Your Official UFC Fox 20 Bets

UFC Fox 20 Risk: 747.22
shevchenko: 0 for 40 / O4.5: 50 parlays / holm
barboza DEC: 45 parlays / O2.5: 100 parlays / melendez
ngannou-mihajlovic: idk
herrig DEC: 20 for 51 / O2.5: 175 for 100 - 50 parlays / curran
saenz -160: 80 for 50 / saenz DEC: 45 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays / wineland
elkins DEC: 45 parlays / elkins RD3: 20 for 230 / O2.5: 75 for 50 - 50 parlays / pepey RD1: 22.22 for 99.99
usman DEC: 45 parlays / O2.5: 100 parlays / yakovlev DEC: 25 for 176
prazeres-cottrell: idk
oliveira-moontasri: idk
alers-knight: idk
smolyakov-henrique: idk
props
DEC O6.5: 26 for 50.96
DEC O7.5: 10 for 55.20
DEC O8.5: 3 for 55.80
DEC O9.5: 1 for 95.50
parlays
50 for 61.81: barb-gil O2.5 -190 & sanchez-weichel O2.5 -215 (bella 159)
50 for 54.32: usman-yakovlev O2.5 -225 & sanchez-weichel O2.5 -225 (bella 159)
100 RR for 278.58: shevholmO4.5/ barbgilO2.5/ herrigcurranO2.5/ saenzwineO2.5/ elkinspepeyO2.5/ usmanyakoO2.5
90 RR for 398.80: barbDEC/ saenzDEC/ elkinsDEC/ usmanDEC
---

...that's all i've got

i'll add some plays, i'm sure, but i'm not a fan of this card. i think most of the favorites win and don't see an angle i like (i.e. usman, elkins, ngannou, alers, oliveira, prazeres, smolyakov...) don't wanna lay the money on their current prices.

will update it before the fights tomorrow, but expecting a small ufc for me, pre-event.
 

SU

1U Felice Herrig @ +100
1U Eddie Wineland @ +140
3U Edson Barboza @ -162
7U Holly Holm @ -155

Props
0.25U Herrig UD @ +400
0.5U Barboza UD @ +220
1U Holm UD @ +187
0.25U Holm & Barboza UD @ +800

Monthly Total: - 3.25U
Yearly Total: + 12.75U

Trying out a few Unanimous Decision Props as i think they can hold some value vs straight up decision. Watch them Splits come in now!

Edit:
Adding 3U More to Holm to make odds of just over -155
I think thats a crazy price, especially after the weigh ins last night, i expected holly to shorten maybe to -250 / -300 due to the size difference and how good she looked but its gone the other way!
Haven't bet 7U for a while, 5 is normally my limit so i hope it pays off!

Also adding 0.25U on the Holm Barboza UD Double @ +800
 
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Valentina +300
Valentina dec +695
Wineland dec +500
Prazeres sub +500
Knight +180
Ngannou + Barboza -135

looking to add a few more later. cant wait for this card.. think there could be alot of juicy livebet options tonight.
 
Ferg (cashed) + Barboza £666 @ -118

Barboza + Ngannou £1k @ -144

Ngannou + Barboza £330 @ -136 plus

Shevchenko dec £60 @ +695

Pepey sub £50 @ +500

Henrique + Knight + Sullivan + Cowboy + Prazeres + Pepey + Herrig + Barboza + Shevchenko £30 for £1216 (Sullivan voided so payout now slightly less)

Added holm barboza usman by dec £25 @ +900, and herrig pepey cowboy by sub £10 @ +10000.

Now added...

Barb unan + Shevchenko unan £20 @ +2300

Smolyakov sub £20 @ +1200

Gone prop crazy very unlike me!

Ps forgot about herrig dec £100 @ +275
 
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Holm dec +130 1u
Holm UD +180 .5u
Holm/Schev 04.5 -175 2u
Barboza -200 2u
Barboza dec +140 1u
Still trying to figure out play on Ngannau/Bojan. Might just go square and play Ngannau rd1 or KO prop.
Herrig +100 2u
Herrig dec +241 2u
Wineland/Saenz o 2.5 -220 2u
Wineland +140 1u
Wineland dec +312 .5u
Pepey nsc -150 3u
Pepey/Elkins o2.5 -160 1u
Yakolev dec +704 .5u
Cottrell +190 .75u
Put Brazilian Cowboy in some parlays, I think about 1.5u total at -210ish
Knight dec +405 1u
Smolyakov itd -121 1u

Some random parlays and hail mary's.

Went along with EZ on the decision over props too for small. Hit Herrig/Curran FOTN +600. Smolyakov fastest KO +600.
 
2u straight Holm -220
1u straight Kamura -250
2u FDGTD Oliveira V Moontasri -175

Small plays, small losses..right? right?...yeah...lets hope not to go into a fury of chasing losses...once i lost 2u i betted 10u to win 2u and ended up losing 12u..story of my betting life..this can only be 5u loss, thats a huuge win for me to only lose 5u! so lets do it! anything better than that and i appreciate it.
 
2-TEAM PARLAY: Prazeres over Cottrell + Ngannou/Mihajlovic U1.5 +126 2.5u
2-TEAM PARLAY: Wineland/Saenz O2.5 + Curran/Herrig O2.5 +118 2.5u
4-TEAM PARLAY: Prazeres over Cottrell + Ngannou/Mihajlovic U1.5 + Wineland/Saenz O2.5 + Curran/Herrig O2.5 +395 1u
 
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1.5u Holm (-197)
1.5u Holm DEC (+120)

1.5u Barboza (-180)
0.5u Barboza KO (+305)

0.5u Wineland DEC (+312)

0.25u Pepey SUB (+350)

0.25u Yakovlev DEC (+704)

0.25u Knight SUB (+420)

2u Barboza/Holm-Shevchenko o3.0 (+103)
2u Barboza/Holm (+106)
1u Holm DEC/Barboza ITD (+543)
1u Ngannou KO/Wineland-Saenz o2.5/Pepey NSC/Knight NSC (+457)
0.5u Wineland DEC/Pepey SUB (+1754)
0.25u Knight/Prazeres/Elkins/Wineland/Ngannou/Barboza/Holm (+2580)

1u RR Yakovlev (+190)/Herrig DEC (+210)/Elkins DEC (+100)
 
UFC on FOX 20


Holly Holm -192 9.6 to win 5u

Gilbert Melendez 5u to win 8.35u
Frankie Saenz 7.25 to win 5u
Godofredo Pepey 2u to win 4.2u
Jim Alers 9.1 to win 7u
Moontasri points handicap +3½ 5.25 to win 5u
Smolyakov 3.25 to win 2.5u


GL fellas
 
UFC on Fox 20 Risk $3597.50

Holly Holm (-300) vs Valentina Shevchenko $600.00 for $200.00
Holly Holm/Valentina Shevchenko Over 4½ (-165) $165.00 for $100.00
Holly Holm wins by 5 round decision (+120) $200.00 for $240.00
Valentina Shevchenko wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+1000) $25.00 for $250.00

Edson Barboza (-225) vs Gilbert Melendez $225.00 for $100.00
Edson Barboza wins inside distance (+245) $50.00 for $122.50

Francis Ngannou wins in round 2 (+400) vs Bojan Mihajlovic $25.00 for $100.00
Francis Ngannou wins by submission (+751) $15.00 for $112.65

Kailin Curran/Felice Herrig Over 2½ (-175) $175.00 for $100.00
Kailin Curran wins by 3 round decision (+190) $100.00 for $190.00

Frankie Saenz (-160) vs Eddie Wineland $160.00 for $100.00
Frankie Saenz/Eddie Wineland Over 2½ (-200) $200.00 for $100.00
Frankie Saenz wins by 3 round decision (+120) $100.00 for $120.00

Godofredo Pepey (+210) vs Darren Elkins $100.00 for $210.00
Godofredo Pepey wins in round 1 (+450) $20.00 for $90.00
Godofredo Pepey wins by submission (+410) $25.00 for $102.50
Darren Elkins wins in round 3 (+1150) $20.00 for $230.00

Alexander Yakovlev (+210) vs Kamaru Usman $200.00 for $420.00
Kamaru Usman wins by 3 round decision (+119) $100.00 for $119.00

Michel Prazeres (-220) vs J.C. Cottrell $110.00 for $50.00
Michel Prazeres wins inside distance (+223) $45.00 for $100.35

Alex Oliveira (-215) vs James Moontasri $215.00 for $100.00

Jason Knight (+170) vs Jim Alers $150.00 for $255.00
Jason Knight wins by 3 round decision (+405) $50.00 for $202.50

Dmitry Smolyakov (-135) vs Luis Henrique $67.50 for $50.00
Dmitry Smolyakov wins by submission (+800) $25.00 for $200.00

Fights to go distance over 6½ (+170) $40.00 for $68.00
Fights to go distance over 7½ (+450) $25.00 for $112.50
Fights to go distance over 8½ (+1500) $15.00 for $225.00
Fights to go distance over 9½ (+7500) $10.00 for $750.00

Kailin Curran/Felice Herrig FOTN award winner (+600) $15.00 for $90.00
Michel Prazeres wins Fastest KO (+2500) $10.00 for $250.00
Dmitry Smolyakov wins Fastest SUB (+2750) $10.00 for $275.00

Parlay:
Alex Oliveira (-225) vs James Moontasri + Francis Ngannou (-700) vs Bojan Mihajlovic $155.00 for $100.87

Round Robin of six two-team parlays at $25.00 each risking $150.00 for $200.20:
Frankie Saenz/Eddie Wineland Over 2½ (-220) + Kailin Curran/Felice Herrig Over 2½ (-190) + Edson Barboza/Gilbert Melendez Over 2½ (-190) + Holly Holm/Valentina Shevchenko Over 4½ (-165)
 
Holly
Oliveira/Prazeres parlay
Barboza/Usman parlay
Elkins by dec
Eddie Wineland
Herrig
Ngannou itd
 
1u Pepey
.5 Pepey itd
.5u Knight itd
1u Moontasri
.25u Moontasri sub
1.5u Wineland
.5u Cottrell


Got a terrible price on Pepey, pretty pissed at myself about that. Will add more during the card but mostly dog hunting beforehand. GL boys
 
UFC Fox 20 Risk: 1,358.72
holm -120: 120 for 100 / holm -5.5: 20 parlays / O4.5: 50 parlays / shevchenko
barboza DEC: 45 parlays / barboza -3.5: 20 parlays / O2.5: 100 parlays / melendez
ngannou RD2: 12 for 51 / mihajlovic
herrig DEC: 20 for 51 / O2.5: 175 for 100 - 50 parlays / curran
saenz -149: 297.50 for 200 / saenz DEC: 45 parlays / saenz -3.5: 20 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays / wineland
elkins DEC: 45 parlays / elkins -3.5: 20 parlays / elkins RD3: 20 for 230 / O2.5: 75 for 50 - 50 parlays / pepey RD1: 22.22 for 99.99
usman DEC: 45 parlays / usman -3.5: 20 parlays / O2.5: 100 parlays / yakovlev DEC: 25 for 176
prazeres-cottrell: idk
oliveira -200: 100 for 50 / oliveira -3.5: 20 parlays / moontasri
alers -130: 65 for 50 / knight RD3: 7 for 98
smolyakov SUB: 7 for 63.91 / henrique
props
DEC O6.5: 26 for 50.96
DEC O7.5: 10 for 55.20
DEC O8.5: 3 for 55.80
DEC O9.5: 1 for 95.50
SUB U0.5: 10 for 60.30
Fastest SUB: smolyakov: 3 for 105
FOTN: herrig-curran: 30 for 195
parlays
50 for 61.81: barb-gil O2.5 -190 & sanchez-weichel O2.5 -215 (bella 159)
50 for 54.32: usman-yakovlev O2.5 -225 & sanchez-weichel O2.5 -225 (bella 159)
100 RR for 278.58: shevholmO4.5/ barbgilO2.5/ herrigcurranO2.5/ saenzwineO2.5/ elkinspepeyO2.5/ usmanyakoO2.5
90 RR for 398.80: barbDEC/ saenzDEC/ elkinsDEC/ usmanDEC
40 RR for 524.62: holm-5.5/ barb-3.5/ saenz-3.5/ elkins-3.5/ usman-3.5/ oliveira-3.5
---

i got stupid with a couple RR's. and even stupider laying -200 on oliveira.
 
1u on Jason Knight @ +120
2u on Oliveira + Usman @ +110
1u on Smolyakov + Saenz + Ngannou/Mihaljovic U 1.5 @ +343
1u on Godofredo Pepey @ +200
3u on Edson Barboza @ -161

Good luck guys!
 
1u on Pepey ITD at +300
6u on Barboza + Ngannou at -136
0.5u Henrique R2 at +1000

1u Prazares ITD at +225
1u Herrig Dec
10u Holm at -175


= -7.5u Horrible night.


Could of been up 20u if Holm had won a robbery lol. Gonna play small next week, regroup and play smart.
 
Alright I have done my research. Knight is the best bet on the card.

5 units on Knight @ +190.

Last bet was 5 units on Casey @ +150, everyone doubted me and it cashed in one round. Don't make the same mistake again.

Sorry to those that didn't tail but I gave you plenty of time

+9.5 units on the night, +17 if you tailed both of my bets I've posted so far (Cortney Casey last week)

Good night and a lot of my personal bets won but they don't matter since I didn't mention them. Hope you lot did well too.

Also, Knight won FOTN but don't forget that he does nothing but pull guard and use rubber guard guys because he did it in one fight against a vet. I told you he has superior everything over Alers except wrestling.
 
UFC Fox 20 Net: -647.53
holm +164: 370.50 for 607 / holm -5.5: 29 parlays / O4.5: 50 parlays / draw: 2 for 310
barboza DEC: 45 parlays / barboza -3.5: 29 parlays / O2.5: 100 parlays / draw: 1 for 145
ngannou RD2: 12 for 51 - 9 parlays
herrig DEC: 20 for 51 - 9 parlays / O2.5: 175 for 100 - 50 parlays / draw: 2 for 290
saenz -149: 252.50 for 170 / saenz DEC: 45 parlays / saenz -3.5: 20 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays / draw: 2 for 290

elkins DEC: 45 parlays / elkins -3.5: 20 parlays / elkins RD3: 20 for 230 / O2.5: 75 for 50 - 50 parlays / draw: 1 for 145 / pepey +1100: 11 for 121 / pepey RD1: 22.22 for 99.99
usman DEC: 45 parlays / usman -3.5: 55 for 99 - 20 parlays / O2.5: 100 parlays / yakovlev DEC: 25 for 176
oliveira -200: 100 for 50 / oliveira -3.5: 20 parlays / oliveira RD3: 5 for 50 / ITD: 100 parlays
alers -129: 90 for 70 / knight RD3: 7 for 98
smolyakov SUB: 7 for 63.91

props
DEC O6.5: 26 for 50.96
DEC O7.5: 10 for 55.20
DEC O8.5: 3 for 55.80
DEC O9.5: 1 for 95.50
SUB U0.5: 10 for 60.30
Fastest SUB: smolyakov: 3 for 105
FOTN: herrig-curran: 30 for 195

parlays
50 for 61.81: barb-gil O2.5 -190 & sanchez-weichel O2.5 -215 (bella 159)
50 for 54.32: usman-yakovlev O2.5 -225 & sanchez-weichel O2.5 -225 (bella 159)

100 RR for (paid -22.16) 278.58: shevholmO4.5/ barbgilO2.5/ herrigcurranO2.5/ saenzwineO2.5/ elkinspepeyO2.5/ usmanyakoO2.5
90 RR for (paid +147.29) 398.80: barbDEC/ saenzDEC/ elkinsDEC/ usmanDEC
40 RR for (paid +55.47) 524.62: holm-5.5/ barb-3.5/ saenz-3.5/ elkins-3.5/ usman-3.5/ oliveira-3.5

50 for xx oliveira-moontasri ITD -165 & TBD
50 for xx oliveira-moontasri ITD -165 & TBD
12 RR for 410.34: holm-5.5/ barb-3.5/ ngannouRD2/ herrigDEC

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yea, that's about right.
 
Sorry to those that didn't tail but I gave you plenty of time

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