts and not letting this thread sway us too much and im definitely working on it. But it swings both ways. I had tunnel vision that hunt was going to win and ignored people itt saying dont be so confident as brock has a clear path to victory. Look what happened...

Its all betting profits buddy i would never mess around with my wages for betting. Obviously my first ever bet was with wages but it was £40 and i built my br from there. Theres still three ufcs in July and im at Bellator next Sat so the aim is to put this bad taste completely in my rearview.
 
40 pence into 50 pound, happy man
 

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UFC 200

Amanda Nunes +220 10u to win 22u W
Brock Lesnar
+145 10u to win 14.5u W
Anderson Silva
+380 1u to win 3.8u L
Jose Aldo
+110 5u to win 5.5u W
Enrique Marin
+355 1u to win 3.55u L
Joe Lauzon
+105 5u to win 5.25u W

Props

Jim Miller/Takanori Gomi Under 1½ +120 2u to win 2.4u W



It's finally here. In pretty deep tonight. Good luck fellas.

+47.65u

Went hard for the biggest event in MMA history.

Paid off.
 
UFC 200 Net: -767.58
tate ITD: 98 parlays / tate SUB: 30 for 52.50 / tate RD3: 21 for 168 - 7 parlays / tate RD4: 16 for 176 / tate RD5: 13 for 182 / RD4: 6 for 51 / RD 5: 4 for 48 / nunes RD1: 25 for 200 / nunes RD2: 8 for 74
lesnar: 0 for 145.71 / lesnar RD1: 20 parlays / lesnar more TD's: 37.85 for 56.78 / O2.5: 20 for 48 / hunt: 0 for 155.09
DC -450: 225 for 50 / DC ITD: 179.32 for 126 - 78 parlays / DC SUB: 20 for 68 - 15 parlays / DC RD3: 27 parlays / U2.5: 50 for 40 / DEC: 100 for 50
edgar +194: 396 for 668 - 20 parlays / edgar ITD: 50 parlays / edgar KO: 25 for 100 / edgar RD1: 27 parlays / edgar RD4: 9 for 180 / edgar RD5: 6 for 150 / edgar NSC: 33 parlay / O4.5: 150 for 100
browne +265: 150 for 397.50 - 35 parlays / browne DEC: 10 for 97.50 / browne RD1: 27 parlays / NOT velasquez ITD: 78 parlays
zingano -150: 75 for 50 - 20 parlays / zingano ITD: 50 parlays / zingano KO: 25 for 100 / zingano RD3: 9 for 99 - 7 parlays
/ zingano NSC: 77 for 50 - 33 parlay
gastelum -108: 431.50 for 400 - 20 parlays / gastelum ITD: 15 parlays / gastelum SUB: 15 for 191.25 / gastelum RD3: 7 parlays
assuncao +349: 160 for 559 - 35 parlays / assuncao DEC: 18 for 99 / assuncao +3.5: 35 parlays
/ O2.5: 50 parlay / dillashaw NSC: 33 parlay
marin +426: 137.85 for 586.75 - 35 parlays / marin SUB: 12.50 for 100 / NOT northcutt ITD: 10 parlays
sanchez -113: 170 for 150 / sanchez DEC: 45 parlays / sanchez RD3: 7 parlays
mousasi: 50 parlay / mousasi DEC: 35 parlays / mousasi ITD: 10 parlays / mousasi SUB: 15 for 58.35 / mousasi RD3: 7 parlays / mousasi NSC: 33 parlay
props
DEC U3.5: 13 for 57.98
DEC U2.5: 5 for 69.05
DEC U1.5: 2 for 121.50
fastest KO: edgar: 5 for 90
fastest KO: zingano: 2 for 60
fastest KO: gastleum: 3 for 60
fastest KO: northcutt: 5 for 50

FOTN: zingano-nunes: 10 for 50
FOTN: marin-northcutt: 5 for 100

parlays
33 for (paid +14.04) 144.32: edgar NSC -113, zingano NSC -210, dillashaw NSC -282, mousasi NSC -235
70 RR for 2,589.24: tateITD/ cormierITD/ edgarITD/ NOTcainITD/ zinganoITD/ assuncao+3.5/ sanchezDEC/ mousasiDEC
28 RR for 3,058.18: tateRD3/ cormierRD3/ edgarRD1/ browneRD1/ zinganoRD3/ gastelumRD3/ sanchezRD3/ mousasiRD3
35 RR for 1,863.21: DCSUB/ edgarITD/ browneML/ zinganoITD/ gastelumITD/ assuncaoML/ marinML

50 for 54.56 mousasi -240 & assuncao-dillashaw O2.5 -210
15 RR for 299.98: tateITD/ cormierITD/ NOTcainITD/ NOTsageITD/ sanchezDEC/ mousasiITD
40 RR for 885.44: edgar/ browne/ zingano/ gastelum/ assuncao/ marin
50 RR for 1,701.16: tateITD/ lesnarRD1/ DCRD3/ edgarRD1/ browneRD1
33 for 168.59 tateITD/ cormierITD/ NOTcainITD

---

was up +83.75 units as of 5/7/16. now only up 42.98 units on 2016. and while that isn't a terrible thing to be up 42.98 units, it is when you consider that i've lost almost 41 units from 5/8 thru 7/9.

UFN 87: -709.85
UFC 198: -855.35
Bella 154: -176
Bella 155: +387.65
ksw 35: -50
UFN 88: -883.37
UC 199: -138.69
Titan 39: +15
Bella156: -341
WSOF 31: -28.58
ufn 89: +153.96
bella 157: -502.50
ufn 90: -129.41
TUF 23: -51.61
UFC 200: -767.58

i can't stop this slide. i might truly be done.

been a tough year for me too, don't worry man you'll get back on track. Not kissing your ass or anything but I've been on here for a long time and you're one of the best bettors I know. You always told me it's a marathon not a sprint, only takes one good event to get that hot streak back. I know it seems crazy right now but you can win as much as you lost in similar period of time if you go about it right. Just keep grinding my friend.
 
Picked a lot of fights wrong and had a lot of action on them, not much else to say. Sanchez, Assuncao, Hendricks, Edgar and a few others cost me a lot. Had a feeling Hunt & Tate could get upset and my hedges saved me from losing even more. Didn't even chase that much except a little on Anderson.

UFC 200 Results


Miesha Tate (-245) vs Amanda Nunes $490.00 for $200.00= -$490.00
Amanda Nunes wins in round 1 (+575) $50.00 for $287.50= $287.50
Miesha Tate wins in round 3 (+625) $25.00 for $156.25= -$25.00
Miesha Tate wins in round 4 (+700) $25.00 for $175.00= -$25.00
Miesha Tate wins by submission (+165) $50.00 for $82.50= -$50.00

Mark Hunt (-165) vs Brock Lesnar $330.00 for $200.00= -$330.00
Brock Lesnar wins by 3 round decision (+775) $50.00 for $387.50= $387.50

Daniel Cormier/Anderson Silva Under 2½ (-150) $150.00 for $100.00= -$150.00
Daniels Cormier wins by submission (+341) $50.00 for $170.50= -$50.00
Anderson Silva wins in round 1 (+850) $150.00 for $1,275.00= -$150.00
Live In-Play Anderson Silva (+1500) vs Daniel Cormier $50.00 for $750.00= -$50.00

Frankie Edgar (-115) vs Jose Aldo $345.00 for $300.00= -$345.00
Frankie Edgar wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+381) $40.00 for $152.40= -$40.00

Travis Browne (+248) vs Cain Velasquez $100.00 for $248.00= -$100.00
Cain Velasquez wins in round 3 (+1050) $25.00 for $262.50= -$25.00

Julianna Pena (+155) vs Cat Zingano $100.00 for $155.00= $155.00
Julianna Pena (+160) vs Cat Zingano $200.00 for $320.00= $320.00
Julianna Pena wins by TKO/KO (+550) $20.00 for $110.00= -$20.00
Johny Hendricks (+100) vs Kelvin Gastelum $300.00 for $300.00= -$300.00
Johny Hendricks +3½ points ( -205) $205.00 for $100.00= -$205.00
Johny Hendricks wins by 3 round decision (+197) $50.00 for $98.50= -$50.00
Raphael Assuncao (+315) vs T.J. Dillashaw $100.00 for $315.00= -$100.00
Raphael Assuncao +3½ points (+145) $100.00 for $145.00 = -$100.00
Sage Northcutt wins by submission (+370) vs Enrique Marin $35.00 for $129.50= -$35.00
Live In-Play Enrique Marin (+425) vs Sage Northcutt $40.00 for $170.00= -$40.00

Diego Sanchez (-105) vs Joe Lauzon $210.00 for $200.00= -$210.00
Diego Sanchez wins by 3 round decision (+170) $100.00 for $170.00= -$100.00
Gegard Mousasi wins by 3 round decision (+187) vs Thiago Santos $100.00 for $187.00= -$100.00
Jim Miller/Takanori Gomi Over 1½ (-145) $145.00 for $100.00= -$145.00
Jim Miller wins by 3 round decision (+350) $35.00 for $122.50= -$35.00

Mark Hunt wins Fastest KO (+520) $20.00 for $104.00= -$20.00
Sage Northcutt wins Fastest SUB (+850) $20.00 for $170.00= -$20.00
Julianna Pena/Cat Zingano FOTN award winner (+500) $20.00 for $100.00= Cancelled

Parlay:
Jim Miller (-275) vs Takanori Gomi+ Gegard Mousasi (-250) vs Thiago Santos + Diego Sanchez (-115) vs Joe Lauzon + Sage Northcutt (-350) vs Enrique Marin $100.00 for $358.89= -$100.00
-----
Total Loss= -$2260.00
 
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